Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Fri, Dec 5 2025 · 19:45 Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière
First leg0–0 1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.60 – 2.09
Dender
  • P. Fall 32’
  • 11’ (P) B. Nsimba
  • 52’ R. Květ
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Dender beat RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière entered as favourites, but Dender won 2–1 through goals from Nsimba and Květ. RAAL La Louvière replied through a Fall goal. Dender finished with the higher xG (2.09 vs 1.60). On the chances created, RAAL La Louvière deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

RAAL La Louvière47%
Draw27%
Dender ✓26%

Model vs reality

RAAL La Louvière goals
1
Model 1.50 · xG 1.60
Dender goals
2
Model 1.04 · xG 2.09
Total goals
3
Model 2.54 · xG 3.69
Score 1–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. FallRAAL La Louvière · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeNathan Verboomen
  • Coaches— · Hayk Milkon
  • VenueStade Communal du Tivoli
  • Table before kick-offRAAL La Louvière 11th · Dender 16th

Timeline

  1. B. Nsimba (pen) 0–1
    11’
  2. P. Fall 1–1Assist M. Maisonneuve
    32’
  3. P. FallYellow card
    45+7’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. ⇄ A. JahanbakhshFor David Toševski
    46’
  6. R. Květ 1–2Assist B. Nsimba
    52’
  7. ⇄ Mohamed BerteFor B. Nsimba
    62’
  8. ⇄ O. MendyFor N. Gillot
    69’
  9. ⇄ D. AcquahFor M. Sambu
    72’
  10. ⇄ L. De FougerollesFor M. Viltard
    72’
  11. G. DietschYellow card
    77’
  12. ⇄ A. Beka BekaFor J. Ito
    79’
  13. ⇄ K. CoolsFor R. Květ
    86’
  14. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

RAAL La Louvière15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Dender14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
RAAL La LouvièreDender
50% Possession 50%
1.60 Expected goals (xG) 2.09
1.10 Expected points (xPts) 1.69
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
11 Shots off target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 10
5 Shots outside the box 4
384 Passes 406
78% Pass accuracy 76%
5 Corners 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 7.00

Line-ups

RAAL La Louvière 5-3-2

217.3 M. Peano(G)
35.9 N. Gillot ↓69’ 256.7 D. Lamego 997.9 Y. Okou 136.7 M. Maisonneuve A 116.7 J. Liongola
236.7 J. Ito ↓79’ 157.0 S. Lahssaini 986.2 Owen Maes
226.2 J. Afriyie 78.2★ P. Fall
  • 21M. Peano (G)7.3
  • 3N. Gillot↓69’5.9
  • 25D. Lamego6.7
  • 99Y. Okou7.9
  • 13M. MaisonneuveA6.7
  • 11J. Liongola6.7
  • 23J. Ito↓79’6.7
  • 15S. Lahssaini7.0
  • 98Owen Maes6.2
  • 22J. Afriyie6.2
  • 7P. Fall ★8.2

Substitutes used

  • 29O. Mendy↑69’6.2
  • 6A. Beka Beka↑79’6.7

Unused: C. De Schrevel, M. Riou, T. Lutonda, Darío Benavides, M. Pau, S. Gueulette, M. Guindo

Dender 5-3-2

307.6 G. Dietsch(G)
886.6 F. Ferraro 77.3 B. Goncalves 186.5 N. Rôdes 57.2 L. Marijnissen 707.3 M. Sambu ↓72’
167.3 R. Květ ↓86’ 247.0 M. Viltard ↓72’ 176.6 N. Mbamba
96.2 David Toševski ↓46’ 778.2 B. Nsimba A↓62’
  • 30G. Dietsch (G)7.6
  • 88F. Ferraro6.6
  • 7B. Goncalves7.3
  • 18N. Rôdes6.5
  • 5L. Marijnissen7.2
  • 70M. Sambu↓72’7.3
  • 16R. Květ↓86’7.3
  • 24M. Viltard↓72’7.0
  • 17N. Mbamba6.6
  • 9David Toševski↓46’6.2
  • 77B. NsimbaA↓62’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 27A. Jahanbakhsh↑46’6.3
  • 90Mohamed Berte↑62’6.5
  • 44L. De Fougerolles↑72’6.7
  • 23D. Acquah↑72’6.3
  • 21K. Cools↑86’

Unused: L. Fortin, N. Moutha-Sebtaoui, D. Hrnčár, J. Attah Kadiri

Coach: Hayk Milkon

Player stats

Top rated
P. FallRAAL La Louvière8.2
2nd
B. NsimbaDender8.2
3rd
Y. OkouRAAL La Louvière7.9

RAAL La Louvière

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Peano G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 82% 22 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
N. Gillot D 69 0 0 0 (0) 1 68% 22 2 1 1/2 1/0 5.9
D. Lamego D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 56 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.7
Y. Okou D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 62 4 1 0/0 0/0 7.9
M. Maisonneuve D 90 0 1 2 (0) 1 75% 56 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
J. Liongola D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 64% 36 0 1 1/2 2/0 6.7
J. Ito M 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 18 3 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
S. Lahssaini M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 41 3 0 0/0 2/3 7.0
Owen Maes M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 53% 17 0 0 0/4 1/0 6.2
J. Afriyie F 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 71% 17 1 0 1/2 1/0 6.2
P. Fall F 90 1 0 6 (3) 2 64% 22 0 0 0/0 1/2 8.2
O. Mendy F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
A. Beka Beka M 11 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Dender

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Dietsch G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 50% 38 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.6
F. Ferraro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 31 1 1 1/1 1/1 6.6
B. Goncalves D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 61% 41 0 1 1/1 0/0 7.3
N. Rôdes M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 37 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
L. Marijnissen D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 52 1 4 0/0 1/0 7.2
M. Sambu D 72 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 28 2 0 1/4 0/1 7.3
R. Květ M 86 1 0 3 (2) 1 78% 37 1 0 0/2 0/0 7.3
M. Viltard M 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 26 4 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
N. Mbamba M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 40 3 0 2/3 2/0 6.6
David Toševski F 46 0 0 2 (1) 0 67% 9 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.2
B. Nsimba F 62 1 1 3 (2) 2 80% 15 0 0 2/3 0/2 8.2
A. Jahanbakhsh F 44 0 0 1 (0) 0 73% 22 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
Mohamed Berte F 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.5
L. De Fougerolles D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.7
D. Acquah M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 8 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.3
K. Cools D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.