Zulte Waregem
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Zulte Waregem were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Zulte Waregem. Zulte Waregem had 7 days of rest, SK Beveren 6.1 and had to travel 68 km.
Away travel68 kmRest days7 · 6.1Matches / 14d2 · 2
Zulte Waregem52%
Draw25%
SK Beveren23%
Zulte Waregem47%
Draw25%
SK Beveren28%
Zulte Waregem52%
Draw25%
SK Beveren23%
Zulte Waregem45%
Draw26%
SK Beveren29%
Zulte Waregem52%
Draw24%
SK Beveren23%
Over 2.5 48%
Both score 50%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Waregem)
No weather data yet
RefereeMichiel Allaerts
- Cards per match 3.5
- Penalties per match 0.13
- Matches 16
Team strength
Zulte Waregem
SK Beveren
32
L90 StrengthIn forecast
28
30
Current StrengthIn forecast
25
27
AttackIn forecast
18
31
DefenceIn forecast
20
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisSK Beveren
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Zulte WaregemSK Beveren
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
0.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
0.75
xGVia Att/Def
0.80
0.72
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.74
+0.25
Goals minus xGContext
+0.20
50%
Scored inContext
100%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
11.00
ShotsContext
10.50
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.50
41%
On target shareContext
33%
7.00
Shots in the boxContext
7.50
64%
Box shareContext
71%
9%
ConversionContext
10%
—
OffsidesContext
1.00
9.50
Shots allowedContext
17.50
3.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.50
3.50
BlocksContext
4.50
2.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
6.50
83%
Save rateContext
100%
35%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
303
PassesContext
428
235
Accurate passesContext
329
78%
Pass accuracyContext
77%
7.07
Team ratingContext
7.18
13.00
FoulsContext
8.00
15.00
Fouls sufferedContext
15.00
0.50
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
1.58
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.34
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
+0.22
Goals minus xGContext
—
80%
Scored inContext
—
40%
Clean sheetsContext
—
11.50
ShotsContext
—
4.30
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
37%
On target shareContext
—
6.70
Shots in the boxContext
—
61%
Box shareContext
—
16%
ConversionContext
—
2.17
OffsidesContext
—
10.80
Shots allowedContext
—
4.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
3.44
BlocksContext
—
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
75%
Save rateContext
—
47%
PossessionIn forecast
—
382
PassesContext
—
297
Accurate passesContext
—
78%
Pass accuracyContext
—
6.99
Team ratingContext
—
10.80
FoulsContext
—
13.80
Fouls sufferedContext
—
0.80
Yellow cardsContext
—
0.00
Red cardsContext
—
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Zulte Waregem
WD
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km130 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 62 · 4 pts vs 2.6 for an average club · +2.1 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Zulte Waregem |
SK Beveren |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 15 Aug | 6.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 16 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 68 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 130 km | 29 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 2 | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8.1 | 6.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Zulte Waregem
Confirmed XI
1L. Bostyn(G)
55Y. Cappelle
5Jakob Kiilerich
4L. Lemoine
49Franz Tangala
11M. Aké
6E. Lofolomo
8T. Claes
21Á. Zalán
20T. Hedl
18A. Ementa
SK Beveren
Confirmed XI
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens
31B. Godeau
35Y. Gomis
21L. Jans
18S. Dewaele
5C. Lokesa
22C. Brüls
8F. Slegers
34K. Abrahams
92L. Mertens
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Zulte Waregem
Absences are shown before kick-off
SK Beveren
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Zulte Waregem+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- SK Beveren+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Zulte Waregem · Home
3.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
SK Beveren · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Zulte Waregem | SK Beveren | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.50 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.50 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Zulte Waregem | SK Beveren | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.90 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.40 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 40% | 0% | |
| Games | 10 | 2 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Zulte Waregem | SK Beveren | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.50 | 2.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.00 | 8.50 | |
| Match total | 10.50 | 10.50 | 10.63 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 2/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 0.50 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 3.00 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.68 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Zulte Waregem | SK Beveren | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.30 | 2.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.70 | 8.50 | |
| Match total | 10.00 | 10.50 | 10.63 |
| Over 8.5 | 70% 7/10 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 0.80 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.68 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% 3/10 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 50% 1/2 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Michiel Allaerts 16 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.25league 2.53
Red cards0.25league 0.16
Cards 5+25%league 21%
Fouls23.3league 21.6
Penalties0.13league 0.32
Home wins31%league 47%
Zulte Waregem2 with this referee
Record1-1-0
Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.5
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D7 Nov 25A · Dender2–21
- W20 Sep 25A · Charleroi2–11
SK BeverenNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Zulte Waregem2 games · scored 2 · conceded 1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
2
76-90
SK Beveren2 games · scored 2 · conceded 2
1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Zulte Waregem10 games · scored 18 · conceded 9
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
3
61-75
5
76-90
SK Beveren2 games · scored 2 · conceded 2
1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
