Lorient

7th · Ligue 1 · 11 points · Matches played: 7

3 points behind Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+1.7 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +3.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
34.1+1.7
World Rank 173rd Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 10th L90 Strength

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Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Lorient rely on a mid-table defence, but their attack is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to LE Havre.

Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 1%Likely 11th · 45 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at LE Havre · , 34% to win
  • 4 out, none key5% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 11 pts vs 9.4 expected+1.6 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Lorient. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
42.9%Win %
Wins3
Draws2
Losses2

Expected metrics · 4 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
71.00 / game
xG 4.63 1.63 fewer goals than expected. vs 3 goals
Goals Against
60.86 / game
xGA 4.32 2.32 fewer conceded than expected. vs 2 conceded
Goal Difference
+1+0.14 / game
xGD +0.31 Goal difference is 0.69 higher than expected. vs +1 GD
Clean Sheets
457% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 31 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
Noah Cadiou1 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
P. Katseris3 assists
Injured
Best rated
N. Adjei7.13 avg rating
Most minutes
Y. Mvogo630 min
Key to the model
Y. MvogoStarter · weight 2.00

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Angers: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Ligue 1 · 18 clubs

L90 Strength10th of 18
34 Elo 1547 · World #173
Current Strength
34 With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack13th of 18
28 Scores 1.24 per match against an average top-five side
Defence8th of 18
45 Concedes 1.61 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Lyon: attack 55, defence 56, L90 Strength 60 Paris Saint Germain: attack 91, defence 83, L90 Strength 90 Paris FC: attack 46, defence 38, L90 Strength 34 Lille: attack 42, defence 60, L90 Strength 56 Monaco: attack 45, defence 56, L90 Strength 56 Rennes: attack 63, defence 39, L90 Strength 52 Lorient: attack 28, defence 45, L90 Strength 34 Lens: attack 63, defence 53, L90 Strength 58 Marseille: attack 48, defence 46, L90 Strength 47 Stade Brestois 29: attack 47, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 Toulouse: attack 45, defence 49, L90 Strength 39 Auxerre: attack 39, defence 25, L90 Strength 30 Nice: attack 26, defence 35, L90 Strength 27 Strasbourg: attack 40, defence 37, L90 Strength 45 Angers: attack 22, defence 12, L90 Strength 19 Le Mans: attack 27, defence 21, L90 Strength 26 Estac Troyes: attack 12, defence 19, L90 Strength 12 LE Havre: attack 20, defence 22, L90 Strength 20
Every Ligue 1 club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

69
Form index · 4th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
10
Median top-5 club
7.7
Own forecasts
6.0 +4.0
Table7th L90 Strength10th Form4th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W18 OctH · Monaco1–01.2 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Paris FC1–01.4 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Le Mans1–21.3 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Toulouse2–21.6 xPts
  • W5 SepA · Lens1–00.6 xPts
  • L29 AugH · Estac Troyes1–22.1 xPts
  • D22 AugA · Nice0–01.3 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 6/7
Clean sheet 4/7
Conceded 2+ 3/7
Over 2.5 3/7
Both teams scored 3/7

Playing style vs Ligue 1 average

LORLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.00 1.52 15th
Goals conceded 0.86 1.52 3rd
xG 1.16 1.66 14th
xG allowed 1.08 1.66 1st
Scored in 86% 79% 4th
Clean sheets 57% 21% 1st
LORLeagueRank
Shots 9.86 13.60 18th
Shots on target 3.43 4.85 16th
On target share 35% 36% 10th
Box share 70% 64% 4th
Conversion 10% 11% 13th
LORLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.86 13.60 10th
On target allowed 3.71 4.83 2nd
Blocks 4.71 3.55 3rd
Save rate 83% 71% 1st
LORLeagueRank
Possession 46% 50% 13th
Passes 482 479 8th
Pass accuracy 85% 85% 11th
LORLeagueRank
Fouls 9.29 11.99 2nd
Fouls suffered 15.14 11.99 1st
Yellow cards 1.14 1.66 2nd
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
LORLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.30 1.56 13th
Goals conceded 1.00 1.51 1st
xG 1.24 1.52 12th
xG allowed 1.16 1.54 4th
Scored in 80% 79% 6th
Clean sheets 50% 19% 1st
LORLeagueRank
Shots 9.80 13.51 18th
Shots on target 3.40 4.85 16th
On target share 35% 35% 12th
Box share 65% 64% 8th
Conversion 13% 12% 5th
LORLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.60 13.69 11th
On target allowed 3.80 4.78 2nd
Blocks 4.78 3.75 3rd
Save rate 81% 70% 1st
LORLeagueRank
Possession 46% 50% 14th
Passes 458 464 9th
Pass accuracy 85% 85% 11th
LORLeagueRank
Fouls 9.10 11.61 2nd
Fouls suffered 13.40 11.61 4th
Yellow cards 1.30 1.65 3rd
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.75pts per game2-1-1 · 1.2–1.0 goals · 4 games
Away1.33pts per game1-1-1 · 0.7–0.7 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

1 0-15
1 16-30
2 1 31-45
2 2 46-60
2 1 61-75
1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Ligue 1 · 7 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 7 15th / 18
GF/G 1.00 15th / 18
xG/G 1.16 14th / 18
G − xG -0.16 9th / 18

Defence

GA 6 3rd / 18
GA/G 0.86 3rd / 18
xGA/G 1.08 1st / 18
xGA − GA +0.22 7th / 18

Overall

Pts 11 7th / 18
xPts 9.4 9th / 18
PPG 1.57 7th / 18
TR 6.86 7th / 18
GD +1 9th / 18
xGD +0.6 7th / 18
W 3 7th / 18
L 2 6th / 18

Scorelines

  • 1–0×3
  • 1–2×2
  • 0–0×1
  • 2–2×1

Goals per game both teams

14% 0
43% 1
0% 2
29% 3
14% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
43%79%
Over 2.5
43%63%
Over 3.5
14%38%
Both scored
43%63%
Clean sheet
57%21%
Failed to score
14%21%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.