Nice

13th · Ligue 1 · 8 points · Matches played: 7

6 points behind Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+3.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
26.5+3.2
World Rank 264th Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 14th L90 Strength

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Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

Short on strength, fighting for points.

Nice are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Stade Brestois 29.

They dominate the ball, with 54% possession, 3rd in the league. They are wasteful in front of goal (7% of shots scored). Home is where they earn their points: 2.0 per game there against 0.0 away.

  • Relegation 6%Likely 14th · 38 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at Stade Brestois 29 · , 24% to win
  • 6 out, none key9% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 8 pts vs 7.8 expected+0.2 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Nice. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
28.6%Win %
Wins2
Draws2
Losses3

Expected metrics · 4 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
60.86 / game
xG 4.48 1.48 fewer goals than expected. vs 3 goals
Goals Against
91.29 / game
xGA 6.13 0.13 fewer conceded than expected. vs 6 conceded
Goal Difference
-3-0.43 / game
xGD -1.65 Goal difference is 1.35 lower than expected. vs -3 GD
Clean Sheets
114% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 37 players · this season, all competitions · 6 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
S. Wahi2 goals
Most assists
S. Diop2 assists
Best rated
X. Mandza Tsiendi6.89 avg rating
Most minutes
Y. Diouf630 min
Key to the model
X. Mandza TsiendiStarter · weight 1.98

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Stade Brestois 29: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Ligue 1 · 18 clubs

L90 Strength14th of 18
27 Elo 1493 · World #264
Current Strength
27 With absences before 23 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack15th of 18
26 Scores 1.20 per match against an average top-five side
Defence13th of 18
35 Concedes 1.77 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Lyon: attack 55, defence 56, L90 Strength 60 Paris Saint Germain: attack 91, defence 83, L90 Strength 90 Paris FC: attack 46, defence 38, L90 Strength 34 Lille: attack 42, defence 60, L90 Strength 56 Monaco: attack 45, defence 56, L90 Strength 56 Rennes: attack 63, defence 39, L90 Strength 52 Lorient: attack 28, defence 45, L90 Strength 34 Lens: attack 63, defence 53, L90 Strength 58 Marseille: attack 48, defence 46, L90 Strength 47 Stade Brestois 29: attack 47, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 Toulouse: attack 45, defence 49, L90 Strength 39 Auxerre: attack 39, defence 25, L90 Strength 30 Nice: attack 26, defence 35, L90 Strength 27 Strasbourg: attack 40, defence 37, L90 Strength 45 Angers: attack 22, defence 12, L90 Strength 19 Le Mans: attack 27, defence 21, L90 Strength 26 Estac Troyes: attack 12, defence 19, L90 Strength 12 LE Havre: attack 20, defence 22, L90 Strength 20
Every Ligue 1 club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

44
Form index · 10th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
7
Median top-5 club
7.6
Own forecasts
5.4 +1.6
Table13th L90 Strength14th Form10th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L18 OctA · Lyon1–20.6 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Strasbourg2–11.2 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Lille2–10.9 xPts
  • L12 SepA · Auxerre0–11.1 xPts
  • D5 SepH · Le Mans1–11.5 xPts
  • L30 AugA · Paris FC0–31.0 xPts
  • D22 AugH · Lorient0–01.4 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 4/7
Clean sheet 1/7
Conceded 2+ 2/7
Over 2.5 4/7
Both teams scored 4/7

Playing style vs Ligue 1 average

NICLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.86 1.52 16th
Goals conceded 1.29 1.52 6th
xG 1.12 1.66 15th
xG allowed 1.53 1.66 11th
Scored in 57% 79% 15th
Clean sheets 14% 21% 8th
NICLeagueRank
Shots 11.71 13.60 15th
Shots on target 3.71 4.85 15th
On target share 32% 36% 15th
Box share 65% 64% 8th
Conversion 7% 11% 16th
NICLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.86 13.60 5th
On target allowed 4.43 4.83 7th
Blocks 3.00 3.55 12th
Save rate 65% 71% 14th
NICLeagueRank
Possession 54% 50% 3rd
Passes 546 479 4th
Pass accuracy 88% 85% 5th
NICLeagueRank
Fouls 9.29 11.99 2nd
Fouls suffered 8.14 11.99 18th
Yellow cards 1.86 1.66 13th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
NICLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.80 1.56 16th
Goals conceded 1.20 1.51 4th
xG 1.12 1.52 15th
xG allowed 1.23 1.54 5th
Scored in 60% 79% 16th
Clean sheets 20% 19% 5th
NICLeagueRank
Shots 12.00 13.51 15th
Shots on target 3.60 4.85 15th
On target share 30% 35% 16th
Box share 68% 64% 4th
Conversion 7% 12% 16th
NICLeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.60 13.69 7th
On target allowed 4.30 4.78 6th
Blocks 3.60 3.75 8th
Save rate 67% 70% 14th
NICLeagueRank
Possession 52% 50% 6th
Passes 508 464 5th
Pass accuracy 86% 85% 7th
NICLeagueRank
Fouls 9.40 11.61 3rd
Fouls suffered 9.70 11.61 16th
Yellow cards 1.70 1.65 10th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.00pts per game2-2-0 · 1.2–0.8 goals · 4 games
Away0.00pts per game0-0-3 · 0.3–2.0 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

1 0-15
2 1 16-30
2 3 31-45
1 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Ligue 1 · 7 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 6 16th / 18
GF/G 0.86 16th / 18
xG/G 1.12 15th / 18
G − xG -0.26 10th / 18

Defence

GA 9 6th / 18
GA/G 1.29 6th / 18
xGA/G 1.53 11th / 18
xGA − GA +0.24 6th / 18

Overall

Pts 8 13th / 18
xPts 7.8 16th / 18
PPG 1.14 13th / 18
TR 6.73 12th / 18
GD -3 12th / 18
xGD -2.9 12th / 18
W 2 11th / 18
L 3 10th / 18

Scorelines

  • 2–1×2
  • 0–0×1
  • 0–3×1
  • 1–1×1
  • 0–1×1
  • 1–2×1

Goals per game both teams

14% 0
14% 1
14% 2
57% 3
0% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
71%79%
Over 2.5
57%63%
Over 3.5
0%38%
Both scored
57%63%
Clean sheet
14%21%
Failed to score
43%21%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.