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Ligue 1 · 5 signals · 4 clubs in this view
Paris Saint GermainGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score66/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.7
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.09
- Wins in a rowLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 6
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 72.7
- Recency
- 46.1
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 65.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.37; xG against 1.28. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
Streaks5 signals · 4 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Paris Saint Germain
Wins in a row
6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak69
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 57.9
- Recency
- 92.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | RennesA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-28 | LilleA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-04 | MonacoH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-09 | Slovan BratislavaH | 6–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Stade Brestois 29A | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | MarseilleA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Le MansH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester CityA | 4–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | StrasbourgA | 3–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Estac Troyes
Losses in a row
5
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak60
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 43.8
- Recency
- 92.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Estac Troyes’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Paris FCH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-08-29 | LorientA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-06 | StrasbourgH | 2–6L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | LilleA | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AngersA | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | MarseilleH | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | LensH | 1–3L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain
Unbeaten in a row
6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak69
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 57.9
- Recency
- 92.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | RennesA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | LilleA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | MonacoH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-09 | Slovan BratislavaH | 6–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Stade Brestois 29A | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | MarseilleA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Le MansH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester CityA | 4–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | StrasbourgA | 3–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Strasbourg
Losses in a row
3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak54
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 26.3
- Recency
- 92.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | MarseilleA | 0–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | LensH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-06 | Estac TroyesA | 6–2W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | MonacoH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Paris FCA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | NiceA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Paris Saint GermainH | 1–3L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
LE Havre
Losses in a row
3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak55
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 26.3
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from LE Havre’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | MonacoH | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | LyonA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Stade Brestois 29H | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AngersH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-19 | ToulouseA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | LilleA | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | AuxerreH | 1–3L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
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