Insights.
Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.
Explore insights
Explore competitions →League insights
Belgian Pro League · 81 signals · 18 clubs in this view
CharleroiWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score78/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3
- Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +8.5
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.0
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.13
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 98.1
- Recency
- 51.1
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 53.3
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 21; xPts 12.5. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.84; xG against 0.71. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
GenkGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score67/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.0
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.27
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 84.7
- Recency
- 37.1
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.14; xG against 0.87. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
St. TruidenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score65/100
A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.
- Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - −4.9
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.26
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.8
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 56.5
- Recency
- 51.1
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 8; xPts 12.9. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.01; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Union St. GilloiseDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score62/100
Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.
- Clean sheetsLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 6/10
- Goals conceded / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 0.7
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.44
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 58.9
- Recency
- 43.8
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Clean sheets — Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.4; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
KVC WesterloPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score61/100
Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.
- Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +4.4
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.74
- Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 4
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 50.8
- Recency
- 51.1
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 53.3
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 13; xPts 8.6. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.21; xG against 1.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals81 signals · 18 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Gent
Points above expected
+9.8
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast70
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 22; xPts 12.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 22.0
- xPts
- 12.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Gent
Goals conceded per match
0.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.1
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-16 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | Club Brugge KVH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-03 | OH LeuvenH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | GenkA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-18 | Standard LiegeH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | Zulte WaregemA | 2–0W |
Union St. Gilloise
Clean sheets
6
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores71
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 58.9
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D | No |
Charleroi
Points above expected
+8.5
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast69
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 21; xPts 12.5. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 98.1
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 21.0
- xPts
- 12.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Kortrijk
xG difference per match
−1.34
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG47
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.81; xG against 2.15. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 89.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.81
- xG against
- 2.15
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Anderlecht
Clean sheets
6
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores71
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 58.9
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Anderlecht’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Kairat AlmatyA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | Kairat AlmatyH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | Union St. GilloiseA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-03 | KortrijkH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | GenkH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | KV MechelenA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | LyonH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Zulte WaregemH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Cercle BruggeA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Dinamo ZagrebA | 0–1L | No |
St. Truiden
Goals conceded away per match
2.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores52
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.1
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from St. Truiden’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-27 | Omonia NicosiaA | 2–4L |
| 2026-08-30 | AntwerpA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | SK BeverenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | KV MechelenA | 3–4L |
Union St. Gilloise
Unbeaten in a row
9
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak81
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 90.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Antwerp
Losses in a row
5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak59
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 46.2
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Antwerp’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | SK BeverenH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-15 | KortrijkA | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-08-22 | GenkH | 4–4D | No |
| 2026-08-30 | St. TruidenH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Standard LiegeA | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Club Brugge KVA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Union St. GilloiseH | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | KVC WesterloA | 1–5L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Genk
xG difference per match
+1.27
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG46
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.14; xG against 0.87. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 84.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.14
- xG against
- 0.87
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV
Wins in a row
4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak62
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 40.0
- Recency
- 81.9
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Club Brugge KV’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | KortrijkH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | OH LeuvenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | Cercle BruggeH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | GentA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-04 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | Aston VillaH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | AntwerpH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | GenkH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | InterA | 4–3W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
SK Beveren
xG difference per match
−1.36
Underlying performance · 8-match window
Observed xG44
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.73; xG against 2.09. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 83.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 32.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 8-match window
- xG for
- 0.73
- xG against
- 2.09
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV
Scoring in a row
10+
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak83
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 81.9
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Club Brugge KV’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | KortrijkH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | OH LeuvenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | Cercle BruggeH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | GentA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | Aston VillaH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | AntwerpH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | GenkH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | InterA | 4–3W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Cercle Brugge
Points below expected
−6.1
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast59
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 3; xPts 9.1. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 70.4
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 3.0
- xPts
- 9.1
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Gent
Unbeaten in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak68
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | Club Brugge KVH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | OH LeuvenH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GenkA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Standard LiegeH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Zulte WaregemA | 2–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Union St. Gilloise
Goals conceded per match
0.7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 29.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D |
KVC Westerlo
Wins in a row
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak56
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 36.9
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Union St. GilloiseH | 1–5L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | GenkA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Zulte WaregemH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | KV MechelenA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Standard LiegeH | 4–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | St. TruidenA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | AntwerpH | 5–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Anderlecht
Goals conceded per match
0.7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 29.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Anderlecht’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Kairat AlmatyA | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | Kairat AlmatyH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | Union St. GilloiseA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-03 | KortrijkH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | GenkH | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-11 | KV MechelenA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-16 | LyonH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | Zulte WaregemH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | Cercle BruggeA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | Dinamo ZagrebA | 0–1L |
Antwerp
Goals conceded per match
2.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.1
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Antwerp’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | SK BeverenH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-15 | KortrijkA | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-22 | GenkH | 4–4D |
| 2026-08-30 | St. TruidenH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-05 | Standard LiegeA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-13 | Club Brugge KVA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-20 | Union St. GilloiseH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | KVC WesterloA | 1–5L |
OH Leuven
xG difference per match
−1.05
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG41
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.01; xG against 2.06. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 70.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.01
- xG against
- 2.06
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
St. Truiden
Losses in a row
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak58
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 30.0
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from St. Truiden’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Lommel UnitedH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-14 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–3D | No |
| 2026-08-20 | Omonia NicosiaH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-27 | Omonia NicosiaA | 2–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | AntwerpA | 4–1W | No |
| 2026-09-02 | Union St. GilloiseH | 0–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | RAAL La LouvièreH | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | SK BeverenA | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | KVC WesterloH | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | KV MechelenA | 3–4L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Charleroi
xG difference per match
+1.13
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG42
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.84; xG against 0.71. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 75.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.84
- xG against
- 0.71
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV
Clean sheets
5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 38.9
- Recency
- 81.9
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Club Brugge KV’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | KortrijkH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | OH LeuvenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | Cercle BruggeH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | GentA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-04 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | Aston VillaH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | AntwerpH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-09-20 | GenkH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 4–1W | No |
| 2026-10-13 | InterA | 4–3W | No |
Standard Liege
Losses in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak53
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Standard Liege’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Cercle BruggeH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-16 | KV MechelenA | 3–3D | No |
| 2026-08-21 | RAAL La LouvièreH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-29 | OH LeuvenA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | AntwerpH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | KVC WesterloA | 2–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | GentA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | CharleroiH | 0–1L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV
Goals scored per match
2.5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores61
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 81.9
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Club Brugge KV’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | KortrijkH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-15 | OH LeuvenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | Cercle BruggeH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | GentA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-04 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | Aston VillaH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | AntwerpH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | GenkH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 4–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | InterA | 4–3W |
Zulte Waregem
Losses in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak52
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Zulte Waregem’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | GenkH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Union St. GilloiseA | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-08-22 | SK BeverenH | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | KVC WesterloA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-06 | KortrijkA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-09-13 | CharleroiH | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AnderlechtA | 0–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | GentH | 0–2L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Union St. Gilloise
Points above expected
+4.8
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast58
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Points 24; xPts 19.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 48.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 24.0
- xPts
- 19.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Charleroi
Wins in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak53
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | OH LeuvenH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | KortrijkA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Union St. GilloiseH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Cercle BruggeH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Standard LiegeA | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
KVC Westerlo
Goals scored per match
2.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.1
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Union St. GilloiseH | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-15 | GenkA | 2–3L |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-30 | Zulte WaregemH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | KV MechelenA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | Standard LiegeH | 4–2W |
| 2026-09-20 | St. TruidenA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | AntwerpH | 5–1W |
KVC Westerlo
Unbeaten in a row
5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak59
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 46.2
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Union St. GilloiseH | 1–5L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | GenkA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Zulte WaregemH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | KV MechelenA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Standard LiegeH | 4–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | St. TruidenA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | AntwerpH | 5–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Union St. Gilloise
Scoring in a row
8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak78
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 80.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Charleroi
Goals conceded per match
0.9
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 21.5
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | OH LeuvenH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-22 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | KortrijkA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | Union St. GilloiseH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | Cercle BruggeH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-11 | Standard LiegeA | 1–0W |
RAAL La Louvière
xG difference per match
−0.83
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG35
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.1; xG against 1.93. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 55.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.10
- xG against
- 1.93
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
St. Truiden
Points below expected
−4.9
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast55
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 8; xPts 12.9. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 56.5
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 8.0
- xPts
- 12.9
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Gent
Scoring in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak68
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | Club Brugge KVH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | OH LeuvenH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GenkA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Standard LiegeH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Zulte WaregemA | 2–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Gent
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Club Brugge KVH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-03 | OH LeuvenH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GenkA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-18 | Standard LiegeH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | Zulte WaregemA | 2–0W | Yes |
KVC Westerlo
Points above expected
+4.4
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast53
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 13; xPts 8.6. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 50.8
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 13.0
- xPts
- 8.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Charleroi
Scoring in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak69
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | OH LeuvenH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | KortrijkA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Union St. GilloiseH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Cercle BruggeH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Standard LiegeA | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV
xG difference per match
+0.87
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG36
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.61; xG against 1.74. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 58.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.61
- xG against
- 1.74
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Union St. Gilloise
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D |
Kortrijk
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 24.7
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Kortrijk’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Club Brugge KVA | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-15 | AntwerpH | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-29 | CharleroiH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-03 | AnderlechtA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-06 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-13 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-20 | SK BeverenH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | GenkA | 0–3L |
Charleroi
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | OH LeuvenH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | KortrijkA | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Union St. GilloiseH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Cercle BruggeH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-10-11 | Standard LiegeA | 1–0W | Yes |
RAAL La Louvière
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 24.7
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from RAAL La Louvière’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | AnderlechtA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-16 | GentH | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-21 | Standard LiegeA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | KV MechelenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | St. TruidenA | 0–4L |
| 2026-09-13 | KortrijkH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | OH LeuvenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-10 | Club Brugge KVH | 1–4L |
RAAL La Louvière
Points below expected
−4.3
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast52
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 4; xPts 8.3. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 49.6
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 4.0
- xPts
- 8.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
KVC Westerlo
xG difference per match
−0.74
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.21; xG against 1.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 49.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.21
- xG against
- 1.95
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 18.7
- Recency
- 81.9
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Club Brugge KV’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | KortrijkH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-15 | OH LeuvenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | Cercle BruggeH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | GentA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-04 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | Aston VillaH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | AntwerpH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | GenkH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 4–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | InterA | 4–3W |
Club Brugge KV
Points above expected
+3.7
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast52
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Points 24; xPts 20.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 37.0
- Recency
- 81.9
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 24.0
- xPts
- 20.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
KVC Westerlo
Goals conceded per match
2.1
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.5
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Union St. GilloiseH | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-15 | GenkA | 2–3L |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-30 | Zulte WaregemH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | KV MechelenA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | Standard LiegeH | 4–2W |
| 2026-09-20 | St. TruidenA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | AntwerpH | 5–1W |
KV Mechelen
Points below expected
−3.4
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 6; xPts 9.4. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 39.2
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 6.0
- xPts
- 9.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
KV Mechelen
Goals conceded per match
2.1
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.5
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KV Mechelen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | GentA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-16 | Standard LiegeH | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-22 | CharleroiA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | KVC WesterloH | 0–4L |
| 2026-09-11 | AnderlechtH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-19 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-11 | St. TruidenH | 4–3W |
Kortrijk
Points below expected
−3.4
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast48
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 3; xPts 6.4. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 39.2
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 3.0
- xPts
- 6.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
St. Truiden
Goals conceded per match
2.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.7
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from St. Truiden’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Lommel UnitedH | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-14 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-20 | Omonia NicosiaH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | Omonia NicosiaA | 2–4L |
| 2026-08-30 | AntwerpA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-02 | Union St. GilloiseH | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-05 | RAAL La LouvièreH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | SK BeverenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | KVC WesterloH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | KV MechelenA | 3–4L |
KV Mechelen
xG difference per match
−0.60
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG30
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.88; xG against 1.48. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 40.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.88
- xG against
- 1.48
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Genk
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.3
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Genk’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-15 | KVC WesterloH | 3–2W |
| 2026-08-22 | AntwerpA | 4–4D |
| 2026-08-28 | SK BeverenH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | AnderlechtA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-13 | GentH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Brugge KVA | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | KortrijkH | 3–0W |
Genk
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.8
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Genk’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | KVC WesterloH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-08-22 | AntwerpA | 4–4D | No |
| 2026-08-28 | SK BeverenH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | AnderlechtA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GentH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Brugge KVA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | KortrijkH | 3–0W | Yes |
Antwerp
Points below expected
−2.3
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast44
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 7; xPts 9.3. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 26.5
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 7.0
- xPts
- 9.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Charleroi
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.3
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | OH LeuvenH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-22 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | KortrijkA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | Union St. GilloiseH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | Cercle BruggeH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-11 | Standard LiegeA | 1–0W |
OH Leuven
Points below expected
−2.3
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast44
OH Leuven
−2.3
Points below expected
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Points5.0xPts7.3
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 5; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 26.5
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 5.0
- xPts
- 7.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Cercle Brugge
Goals conceded per match
2.0
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.3
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Cercle Brugge’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Standard LiegeA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-14 | St. TruidenH | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-23 | Club Brugge KVA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-29 | Lommel UnitedH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-06 | GentH | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | OH LeuvenA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-19 | CharleroiA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | AnderlechtH | 1–2L |
KVC Westerlo
Scoring in a row
5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak59
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 46.2
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Union St. GilloiseH | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | GenkA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Zulte WaregemH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | KV MechelenA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Standard LiegeH | 4–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | St. TruidenA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | AntwerpH | 5–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Union St. Gilloise
xG difference per match
+0.44
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG26
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.4; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 29.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.40
- xG against
- 0.96
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Zulte Waregem
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.8
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Zulte Waregem’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | GenkH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Union St. GilloiseA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | SK BeverenH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | KVC WesterloA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-06 | KortrijkA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | CharleroiH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | AnderlechtA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | GentH | 0–2L | No |
Lommel United
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-09 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.8
- Recency
- 71.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lommel United’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | St. TruidenA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-16 | CharleroiH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-23 | KVC WesterloH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | Cercle BruggeA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Club Brugge KVH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Union St. GilloiseA | 0–5L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | KV MechelenH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | SK BeverenA | 3–1W | No |
Gent
xG difference per match
+0.35
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG24
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.42; xG against 1.07. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 23.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.42
- xG against
- 1.07
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
SK Beveren
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-09 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.8
- Recency
- 71.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from SK Beveren’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | AntwerpA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-08-16 | AnderlechtH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Zulte WaregemA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-28 | GenkA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-09-06 | OH LeuvenH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | St. TruidenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | KortrijkA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-09 | Lommel UnitedH | 1–3L | No |
Gent
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.1
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-16 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | Club Brugge KVH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-03 | OH LeuvenH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | GenkA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-18 | Standard LiegeH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | Zulte WaregemA | 2–0W |
St. Truiden
xG difference per match
+0.26
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG22
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.01; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 17.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.01
- xG against
- 1.75
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Genk
Points below expected
−1.4
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast40
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 12; xPts 13.4. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 16.2
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 12.0
- xPts
- 13.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
St. Truiden
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 10.4
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from St. Truiden’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Lommel UnitedH | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-14 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-20 | Omonia NicosiaH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | Omonia NicosiaA | 2–4L |
| 2026-08-30 | AntwerpA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-02 | Union St. GilloiseH | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-05 | RAAL La LouvièreH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | SK BeverenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | KVC WesterloH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | KV MechelenA | 3–4L |
Antwerp
xG difference per match
−0.32
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG23
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.27; xG against 1.59. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 21.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.27
- xG against
- 1.59
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Antwerp
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Antwerp’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | SK BeverenH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | KortrijkA | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-08-22 | GenkH | 4–4D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | St. TruidenH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Standard LiegeA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | Club Brugge KVA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Union St. GilloiseH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | KVC WesterloA | 1–5L | Yes |
OH Leuven
Goals conceded per match
1.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.9
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from OH Leuven’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | CharleroiA | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-15 | Club Brugge KVH | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-29 | Standard LiegeH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-03 | GentA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-06 | SK BeverenA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | Cercle BruggeH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-19 | RAAL La LouvièreH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | Union St. GilloiseA | 1–1D |
Cercle Brugge
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Cercle Brugge’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Standard LiegeA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | St. TruidenH | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | Club Brugge KVA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | Lommel UnitedH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-06 | GentH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-12 | OH LeuvenA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | CharleroiA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AnderlechtH | 1–2L | Yes |
KVC Westerlo
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Union St. GilloiseH | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | GenkA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Zulte WaregemH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | KV MechelenA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Standard LiegeH | 4–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | St. TruidenA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-10-11 | AntwerpH | 5–1W | Yes |
Standard Liege
Points below expected
−1.1
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast40
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.1. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 12.7
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 11.0
- xPts
- 12.1
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
SK Beveren
Goals conceded per match
1.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores45
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-09 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.9
- Recency
- 71.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from SK Beveren’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | AntwerpA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-16 | AnderlechtH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-22 | Zulte WaregemA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-28 | GenkA | 0–4L |
| 2026-09-06 | OH LeuvenH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | St. TruidenH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | KortrijkA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-09 | Lommel UnitedH | 1–3L |
Standard Liege
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Standard Liege’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Cercle BruggeH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | KV MechelenA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | RAAL La LouvièreH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-29 | OH LeuvenA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | AntwerpH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | KVC WesterloA | 2–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | GentA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | CharleroiH | 0–1L | No |
Standard Liege
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores44
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 3.7
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Standard Liege’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Cercle BruggeH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-16 | KV MechelenA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-21 | RAAL La LouvièreH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | OH LeuvenA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | AntwerpH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | KVC WesterloA | 2–4L |
| 2026-09-18 | GentA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | CharleroiH | 0–1L |
Standard Liege
Goals conceded per match
1.6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores44
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 3.7
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Standard Liege’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Cercle BruggeH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-16 | KV MechelenA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-21 | RAAL La LouvièreH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | OH LeuvenA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | AntwerpH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | KVC WesterloA | 2–4L |
| 2026-09-18 | GentA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | CharleroiH | 0–1L |
Antwerp
Goals scored per match
1.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores43
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 0.5
- Recency
- 76.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Antwerp’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | SK BeverenH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-15 | KortrijkA | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-22 | GenkH | 4–4D |
| 2026-08-30 | St. TruidenH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-05 | Standard LiegeA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-13 | Club Brugge KVA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-20 | Union St. GilloiseH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | KVC WesterloA | 1–5L |
Genk
Goals conceded per match
1.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores43
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 0.5
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Genk’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-15 | KVC WesterloH | 3–2W |
| 2026-08-22 | AntwerpA | 4–4D |
| 2026-08-28 | SK BeverenH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | AnderlechtA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-13 | GentH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Brugge KVA | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | KortrijkH | 3–0W |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →