Bundesliga Gameweek 17 Wed, Jan 14 2026 · 19:30 RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln
1.FC Köln
1–3 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.65 – 1.31
Bayern München
  • L. Maina 41’
  • 45+5’ S. Gnabry
  • 71’ M. Kim
  • 84’ Lennart Karl
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayern München come from behind to beat 1.FC Köln

Bayern München entered as clear favourites, yet 1.FC Köln led 1–0 after 41 minutes through a Maina goal. But Gnabry, Kim and Karl scored to turn it around for Bayern München, who won 3–1. Bayern München finished with the higher xG (1.31 vs 0.65). On the chances created, 1.FC Köln deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1.FC Köln8%
Draw14%
Bayern München ✓78%

Model vs reality

1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 0.81 · xG 0.65
Bayern München goals
3
Model 2.80 · xG 1.31
Total goals
4
Model 3.61 · xG 1.96
Score 1–3
8%
Most likely 0–2 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 70%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. Maina1.FC Köln · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereePatrick Ittrich
  • VenueRheinEnergieSTADION
  • Table before kick-off1.FC Köln 12th · Bayern München 1st

Timeline

  1. L. Maina 1–0
    41’
  2. S. Gnabry 1–1Assist M. Olise
    45+5’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ Fynn SchentenFor L. Maina
    67’
  5. ⇄ Lennart KarlFor S. Gnabry
    67’
  6. ⇄ D. UpamecanoFor J. Tah
    67’
  7. M. Kim 1–2Assist H. Ito
    71’
  8. ⇄ Í. JóhannessonFor K. Lund
    78’
  9. ⇄ M. BülterFor R. Ache
    78’
  10. ⇄ G. WaldschmidtFor S. El Mala
    79’
  11. ⇄ T. BischofFor M. Olise
    82’
  12. Lennart Karl 1–3Assist L. Díaz
    84’
  13. ⇄ Y. NiangFor J. Thielmann
    85’
  14. ⇄ R. GuerreiroFor H. Ito
    88’
  15. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

1.FC Köln7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
Bayern München19 shots · 14 in box, 5 outside
1.FC KölnBayern München
27% Possession 73%
0.65 Expected goals (xG) 1.31
0.84 Expected points (xPts) 1.87
7 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 8
3 Shots off target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Shots inside the box 14
3 Shots outside the box 5
230 Passes 650
68% Pass accuracy 89%
3 Corners 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Fouls 4
3 Offsides 5
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.60 Team rating 7.02

Line-ups

1.FC Köln 3-4-3

15.9 M. Schwäbe(G)
396.0 C. Özkacar 226.3 J. Simpson-Pusey 285.9 S. Sebulonsen
326.5 K. Lund ↓78’ 166.7 J. Kamiński 57.3 T. Krauß 296.7 J. Thielmann ↓85’
137.0 S. El Mala ↓79’ 96.9 R. Ache ↓78’ 377.9★ L. Maina ↓67’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G)5.9
  • 39C. Özkacar6.0
  • 22J. Simpson-Pusey6.3
  • 28S. Sebulonsen5.9
  • 32K. Lund↓78’6.5
  • 16J. Kamiński6.7
  • 5T. Krauß7.3
  • 29J. Thielmann↓85’6.7
  • 13S. El Mala↓79’7.0
  • 9R. Ache↓78’6.9
  • 37L. Maina ★↓67’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 40Fynn Schenten↑67’6.3
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson↑78’6.5
  • 7G. Waldschmidt↑79’6.3
  • 30M. Bülter↑78’6.5

Unused: R. Zieler, A. Castro-Montes, D. Huseinbašić, F. Kainz

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

17.9 M. Neuer(G)
216.9 H. Ito A↓88’ 46.9 J. Tah ↓67’ 37.5 M. Kim 276.9 K. Laimer
86.6 L. Goretzka 457.2 A. Pavlović
146.9 L. Díaz A 77.3 S. Gnabry ↓67’ 176.2 M. Olise A↓82’
97.0 H. Kane
  • 1M. Neuer (G)7.9
  • 21H. ItoA↓88’6.9
  • 4J. Tah↓67’6.9
  • 3M. Kim7.5
  • 27K. Laimer6.9
  • 8L. Goretzka6.6
  • 45A. Pavlović7.2
  • 14L. DíazA6.9
  • 7S. Gnabry↓67’7.3
  • 17M. OliseA↓82’6.2
  • 9H. Kane7.0

Substitutes used

  • 2D. Upamecano↑67’6.3
  • 42Lennart Karl↑67’7.2
  • 22R. Guerreiro↑88’
  • 20T. Bischof↑82’

Unused: J. Urbig, Cassiano Kiala, David Michael Santos Daiber, Felipe Marlon Chávez, Wisdom Mike

Player stats

Top rated
L. Maina1.FC Köln7.9
2nd
M. NeuerBayern München7.9
3rd
M. KimBayern München7.5

1.FC Köln

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Schwäbe G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 54% 41 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
C. Özkacar D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 26 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.0
J. Simpson-Pusey D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 34 1 2 1/1 0/0 6.3
S. Sebulonsen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 18 1 2 0/2 0/0 5.9
K. Lund D 78 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 9 3 1 0/1 0/1 6.5
J. Kamiński M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 79% 14 1 4 1/2 0/0 6.7
T. Krauß M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 18 5 6 0/0 1/3 7.3
J. Thielmann M 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 15 3 2 1/1 0/0 6.7
S. El Mala F 79 0 0 1 (1) 0 62% 13 0 0 1/3 0/0 7.0
R. Ache F 78 0 0 1 (0) 1 39% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Maina M 67 1 0 1 (1) 1 83% 12 1 0 0/1 0/0 7.9
Fynn Schenten 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Í. Jóhannesson M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
G. Waldschmidt F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Bülter F 12 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5

Bayern München

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Neuer G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 87% 23 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
H. Ito D 88 0 1 2 (1) 2 90% 73 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
J. Tah D 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 55 2 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
M. Kim D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 96% 70 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.5
K. Laimer M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 52 6 2 2/5 0/0 6.9
L. Goretzka M 90 0 0 3 (0) 1 92% 71 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.6
A. Pavlović M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 94 2 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
L. Díaz F 90 0 1 3 (0) 4 85% 52 0 1 4/6 0/0 6.9
S. Gnabry F 67 1 0 3 (3) 2 88% 33 1 0 0/1 1/0 7.3
M. Olise M 82 0 1 2 (2) 2 70% 61 1 0 1/3 1/2 6.2
H. Kane F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 25 2 0 1/2 1/0 7.0
D. Upamecano D 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Lennart Karl M 23 1 0 1 (1) 0 62% 13 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
R. Guerreiro D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
T. Bischof M 8 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.