Bundesliga Gameweek 25 Sat, Mar 7 2026 · 17:30 RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln
1.FC Köln
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.14 – 1.95
Borussia Dortmund
  • J. Kamiński 88’
  • J. Simpson-Pusey 45+2’
  • 16’ S. Guirassy
  • 60’ M. Beier
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Borussia Dortmund beat 1.FC Köln

Borussia Dortmund entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Guirassy and Beier. 1.FC Köln replied through a Kamiński goal. 1.FC Köln played with ten men from the 45th minute after Simpson-Pusey was sent off. Borussia Dortmund finished with the higher xG (1.95 vs 1.14). On the chances created, 1.FC Köln deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1.FC Köln22%
Draw23%
Borussia Dortmund ✓55%

Model vs reality

1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 1.14
Borussia Dortmund goals
2
Model 1.91 · xG 1.95
Total goals
3
Model 3.04 · xG 3.09
Score 1–2
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund
8.3
  • RefereeDaniel Siebert
  • VenueRheinEnergieSTADION
  • Table before kick-off1.FC Köln 13th · Borussia Dortmund 2nd

Timeline

  1. S. Guirassy 0–1Assist M. Beier
    16’
  2. J. Simpson-PuseyRed card · Roughing
    45+2’
  3. A. BensebainiYellow card
    45+5’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ C. ÖzkacarFor Í. Jóhannesson
    46’
  6. M. Beier 0–2Assist J. Brandt
    60’
  7. ⇄ Fábio SilvaFor S. Guirassy
    61’
  8. ⇄ Yan CoutoFor J. Ryerson
    61’
  9. ⇄ L. MainaFor Y. Niang
    75’
  10. ⇄ N. SüleFor A. Bensebaini
    82’
  11. ⇄ K. AdeyemiFor M. Beier
    83’
  12. E. MartelYellow card · Tripping
    86’
  13. ⇄ D. HeintzFor T. Krauß
    86’
  14. ⇄ Cenny NeumannFor S. El Mala
    86’
  15. ⇄ M. BülterFor R. Ache
    86’
  16. J. Kamiński 1–2
    88’
  17. ⇄ J. BellinghamFor F. Nmecha
    90+1’
  18. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

1.FC Köln14 shots · 12 in box, 2 outside
Borussia Dortmund13 shots · 11 in box, 2 outside
1.FC KölnBorussia Dortmund
39% Possession 61%
1.14 Expected goals (xG) 1.95
0.88 Expected points (xPts) 1.90
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
12 Shots inside the box 11
2 Shots outside the box 2
360 Passes 602
80% Pass accuracy 89%
9 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
6.92 Team rating 7.04

Line-ups

1.FC Köln 4-2-3-1

17.5 M. Schwäbe(G)
327.3 K. Lund 225.5 J. Simpson-Pusey 336.5 R. van den Berg 57.2 T. Krauß ↓86’
66.9 E. Martel 186.6 Í. Jóhannesson ↓46’
137.0 S. El Mala ↓86’ 167.7 J. Kamiński 386.5 Y. Niang ↓75’
97.0 R. Ache ↓86’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G)7.5
  • 32K. Lund7.3
  • 22J. Simpson-Pusey5.5
  • 33R. van den Berg6.5
  • 5T. Krauß↓86’7.2
  • 6E. Martel6.9
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson↓46’6.6
  • 13S. El Mala↓86’7.0
  • 16J. Kamiński7.7
  • 38Y. Niang↓75’6.5
  • 9R. Ache↓86’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 3D. Heintz↑86’6.5
  • 36Cenny Neumann↑86’6.3
  • 39C. Özkacar↑46’6.3
  • 37L. Maina↑75’6.3
  • 30M. Bülter↑86’6.7

Unused: R. Zieler, Felipe Marlon Chávez, F. Kainz, G. Waldschmidt

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

17.2 G. Kobel(G)
57.3 A. Bensebaini ↓82’ 48.3★ N. Schlotterbeck 37.3 W. Anton
246.2 D. Svensson 87.0 F. Nmecha ↓90’ 206.9 M. Sabitzer 266.2 J. Ryerson ↓61’
106.5 J. Brandt A 147.7 M. Beier A↓83’
97.2 S. Guirassy ↓61’
  • 1G. Kobel (G)7.2
  • 5A. Bensebaini↓82’7.3
  • 4N. Schlotterbeck ★8.3
  • 3W. Anton7.3
  • 24D. Svensson6.2
  • 8F. Nmecha↓90’7.0
  • 20M. Sabitzer6.9
  • 26J. Ryerson↓61’6.2
  • 10J. BrandtA6.5
  • 14M. BeierA↓83’7.7
  • 9S. Guirassy↓61’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 25N. Süle↑82’6.5
  • 2Yan Couto↑61’6.3
  • 7J. Bellingham↑90’
  • 27K. Adeyemi↑83’6.3
  • 21Fábio Silva↑61’6.6

Unused: A. Meyer, Luca Reggiani, S. Özcan, Samuele Inacio

Player stats

Top rated
N. SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund8.3
2nd
J. Kamiński1.FC Köln7.7
3rd
M. BeierBorussia Dortmund7.7

1.FC Köln

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Schwäbe G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 73% 49 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
K. Lund D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 40 2 3 4/4 0/2 7.3
J. Simpson-Pusey D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 0 0 0/0 1/0 5.5
R. van den Berg D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 31 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
T. Krauß M 86 0 0 0 (0) 2 74% 31 2 1 1/1 1/1 7.2
E. Martel M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 59 2 1 0/1 3/3 6.9
Í. Jóhannesson M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 14 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
S. El Mala F 86 0 0 1 (0) 3 92% 13 0 0 1/3 0/1 7.0
J. Kamiński M 90 1 0 2 (2) 2 68% 31 0 2 0/2 0/0 7.7
Y. Niang 75 0 0 3 (1) 1 67% 12 1 0 0/2 2/2 6.5
R. Ache F 86 0 0 1 (0) 1 71% 17 0 1 1/1 0/0 7.0
D. Heintz D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Cenny Neumann F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
C. Özkacar D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 17 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
L. Maina M 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 6 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
M. Bülter F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Kobel G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 90% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
A. Bensebaini D 82 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 68 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.3
N. Schlotterbeck D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 97% 88 1 0 2/2 0/0 8.3
W. Anton D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 109 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
D. Svensson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 81% 31 1 2 0/1 0/3 6.2
F. Nmecha M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 50 3 3 0/0 3/1 7.0
M. Sabitzer M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 94% 53 3 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
J. Ryerson D 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 32 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
J. Brandt M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 88% 43 0 1 0/1 2/0 6.5
M. Beier F 83 1 1 1 (1) 1 72% 29 0 0 1/1 2/1 7.7
S. Guirassy F 61 1 0 2 (2) 2 79% 14 0 0 0/2 1/2 7.2
N. Süle D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 15 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Yan Couto D 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 27 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.3
J. Bellingham M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
K. Adeyemi F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
Fábio Silva F 29 0 0 2 (1) 0 77% 13 0 0 2/2 1/1 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.