1.FC Köln vs FC Augsburg

Bundesliga Gameweek 29 Sat, Apr 10 · 14:30 Cologne Stadium, Köln

1.FC Köln 12th · 7 pts · 6 played LDLWL

VS— Compare

FC Augsburg 10th · 8 pts · 6 played WDLDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel402 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

1.FC Köln—%

Draw—%

FC Augsburg—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Köln)

Forecast from 26 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak FC Augsburg 6 Scoring in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

1.FC Köln

FC Augsburg

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

34 Current StrengthIn forecast 50

36 AttackIn forecast 72

36 DefenceIn forecast 23

26 Form indexContext 46

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

1.FC Köln

Attack—

Defense risk—

FC Augsburg

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

1.FC Köln

FC Augsburg

1.33 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.67

1.83 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.67 xGVia Att/Def 2.15

1.73 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.95

-0.34 Goals minus xGContext +0.52

83% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 17%

16.33 ShotsContext 15.67

5.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.00

33% On target shareContext 45%

11.50 Shots in the boxContext 11.67

71% Box shareContext 72%

8% ConversionContext 17%

1.00 OffsidesContext 1.75

15.67 Shots allowedContext 21.83

6.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.83

3.83 BlocksContext 6.17

4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.50

71% Save rateContext 70%

48% PossessionIn forecast 42%

417 PassesContext 372

344 Accurate passesContext 288

83% Pass accuracyContext 77%

6.76 Team ratingContext 7.01

11.17 FoulsContext 9.83

11.33 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00

1.83 Yellow cardsContext 1.83

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.30

2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

1.61 xGVia Att/Def 2.02

1.70 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.25

-0.31 Goals minus xGContext +0.28

90% Scored inContext 90%

0% Clean sheetsContext 10%

15.30 ShotsContext 15.10

5.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.30

35% On target shareContext 42%

11.00 Shots in the boxContext 11.10

73% Box shareContext 72%

9% ConversionContext 15%

1.17 OffsidesContext 1.88

14.50 Shots allowedContext 19.20

5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.80

3.80 BlocksContext 5.50

3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.80

60% Save rateContext 71%

47% PossessionIn forecast 41%

414 PassesContext 356

343 Accurate passesContext 274

83% Pass accuracyContext 77%

6.69 Team ratingContext 6.95

9.80 FoulsContext 9.20

9.30 Fouls sufferedContext 9.70

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

1.FC Köln LDLWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km360 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 26 · 4 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -2.2 vs expected

L16 OctA · Eintracht Frankfurt0–11.0 xPts
W11 OctH · Borussia Mönchengladbach2–11.7 xPts
L19 SepA · Hamburger SV1–21.2 xPts
D12 SepH · Werder Bremen1–11.6 xPts
L4 SepA · VfB Stuttgart1–40.7 xPts

FC Augsburg WDLDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel402 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 46 · 5 pts vs 5.4 for an average club · -0.9 vs expected

L17 OctA · SV Elversberg3–41.4 xPts
D10 OctH · Bayern München2–20.5 xPts
L19 SepA · Werder Bremen2–31.5 xPts
D12 SepH · Bayer Leverkusen2–21.3 xPts
W6 SepA · Eintracht Frankfurt4–11.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	1.FC Köln	FC Augsburg
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 3 Apr	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 3 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	402 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	360 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 3	1 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

1.FC Köln Last XI · not confirmed

5-3-2 · vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 0–1, 16 Oct

1M. Schwäbe(G)

3B. Sosa 24L. Lochoshvili 22J. Simpson-Pusey 2Joel Schmied 28S. Sebulonsen

37L. Maina 5T. Krauß 8Í. Jóhannesson

10S. El Mala 30M. Bülter

FC Augsburg Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs SV Elversberg (A) 3–4, 17 Oct

1F. Dahmen(G)

2C. Brackelmann 5C. Matsima 35A. Bah

16Hennes Behrens 32F. Rieder 4H. Massengo 27M. Wolf

21A. Ibrahimović 19Robin Fellhauer

9Rodrigo Ribeiro

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

1.FC Köln Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

FC Augsburg Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

1.FC Köln · Home 2.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 2-1-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.33

FC Augsburg · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-2
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 2.67

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	1.FC Köln	FC Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt	L 0–1 A	W 4–1 A
Werder Bremen	D 1–1 H	L 2–3 A
Points	1 of 6 · 0.50 per game	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

3 1.FC Köln wins3 draws2 FC Augsburg wins

Goals per game1.63 – 1.38 Over 2.538% Both scored75% Clean sheets0% · 25%

27 Feb 2026FC Augsburg2–01.FC Köln
18 Oct 20251.FC Köln1–1FC Augsburg
31 Mar 2024FC Augsburg1–11.FC Köln
4 Nov 20231.FC Köln1–1FC Augsburg
8 Apr 2023FC Augsburg1–31.FC Köln
16 Oct 20221.FC Köln3–2FC Augsburg

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	1.FC Köln	FC Augsburg
Scored per game	1.33	2.67
Conceded per game	1.83	2.00
Match goals	3.17	4.67
Over 1.5	83%	100%
Over 2.5	67%	100%
Over 3.5	33%	83%
Both teams scored	83%	83%
Clean sheets	0%	17%
Failed to score	17%	0%
Games	6	6

	1.FC Köln	FC Augsburg
Scored per game	1.30	2.30
Conceded per game	2.30	1.90
Match goals	3.60	4.20
Over 1.5	90%	100%
Over 2.5	80%	90%
Over 3.5	50%	80%
Both teams scored	90%	80%
Clean sheets	0%	10%
Failed to score	10%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	1.FC Köln	FC Augsburg	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	6.00
Corners conceded	6.33	6.83
Match total	12.33	12.83	10.72
Over 8.5	83% 5/6	83% 5/6
Over 9.5	83% 5/6	83% 5/6
Over 10.5	67% 4/6	83% 5/6
Cards
Cards	1.83	1.83
Opponent cards	1.67	1.50
Match total	3.50	3.33	3.51
Over 3.5	67% 4/6	33% 2/6
Over 4.5	0% 0/6	17% 1/6

	1.FC Köln	FC Augsburg	League
Corners
Corners won	5.78	5.80
Corners conceded	5.44	6.10
Match total	11.22	11.90	10.72
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	78% 7/9	80% 8/10
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	70% 7/10
Cards
Cards	1.80	1.60
Opponent cards	1.70	1.70
Match total	3.50	3.30	3.51
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.