Bundesliga Gameweek 5 Sun, Sep 28 2025 · 16:30 RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln
1.FC Köln
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.05 – 1.85
VfB Stuttgart
  • J. Kamiński 4’
  • 28’ (P) E. Demirović
  • 81’ J. Vagnoman
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart come from behind to beat 1.FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart entered as narrow favourites, yet 1.FC Köln led 1–0 after 4 minutes through a Kamiński goal. But Demirović and Vagnoman scored to turn it around for VfB Stuttgart, who won 2–1. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (1.85 vs 1.05). On the chances created, 1.FC Köln deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1.FC Köln32%
Draw26%
VfB Stuttgart ✓42%

Model vs reality

1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 1.36 · xG 1.05
VfB Stuttgart goals
2
Model 1.57 · xG 1.85
Total goals
3
Model 2.93 · xG 2.90
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. VagnomanVfB Stuttgart · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeMatthias Jollenbeck
  • VenueRheinEnergieSTADION
  • Table before kick-off1.FC Köln 6th · VfB Stuttgart 10th

Timeline

  1. J. Kamiński 1–0Assist R. Ache
    4’
  2. E. Demirović (pen) 1–1
    28’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ M. MittelstädtFor R. Hendriks
    61’
  5. ⇄ S. El MalaFor R. Ache
    62’
  6. ⇄ D. HuseinbašićFor L. Maina
    62’
  7. Joel SchmiedYellow card · Tripping
    67’
  8. ⇄ J. LewelingFor C. Führich
    71’
  9. ⇄ B. BouananiFor Tiago Tomás
    71’
  10. ⇄ F. KainzFor Í. Jóhannesson
    74’
  11. ⇄ K. LundFor J. Thielmann
    74’
  12. T. KraußYellow card · Roughing
    76’
  13. L. JaquezYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    78’
  14. J. Vagnoman 1–2Assist A. Stiller
    81’
  15. ⇄ G. WaldschmidtFor Joel Schmied
    85’
  16. ⇄ N. NarteyFor B. El Khannouss
    86’
  17. ⇄ A. Al DakhilFor L. Jaquez
    86’
  18. B. BouananiYellow card · Delay of game
    90+1’
  19. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

1.FC Köln14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
VfB Stuttgart15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
1.FC KölnVfB Stuttgart
43% Possession 57%
1.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.85
0.86 Expected points (xPts) 1.91
14 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 6
8 Shots inside the box 10
6 Shots outside the box 5
381 Passes 506
82% Pass accuracy 85%
8 Corners 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.67 Team rating 6.82

Line-ups

1.FC Köln 3-5-2

16.0 M. Schwäbe(G)
46.7 T. Hübers 66.5 E. Martel 26.5 Joel Schmied ↓85’
377.0 L. Maina ↓62’ 167.0 J. Kamiński 56.9 T. Krauß 186.9 Í. Jóhannesson ↓74’ 286.6 S. Sebulonsen
97.6 R. Ache A↓62’ 296.2 J. Thielmann ↓74’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G)6.0
  • 4T. Hübers6.7
  • 6E. Martel6.5
  • 2Joel Schmied↓85’6.5
  • 37L. Maina↓62’7.0
  • 16J. Kamiński7.0
  • 5T. Krauß6.9
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson↓74’6.9
  • 28S. Sebulonsen6.6
  • 9R. AcheA↓62’7.6
  • 29J. Thielmann↓74’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 32K. Lund↑74’6.5
  • 11F. Kainz↑74’6.5
  • 8D. Huseinbašić↑62’6.3
  • 13S. El Mala↑62’6.5
  • 7G. Waldschmidt↑85’6.7

Unused: R. Zieler, C. Özkacar, D. Heintz, A. Castro-Montes

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

336.3 A. Nübel(G)
36.7 R. Hendriks ↓61’ 246.9 J. Chabot 147.3 L. Jaquez ↓86’ 47.7★ J. Vagnoman
67.2 A. Stiller A 166.3 A. Karazor
106.3 C. Führich ↓71’ 117.0 B. El Khannouss ↓86’ 86.2 Tiago Tomás ↓71’
97.0 E. Demirović
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.3
  • 3R. Hendriks↓61’6.7
  • 24J. Chabot6.9
  • 14L. Jaquez↓86’7.3
  • 4J. Vagnoman ★7.7
  • 6A. StillerA7.2
  • 16A. Karazor6.3
  • 10C. Führich↓71’6.3
  • 11B. El Khannouss↓86’7.0
  • 8Tiago Tomás↓71’6.2
  • 9E. Demirović7.0

Substitutes used

  • 2A. Al Dakhil↑86’
  • 7M. Mittelstädt↑61’6.9
  • 28N. Nartey↑86’
  • 27B. Bouanani↑71’6.6
  • 18J. Leweling↑71’6.3

Unused: F. Bredlow, P. Stenzel, L. Assignon, Chema Andrés

Player stats

Top rated
J. VagnomanVfB Stuttgart7.7
2nd
R. Ache1.FC Köln7.6
3rd
L. JaquezVfB Stuttgart7.3

1.FC Köln

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Schwäbe G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 64% 50 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.0
T. Hübers D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 47 0 4 0/0 2/1 6.7
E. Martel M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 37 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
Joel Schmied D 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 25 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.5
L. Maina M 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 18 0 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
J. Kamiński M 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 76% 29 0 3 1/3 1/1 7.0
T. Krauß M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 56 2 2 1/3 1/1 6.9
Í. Jóhannesson M 74 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 32 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
S. Sebulonsen D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 72% 25 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.6
R. Ache F 62 0 1 2 (2) 1 64% 14 1 0 0/0 0/5 7.6
J. Thielmann M 74 0 0 2 (1) 0 71% 14 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.2
K. Lund D 16 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
F. Kainz M 16 0 0 0 (0) 2 83% 6 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
D. Huseinbašić M 28 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 12 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
S. El Mala F 28 0 0 3 (2) 0 75% 4 1 0 2/3 0/0 6.5
G. Waldschmidt F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 88% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Hendriks D 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 35 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 72 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.9
L. Jaquez D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 68 2 2 0/0 0/0 7.3
J. Vagnoman D 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 80% 49 3 0 0/0 1/1 7.7
A. Stiller M 90 0 1 0 (0) 5 91% 66 0 0 0/1 0/0 7.2
A. Karazor M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 1 0 0/1 3/2 6.3
C. Führich M 71 0 0 1 (1) 1 83% 36 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
B. El Khannouss M 86 0 0 0 (0) 2 79% 52 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
Tiago Tomás F 71 0 0 3 (1) 1 83% 24 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
E. Demirović F 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 69% 13 1 0 0/0 2/3 7.0
A. Al Dakhil D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
M. Mittelstädt D 29 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
N. Nartey M 4 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
B. Bouanani M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 2 2 0/1 0/1 6.6
J. Leweling F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.