VfB Stuttgart

13th · Bundesliga · 6 points · Matches played: 6

8 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-3.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.0 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 68.3-3.0
World Rank 33rd Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 4th L90 Strength
Last Hamburger SVA xG 1.7–1.5 0–1 Next Atletico MadridH 28%

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Our take

Among the strongest in the league.

VfB Stuttgart build on a top-third attack and back it with a top-third defence. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 3 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. M. Mittelstädt is out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Bayer Leverkusen, in a congested stretch.

Bundesliga · 6 games. Their scorelines look better than their chance balance. Scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest is offset by conceding fewer than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the defensive gap.

Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Top 4 20% · Relegation <1%Likely 6th · 53 projected points
  • Next 5: about 7 of 15 points Toughest at Bayer Leverkusen · , 17% to win · congested stretch
  • 1 key player outM. Mittelstädt · 10% of squad weight missing
  • 6 pts vs 8.6 expected-2.6 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for VfB Stuttgart. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
BundesligaView table →
Position
13th/ 18
Points
61.00 PPG
Played
6
League gap
8pts behind leader
33.3%Win %
Wins2
Draws0
Losses4

Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered

Goals For
81.33 / game
xG 11.43 3.43 fewer goals than expected. vs 8 goals
Goals Against
101.67 / game
xGA 14.26 4.26 fewer conceded than expected. vs 10 conceded
Goal Difference
-2-0.33 / game
xGD -2.83 Goal difference is 0.83 higher than expected. vs -2 GD
Clean Sheets
117% of games

League standings

Bundesliga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Bundesliga table, VfB Stuttgart highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1▲ Bayern München 94 6420 +17 14
2– Borussia Dortmund 81 6420 +7 14
3▼ SC Freiburg 64 6411 +9 13
4– Bayer Leverkusen 79 6411 +7 13
5▲ FSV Mainz 05 55 6312 +4 10
6▲ SV Elversberg 42 6312 +1 10
7▼ RB Leipzig 68 6303 +5 9
8▼ Werder Bremen 43 6231 +0 9
9▲ Hamburger SV 40 6303 -9 9
10▼ FC Augsburg 50 6222 +4 8
11▲ Eintracht Frankfurt 48 6222 -6 8
12▼ 1.FC Köln 34 6213 -3 7
13▼ VfB Stuttgart 68 6204 -2 6
14▲ 1899 Hoffenheim 49 6204 -3 6
15▼ FC Schalke 04 46 6123 -3 5
16▼ SC Paderborn 07 38 6123 -4 5
17▼ Union Berlin 39 6123 -12 5
18– Borussia Mönchengladbach 36 6006 -12 0

18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
VfB Stuttgart league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
130 Aug 20261801
26 Sep 2026932
313 Sep 20261433
420 Sep 20261534
511 Oct 20261165
618 Oct 20261366

Squad 37 players · this season, all competitions · 7 out

Top scorer
E. Demirović5 goals
Most assists
A. Stiller4 assists
Best rated
M. Mittelstädt7.86 avg rating
Injured
Most minutes
J. Chabot686 min
Key to the model
A. StillerStarter · weight 1.73
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
F. Bredlow 31 6 (6) 540 0 0 7.32 rotation
D. Seimen 20 2 (2) 180 0 0 6.83 starter
S. Drljača injured 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
M. Funk 30 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
J. Chabot 28 8 (8) 686 1 0 7.41 starter
J. Vagnoman 25 8 (7) 645 2 1 7.00 rotation
Finn Jeltsch 20 8 (7) 629 0 1 6.98 starter
M. Mittelstädt injured 29 6 (6) 524 1 1 7.86 starter
R. Hendriks 25 7 (5) 471 0 0 6.95 starter
L. Stergiou injured 24 1 (0) 16 0 0 6.00 depth
L. Assignon 26 2 (0) 5 0 1 6.85 rotation
A. Al Dakhil injured 24 1 (0) 4 0 0 6.23 depth
Maximilian Herwerth — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
L. Jaquez 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
D. Zagadou injured 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Midfielders
A. Stiller 25 8 (8) 652 0 4 7.24 starter
G. Prömel 31 8 (6) 562 1 0 6.71 starter
C. Führich 28 7 (6) 468 1 0 7.15 starter
B. El Khannouss 22 8 (5) 435 1 0 7.16 starter
A. Karazor 30 3 (2) 167 0 0 6.73 starter
Yanik Spalt — 2 (0) 56 0 0 6.90 depth
N. Nartey injured 26 1 (0) 6 0 0 6.60 rotation
Chema Andrés 21 1 (0) 2 0 0 6.30 —
M. Catovic 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
B. Bouanani 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Jarzinho Malanga 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
D. Undav 30 8 (7) 588 1 2 6.79 starter
E. Demirović 28 8 (5) 427 5 0 6.92 starter
D. Pejčinović 21 8 (4) 394 0 0 6.37 rotation
J. Leweling 25 8 (3) 318 0 0 6.65 starter
L. Sauer 20 7 (0) 83 0 0 6.47 rotation
Tiago Tomás injured 24 1 (1) 62 0 0 6.70 rotation
L. Jovanović 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Jeremy Arevalo 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Majchrzak 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Lauri Penna — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Tim van der Leij — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Atletico Madrid: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength4th of 18
68 Elo 1761 · World #33
Current Strength
67 With absences before 20 Oct: -10 Elo
Attack5th of 18
70 Scores 1.89 per match against an average top-five side
Defence5th of 18
58 Concedes 1.42 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Bayern München: attack 96, defence 90, L90 Strength 94 Borussia Dortmund: attack 69, defence 80, L90 Strength 81 SC Freiburg: attack 63, defence 73, L90 Strength 64 Bayer Leverkusen: attack 87, defence 79, L90 Strength 79 FSV Mainz 05: attack 68, defence 56, L90 Strength 55 SV Elversberg: attack 44, defence 37, L90 Strength 42 RB Leipzig: attack 76, defence 53, L90 Strength 68 Werder Bremen: attack 56, defence 45, L90 Strength 43 Hamburger SV: attack 37, defence 43, L90 Strength 40 FC Augsburg: attack 72, defence 23, L90 Strength 50 Eintracht Frankfurt: attack 54, defence 37, L90 Strength 48 1.FC Köln: attack 36, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 VfB Stuttgart: attack 70, defence 58, L90 Strength 68 1899 Hoffenheim: attack 46, defence 43, L90 Strength 49 FC Schalke 04: attack 33, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 SC Paderborn 07: attack 34, defence 33, L90 Strength 38 Union Berlin: attack 42, defence 41, L90 Strength 39 Borussia Mönchengladbach: attack 34, defence 21, L90 Strength 36
Every Bundesliga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

46
Form index · 12th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
6
Median top-5 club
6.4
Own forecasts
8.0 -2.0
Table13th L90 Strength4th Form12th

Lower in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L17 OctA · Hamburger SV0–11.8 xPts
  • W14 OctA · Slovan Bratislava3–02.1 xPts
  • W10 OctA · SC Paderborn 072–01.6 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Borussia Dortmund0–11.2 xPts
  • L12 SepA · 1899 Hoffenheim1–21.4 xPts
  • W9 SepH · Viking3–12.6 xPts
  • W4 SepH · 1.FC Köln4–12.1 xPts
  • L28 AugA · Bayern München1–50.5 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 6/8
Clean sheet 2/8
Conceded 2+ 2/8
Over 2.5 5/8
Both teams scored 4/8

Playing style vs Bundesliga average

STULeagueRank
Goals scored 1.33 1.84 12th
Goals conceded 1.67 1.84 7th
xG 1.91 1.75 6th
xG allowed 2.38 1.75 16th
Scored in 67% 76% 12th
Clean sheets 17% 24% 9th
STULeagueRank
Shots 17.00 15.55 6th
Shots on target 5.83 5.77 8th
On target share 34% 35% 9th
Box share 72% 68% 7th
Conversion 8% 12% 15th
STULeagueRank
Shots allowed 18.17 15.55 13th
On target allowed 5.33 5.71 7th
Blocks 5.00 4.49 5th
Save rate 63% 66% 10th
STULeagueRank
Possession 55% 50% 5th
Passes 506 455 5th
Pass accuracy 83% 81% 7th
STULeagueRank
Fouls 9.83 11.43 3rd
Fouls suffered 11.17 11.44 9th
Yellow cards 1.00 1.71 3rd
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 6 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
STULeagueRank
Goals scored 1.90 1.84 8th
Goals conceded 1.40 1.74 6th
xG 1.91 1.71 6th
xG allowed 2.00 1.62 15th
Scored in 80% 80% 9th
Clean sheets 20% 24% 10th
STULeagueRank
Shots 16.80 14.87 4th
Shots on target 6.20 5.55 4th
On target share 37% 36% 9th
Box share 70% 67% 7th
Conversion 11% 12% 10th
STULeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.50 14.13 12th
On target allowed 4.80 5.23 7th
Blocks 5.22 4.08 3rd
Save rate 65% 66% 10th
STULeagueRank
Possession 55% 51% 4th
Passes 502 455 6th
Pass accuracy 84% 82% 5th
STULeagueRank
Fouls 11.10 10.89 12th
Fouls suffered 11.20 10.68 8th
Yellow cards 1.40 1.70 7th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.50pts per game1-0-1 · 2.0–1.0 goals · 2 games
Away0.75pts per game1-0-3 · 1.0–2.0 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

1 0-15
1 1 16-30
1 31-45
3 2 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 4 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 8 12th / 18
GF/G 1.33 12th / 18
xG/G 1.91 6th / 18
G − xG -0.58 18th / 18

Defence

GA 10 7th / 18
GA/G 1.67 7th / 18
xGA/G 2.38 16th / 18
xGA − GA +0.71 2nd / 18

Overall

Pts 6 13th / 18
xPts 8.6 8th / 18
PPG 1.00 13th / 18
TR 7.02 5th / 18
GD -2 10th / 18
xGD -2.8 11th / 18
W 2 9th / 18
L 4 16th / 18

Scorelines

  • 0–1×2
  • 1–5×1
  • 4–1×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 2–0×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
33% 1
17% 2
17% 3
0% 4
33% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
67%81%
Over 2.5
50%74%
Over 3.5
33%56%
Both scored
50%59%
Clean sheet
17%24%
Failed to score
33%24%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.