Bundesliga Gameweek 24 Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 14:30 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
1899 Hoffenheim
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.63 – 0.78
FC St. Pauli
  • 45+4’ M. Pereira Lage
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lage goal decides it for FC St. Pauli

1899 Hoffenheim entered as clear favourites, but FC St. Pauli won 1–0 through a Lage goal. FC St. Pauli won despite the lower xG; 1899 Hoffenheim created the better chances (2.63 vs 0.78). On the chances created, 1899 Hoffenheim deserved more: 2.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1899 Hoffenheim63%
Draw20%
FC St. Pauli ✓17%

Model vs reality

1899 Hoffenheim goals
0
Model 2.22 · xG 2.63
FC St. Pauli goals
1
Model 1.07 · xG 0.78
Total goals
1
Model 3.29 · xG 3.41
Score 0–1
4%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 64%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. VasiljFC St. Pauli
9.5
  • RefereeDeniz Aytekin
  • Coaches— · A. Blessin
  • VenuePreZero Arena
  • Table before kick-off1899 Hoffenheim 3rd · FC St. Pauli 16th

Timeline

  1. O. KabakYellow card · Tripping
    21’
  2. D. SinaniYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    38’
  3. M. Pereira Lage 0–1Assist E. Saliakas
    45+4’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ L. RitzkaFor K. Mets
    46’
  6. ⇄ A. PrassFor W. Burger
    62’
  7. ⇄ BernardoFor R. Hranáč
    74’
  8. ⇄ T. LemperleFor A. Kramarić
    74’
  9. ⇄ C. MetcalfeFor M. Pereira Lage
    75’
  10. J. FujitaYellow card · Delay of game
    80’
  11. C. IlzerYellow card
    83’
  12. ⇄ W. CampbellFor A. Hajdari
    86’
  13. ⇄ A. CeesayFor D. Sinani
    88’
  14. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

1899 Hoffenheim20 shots · 15 in box, 5 outside
FC St. Pauli11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
1899 HoffenheimFC St. Pauli
64% Possession 36%
2.63 Expected goals (xG) 0.78
2.45 Expected points (xPts) 0.41
20 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 3
9 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
15 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 3
541 Passes 299
82% Pass accuracy 69%
9 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 10
12 Fouls 7
4 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.11 Team rating 7.17

Line-ups

1899 Hoffenheim 3-1-4-2

17.0 O. Baumann(G)
217.9 A. Hajdari ↓86’ 56.6 O. Kabak 27.0 R. Hranáč ↓74’
77.7 L. Avdullahu
295.9 B. Toure 187.0 W. Burger ↓62’ 66.9 G. Prömel 348.9 V. Coufal
116.3 F. Asllani 277.3 A. Kramarić ↓74’
  • 1O. Baumann (G)7.0
  • 21A. Hajdari↓86’7.9
  • 5O. Kabak6.6
  • 2R. Hranáč↓74’7.0
  • 7L. Avdullahu7.7
  • 29B. Toure5.9
  • 18W. Burger↓62’7.0
  • 6G. Prömel6.9
  • 34V. Coufal8.9
  • 11F. Asllani6.3
  • 27A. Kramarić↓74’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 13Bernardo↑74’7.0
  • 20W. Campbell↑86’
  • 22A. Prass↑62’6.9
  • 19T. Lemperle↑74’6.3

Unused: L. Philipp, V. Gendrey, K. Akpoguma, M. Damar, Y. Eduardo

FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1

229.5★ N. Vasilj(G)
36.9 K. Mets ↓46’ 87.3 E. Smith 57.2 H. Wahl
116.3 Arkadiusz Pyrka 66.9 J. Sands 76.7 J. Irvine 27.5 E. Saliakas A
287.5 M. Pereira Lage ↓75’ 167.2 J. Fujita
106.2 D. Sinani ↓88’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G) ★9.5
  • 3K. Mets↓46’6.9
  • 8E. Smith7.3
  • 5H. Wahl7.2
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka6.3
  • 6J. Sands6.9
  • 7J. Irvine6.7
  • 2E. SaliakasA7.5
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↓75’7.5
  • 16J. Fujita7.2
  • 10D. Sinani↓88’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 21L. Ritzka↑46’6.7
  • 24C. Metcalfe↑75’6.2
  • 9A. Ceesay↑88’

Unused: B. Voll, Jannik Thomas Robatsch, A. Dźwigała, Louis Oppie, T. Hara, M. Kaars

Coach: A. Blessin

Player stats

Top rated
N. VasiljFC St. Pauli9.5
2nd
V. Coufal1899 Hoffenheim8.9
3rd
A. Hajdari1899 Hoffenheim7.9

1899 Hoffenheim

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
O. Baumann G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 85% 40 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
A. Hajdari D 86 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 61 2 2 0/0 0/1 7.9
O. Kabak D 90 0 0 4 (3) 1 87% 85 1 2 0/0 2/1 6.6
R. Hranáč D 74 0 0 1 (1) 1 87% 53 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
L. Avdullahu M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 92% 72 3 1 0/0 1/0 7.7
B. Toure F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 55% 29 1 0 2/4 2/1 5.9
W. Burger M 62 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 34 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
G. Prömel M 90 0 0 5 (2) 2 79% 34 0 2 0/0 1/1 6.9
V. Coufal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 8 75% 56 0 3 1/1 0/0 8.9
F. Asllani F 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 71% 17 0 0 1/2 4/0 6.3
A. Kramarić F 74 0 0 2 (1) 0 88% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Bernardo D 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 12 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
W. Campbell F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. Prass M 28 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 17 2 1 1/2 0/0 6.9
T. Lemperle F 16 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/2 2/1 6.3

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Vasilj G 90 0 0 10 sv 0 34% 41 0 0 0/0 0/1 9.5
K. Mets D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
E. Smith M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 63% 27 3 2 0/0 0/0 7.3
H. Wahl D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 20 1 1 0/1 0/2 7.2
Arkadiusz Pyrka M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 26 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
J. Sands M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 36 1 4 0/0 0/3 6.9
J. Irvine M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 70% 30 0 2 0/1 1/1 6.7
E. Saliakas D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 75% 20 3 0 0/0 1/0 7.5
M. Pereira Lage M 75 1 0 3 (1) 0 75% 20 2 0 1/1 0/0 7.5
J. Fujita M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 77% 26 2 1 6/9 0/1 7.2
D. Sinani M 88 0 0 2 (2) 1 79% 19 0 0 0/0 4/3 6.2
L. Ritzka D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
C. Metcalfe M 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.2
A. Ceesay F 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.