Bundesliga Gameweek 5 Sat, Oct 10 2026 · 14:30 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
2–3 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.09 – 1.15
  • S. Bornauw 45+6’ (OG)
  • B. Conté 53’
  • Bernardo 65’
  • 12’ Y. Poulsen
  • 83’ T. Moffi
  • 90+4’ M. Muheim
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hamburger SV come from behind to beat 1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim entered as favourites and led 2–1 after 53 minutes through goals from Conté and an own goal. But Moffi and Muheim scored to turn it around for Hamburger SV, who won 3–2. 1899 Hoffenheim played with ten men from the 65th minute after Bernardo was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 1.09 and 1.15. On the chances created, 1899 Hoffenheim deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1899 Hoffenheim57%
Draw21%
Hamburger SV ✓21%

Model vs reality

1899 Hoffenheim goals
2
Model 2.01 · xG 1.09
Hamburger SV goals
3
Model 1.15 · xG 1.15
Total goals
5
Model 3.16 · xG 2.24
Score 2–3
2%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 61%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. PoulsenHamburger SV · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeHarm Osmers
  • CoachesC. Ilzer · M. Polzin
  • VenuePreZero Arena
  • Table before kick-off1899 Hoffenheim 14th · Hamburger SV 16th
  • Weather at kick-off16°C · Mainly clear · wind 16 km/h

Timeline

  1. Y. Poulsen 0–1
    12’
  2. ⇄ M. MuheimFor N. Remberg
    41’
  3. VAR B. ContéGoal cancelled
    45+3’
  4. S. Bornauw (own goal) 1–1
    45+6’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. B. Conté 2–1Assist F. Asllani
    53’
  7. BernardoYellow card · Foul
    55’
  8. ⇄ Otto StangeFor Y. Poulsen
    59’
  9. ⇄ A. KramarićFor F. Asllani
    63’
  10. ⇄ A. HložekFor T. Lemperle
    63’
  11. BernardoSecond yellow
    65’
  12. ⇄ R. HranáčFor K. Machida
    74’
  13. ⇄ A. PrassFor A. Daghim
    74’
  14. ⇄ Alexander Røssing-LelesiitFor Louis Lemke
    76’
  15. ⇄ T. MoffiFor M. Adeline
    76’
  16. ⇄ K. AmoakoFor A. Sambi Lokonga
    76’
  17. L. AvdullahuYellow card · Dissent
    80’
  18. VAR Otto StangeGoal cancelled
    81’
  19. T. Moffi 2–2Assist M. Muheim
    83’
  20. ⇄ V. GendreyFor B. Conté
    87’
  21. M. Muheim 2–3
    90+4’
  22. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

1899 Hoffenheim17 shots · 10 in box, 7 outside
Hamburger SV14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV
64% Possession 36%
1.09 Expected goals (xG) 1.15
1.31 Expected points (xPts) 1.40
17 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 6
8 Blocked shots 4
10 Shots inside the box 9
7 Shots outside the box 5
542 Passes 306
82% Pass accuracy 70%
7 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
6.57 Team rating 6.27

Line-ups

1899 Hoffenheim 4-2-3-1

15.9 O. Baumann(G)
135.3 Bernardo 286.7 K. Machida ↓74’ 56.6 O. Kabak 347.2 V. Coufal
186.3 W. Burger 76.7 L. Avdullahu
146.4 A. Daghim ↓74’ 116.6 F. Asllani A↓63’ 207.9 B. Conté ↓87’
196.5 T. Lemperle ↓63’
  • 1O. Baumann (G)5.9
  • 13Bernardo5.3
  • 28K. Machida↓74’6.7
  • 5O. Kabak6.6
  • 34V. Coufal7.2
  • 18W. Burger6.3
  • 7L. Avdullahu6.7
  • 14A. Daghim↓74’6.4
  • 11F. AsllaniA↓63’6.6
  • 20B. Conté↓87’7.9
  • 19T. Lemperle↓63’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 15V. Gendrey↑87’6.1
  • 10A. Hložek↑63’6.8
  • 2R. Hranáč↑74’6.1
  • 27A. Kramarić↑63’6.5
  • 22A. Prass↑74’6.2

Unused: N. De Cat, M. Moerstedt, L. Philipp, M. Rots

Coach: C. Ilzer

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

16.3 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
176.2 W. Omari 334.8 S. Bornauw 246.6 N. Capaldo
376.0 Louis Lemke ↓76’ 215.9 N. Remberg ↓41’ 66.2 A. Sambi Lokonga ↓76’ 36.4 D. Møller Wolfe
56.1 M. Adeline ↓76’ 206.3 Fábio Vieira
158.0★ Y. Poulsen ↓59’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)6.3
  • 17W. Omari6.2
  • 33S. Bornauw4.8
  • 24N. Capaldo6.6
  • 37Louis Lemke↓76’6.0
  • 21N. Remberg↓41’5.9
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↓76’6.2
  • 3D. Møller Wolfe6.4
  • 5M. Adeline↓76’6.1
  • 20Fábio Vieira6.3
  • 15Y. Poulsen ★↓59’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 19Otto Stange↑59’6.4
  • 28M. MuheimA↑41’6.6
  • 38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit↑76’6.6
  • 9T. Moffi↑76’8.1
  • 22K. Amoako↑76’6.0

Unused: S. Tangvik, J. Torunarigha, I. Pherai, S. Nandja

Coach: M. Polzin

Player stats

Top rated
Y. PoulsenHamburger SV8.0
2nd
B. Conté1899 Hoffenheim7.9
3rd
V. Coufal1899 Hoffenheim7.2

1899 Hoffenheim

Hamburger SV

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.