Serie A Gameweek 3 Sun, Sep 14 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
AC Milan
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.80 – 0.17
Bologna
  • L. Modrić 61’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Modrić goal decides it for AC Milan

AC Milan entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Modrić goal. AC Milan finished with the higher xG (0.80 vs 0.17).

AC Milan ✓47%
Draw27%
Bologna26%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
1
Model 1.50 · xG 0.80
Bologna goals
0
Model 1.06 · xG 0.17
Total goals
1
Model 2.56 · xG 0.97
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. ModrićAC Milan · 1 goal
8.7
  • RefereeMatteo Marcenaro
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 11th · Bologna 13th

Timeline

  1. P. EstupiñánYellow card · Foul
    10’
  2. O. TomoriYellow card · Foul
    18’
  3. A. SaelemaekersYellow card · Foul
    45+1’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ K. De WinterFor S. Pavlović
    46’
  6. ⇄ P. TerraccianoFor M. Maignan
    56’
  7. L. Modrić 1–0Assist A. Saelemaekers
    61’
  8. ⇄ Juan MirandaFor C. Lykogiannis
    62’
  9. ⇄ F. BernardeschiFor G. Fabbian
    63’
  10. ⇄ C. PulišićFor R. Loftus-Cheek
    65’
  11. ⇄ S. RicciFor Y. Fofana
    65’
  12. Juan MirandaYellow card · Foul
    73’
  13. ⇄ J. RoweFor N. Cambiaghi
    74’
  14. ⇄ J. OdgaardFor R. Orsolini
    74’
  15. ⇄ T. DallingaFor S. Castro
    83’
  16. ⇄ C. NkunkuFor S. Giménez
    85’
  17. Ł. SkorupskiYellow card · Argument
    86’
  18. VAR C. NkunkuPenalty cancelled
    88’
  19. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

AC Milan14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Bologna5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
AC MilanBologna
39% Possession 61%
0.80 Expected goals (xG) 0.17
1.91 Expected points (xPts) 0.66
14 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 0
7 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 2
335 Passes 521
86% Pass accuracy 87%
7 Corners 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
17 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-4-2-1

166.6 M. Maignan(G) ↓56’
316.9 S. Pavlović ↓46’ 466.9 M. Gabbia 237.2 O. Tomori
26.7 P. Estupiñán 148.7★ L. Modrić 196.3 Y. Fofana ↓65’ 567.2 A. Saelemaekers A
127.2 A. Rabiot 86.2 R. Loftus-Cheek ↓65’
76.5 S. Giménez ↓85’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)↓56’6.6
  • 31S. Pavlović↓46’6.9
  • 46M. Gabbia6.9
  • 23O. Tomori7.2
  • 2P. Estupiñán6.7
  • 14L. Modrić ★8.7
  • 19Y. Fofana↓65’6.3
  • 56A. SaelemaekersA7.2
  • 12A. Rabiot7.2
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↓65’6.2
  • 7S. Giménez↓85’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 5K. De Winter↑46’6.9
  • 1P. Terracciano (G)↑56’6.6
  • 4S. Ricci↑65’6.9
  • 11C. Pulišić↑65’7.3
  • 18C. Nkunku↑85’6.5

Unused: M. Pittarella, D. Odogu, D. Bartesaghi, Z. Athekame, C. Mul

Bologna 4-3-3

16.6 Ł. Skorupski(G)
226.0 C. Lykogiannis ↓62’ 267.2 J. Lucumí 147.2 T. Heggem 207.0 N. Zortea
86.3 R. Freuler 196.9 L. Ferguson 806.7 G. Fabbian ↓63’
286.9 N. Cambiaghi ↓74’ 96.5 S. Castro ↓83’ 76.7 R. Orsolini ↓74’
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)6.6
  • 22C. Lykogiannis↓62’6.0
  • 26J. Lucumí7.2
  • 14T. Heggem7.2
  • 20N. Zortea7.0
  • 8R. Freuler6.3
  • 19L. Ferguson6.9
  • 80G. Fabbian↓63’6.7
  • 28N. Cambiaghi↓74’6.9
  • 9S. Castro↓83’6.5
  • 7R. Orsolini↓74’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 33Juan Miranda↑62’6.7
  • 10F. Bernardeschi↑63’6.3
  • 21J. Odgaard↑74’6.7
  • 11J. Rowe↑74’6.7
  • 24T. Dallinga↑83’6.2

Unused: Ukko Happonen, F. Ravaglia, L. De Silvestri, B. Tomašević, M. Vitík, B. Domínguez, N. Moro

Player stats

Top rated
L. ModrićAC Milan8.7
2nd
C. PulišićAC Milan7.3
3rd
O. TomoriAC Milan7.2

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Maignan G 56 0 0 0 sv 0 85% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
S. Pavlović D 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 24 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
M. Gabbia D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 26 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
O. Tomori D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 37 2 2 0/0 2/0 7.2
P. Estupiñán D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 36 1 0 1/2 2/1 6.7
L. Modrić M 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 84% 44 4 2 0/1 0/3 8.7
Y. Fofana M 65 0 0 0 (0) 2 80% 20 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.3
A. Saelemaekers F 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 83% 30 1 0 0/0 3/3 7.2
A. Rabiot M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 27 4 0 3/4 4/3 7.2
R. Loftus-Cheek M 65 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 10 0 0 0/3 2/0 6.2
S. Giménez F 85 0 0 5 (2) 0 100% 8 1 0 1/3 0/0 6.5
K. De Winter D 44 0 0 1 (0) 0 73% 15 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
P. Terracciano G 34 0 0 0 sv 0 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
S. Ricci M 25 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 11 0 1 1/1 0/1 6.9
C. Pulišić M 25 0 0 0 (0) 3 90% 10 0 0 2/4 0/1 7.3
C. Nkunku F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.5

Bologna

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Ł. Skorupski G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 83% 58 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
C. Lykogiannis D 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 27 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.0
J. Lucumí D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 80 5 1 2/2 2/1 7.2
T. Heggem D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 59 3 1 0/0 2/0 7.2
N. Zortea M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 79% 43 3 0 1/2 0/1 7.0
R. Freuler M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 52 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
L. Ferguson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 102 0 0 0/0 3/0 6.9
G. Fabbian M 63 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 12 0 0 0/0 1/3 6.7
N. Cambiaghi F 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 18 0 0 1/1 0/7 6.9
S. Castro F 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 10 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.5
R. Orsolini F 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 45% 11 1 0 1/3 0/1 6.7
Juan Miranda D 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 23 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.7
F. Bernardeschi F 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Odgaard F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Rowe F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
T. Dallinga F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.