AC Milan

4th · Serie A · 15 points · Matches played: 7

4 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+5.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
66.2+5.0
World Rank 39th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 5th L90 Strength

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Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

Mid-table strength, top-table form.

AC Milan build on a top-three attack and back it with a top-third defence. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 3 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. A. Saelemaekers is out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Bournemouth, in a congested stretch.

They dominate the ball, with 60% possession, 3rd in the league. They are clinical in front of goal (16% of shots scored), and allow very few chances (10 shots a game against). Home is where they earn their points: 3.0 per game there against 1.5 away.

  • Top 4 58% · Relegation 0%Likely 4th · 71 projected points
  • Next 5: about 8 of 15 points Toughest at Bournemouth · , 21% to win · congested stretch
  • 1 key player outA. Saelemaekers · 8% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 15 pts vs 12.1 expected+2.9 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for AC Milan. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
Position
4th/ 20
Points
152.14 PPG
Played
7
League gap
4pts behind leader
57.1%Win %
Wins4
Draws3
Losses0

Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
142.00 / game
xG 10.98 2.02 more goals than expected. vs 13 goals
Goals Against
71.00 / game
xGA 7.15 1.15 fewer conceded than expected. vs 6 conceded
Goal Difference
+7+1.00 / game
xGD +3.83 Goal difference is 3.17 higher than expected. vs +7 GD
Clean Sheets
229% of games

League standings

Serie A · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Serie A table, AC Milan highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Inter 84 7610 +12 19
2– Lazio 62 7610 +10 19
3– AS Roma 74 7520 +13 17
4▲ AC Milan 66 7430 +7 15
5▲ Como 67 7421 +5 14
6▲ Frosinone 30 7412 +4 13
7▼ Cagliari 33 7412 -1 13
8▼ Juventus 67 7322 +1 11
9▼ Napoli 63 7313 +3 10
10▲ Torino 39 7313 +1 10
11▼ Atalanta 59 7304 -1 9
12▲ Lecce 28 7304 -3 9
13▼ Sassuolo 33 7223 -2 8
14▲ Monza 18 7214 -2 7
15▼ Bologna 47 7124 -4 5
16▼ Udinese 32 7115 -7 4
17– Genoa 29 7115 -8 4
18▲ Fiorentina 39 7115 -9 4
19▼ Parma 28 7115 -9 4
20– Venezia 15 7106 -10 3

20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
AC Milan league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
124 Aug 2026531
231 Aug 2026362
37 Sep 2026573
414 Sep 2026684
520 Sep 20265115
612 Oct 20265126
719 Oct 20264157

Squad 38 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
A. Cissè5 goals
Most assists
A. Rabiot4 assists
Best rated
Diego Moreira7.37 avg rating
Most minutes
M. Maignan810 min
Key to the model
A. RabiotCore · weight 2.55

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Bournemouth: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Serie A · 20 clubs

L90 Strength5th of 20
66 Elo 1747 · World #39
Current Strength
66 With absences before 22 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack3rd of 20
72 Scores 1.92 per match against an average top-five side
Defence5th of 20
69 Concedes 1.27 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Inter: attack 91, defence 73, L90 Strength 84 Lazio: attack 53, defence 63, L90 Strength 62 AS Roma: attack 72, defence 75, L90 Strength 74 AC Milan: attack 72, defence 69, L90 Strength 66 Como: attack 72, defence 67, L90 Strength 67 Frosinone: attack 41, defence 25, L90 Strength 30 Cagliari: attack 31, defence 31, L90 Strength 33 Juventus: attack 57, defence 76, L90 Strength 67 Napoli: attack 61, defence 70, L90 Strength 63 Torino: attack 39, defence 47, L90 Strength 39 Atalanta: attack 48, defence 45, L90 Strength 59 Lecce: attack 36, defence 30, L90 Strength 28 Sassuolo: attack 41, defence 32, L90 Strength 33 Monza: attack 34, defence 26, L90 Strength 18 Bologna: attack 35, defence 48, L90 Strength 47 Udinese: attack 22, defence 18, L90 Strength 32 Genoa: attack 23, defence 44, L90 Strength 29 Fiorentina: attack 42, defence 34, L90 Strength 39 Parma: attack 20, defence 33, L90 Strength 28 Venezia: attack 21, defence 14, L90 Strength 15
Every Serie A club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed

74
Form index · 4th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
10
Median top-5 club
7.1
Own forecasts
8.5 +1.5
Table4th L90 Strength5th Form4th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W18 OctH · Atalanta3–22.1 xPts
  • W15 OctA · Red Bull Salzburg4–01.4 xPts
  • D11 OctA · Sassuolo1–11.6 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Lecce3–02.3 xPts
  • L16 SepH · Benfica0–21.0 xPts
  • D12 SepA · Lazio2–21.3 xPts
  • D6 SepA · Juventus1–11.0 xPts
  • W28 AugH · Venezia2–02.4 xPts
  • W23 AugA · Torino2–11.5 xPts

Trends last 9, all competitions

Scored 8/9
Clean sheet 3/9
Conceded 2+ 3/9
Over 2.5 5/9
Both teams scored 5/9

Playing style vs Serie A average

MILLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.00 1.47 3rd
Goals conceded 1.00 1.48 3rd
xG 1.83 1.47 4th
xG allowed 1.19 1.48 6th
Scored in 100% 78% 1st
Clean sheets 29% 21% 6th
MILLeagueRank
Shots 12.29 14.36 15th
Shots on target 4.71 4.90 10th
On target share 38% 34% 4th
Box share 67% 64% 7th
Conversion 16% 10% 1st
MILLeagueRank
Shots allowed 9.57 14.48 2nd
On target allowed 3.57 4.92 3rd
Blocks 2.67 3.76 17th
Save rate 75% 70% 5th
MILLeagueRank
Possession 60% 50% 3rd
Passes 583 459 3rd
Pass accuracy 90% 85% 3rd
MILLeagueRank
Fouls 9.29 10.66 5th
Fouls suffered 12.00 10.73 5th
Yellow cards 1.86 1.64 12th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
MILLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.90 1.45 4th
Goals conceded 1.10 1.50 3rd
xG 1.97 1.45 3rd
xG allowed 1.27 1.46 6th
Scored in 90% 75% 2nd
Clean sheets 30% 21% 5th
MILLeagueRank
Shots 13.20 13.78 10th
Shots on target 5.00 4.77 8th
On target share 38% 34% 5th
Box share 69% 64% 4th
Conversion 14% 10% 1st
MILLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.70 14.16 4th
On target allowed 4.10 4.83 5th
Blocks 3.44 3.64 12th
Save rate 78% 70% 4th
MILLeagueRank
Possession 57% 50% 3rd
Passes 556 453 3rd
Pass accuracy 90% 85% 3rd
MILLeagueRank
Fouls 9.90 10.85 6th
Fouls suffered 11.80 10.97 7th
Yellow cards 1.70 1.63 12th
Red cards 0.10 0.04 14th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home3.00pts per game3-0-0 · 2.7–0.7 goals · 3 games
Away1.50pts per game1-3-0 · 1.5–1.2 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

1 1 0-15
1 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
9 2 61-75
1 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Serie A · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 14 3rd / 20
GF/G 2.00 3rd / 20
xG/G 1.83 4th / 20
G − xG +0.17 6th / 20

Defence

GA 7 3rd / 20
GA/G 1.00 3rd / 20
xGA/G 1.19 6th / 20
xGA − GA +0.19 8th / 20

Overall

Pts 15 4th / 20
xPts 12.1 5th / 20
PPG 2.14 4th / 20
TR 6.98 5th / 20
GD +7 4th / 20
xGD +4.5 5th / 20
W 4 4th / 20
L 0 1st / 20

Scorelines

  • 1–1×2
  • 2–1×1
  • 2–0×1
  • 2–2×1
  • 3–0×1
  • 3–2×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
43% 2
29% 3
14% 4
14% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%84%
Over 2.5
57%60%
Over 3.5
29%30%
Both scored
71%57%
Clean sheet
29%22%
Failed to score
0%22%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.