Serie A Gameweek 24 Wed, Feb 18 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.76 – 1.45
  • Rafael Leão 64’
  • M. Allegri 80’
  • 32’ N. Paz
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AC Milan and Como share the points

AC Milan entered as favourites, yet Como led 1–0 at half-time through a Paz goal. But Leão scored to rescue a draw for AC Milan. AC Milan played with ten men from the 80th minute after Allegri was sent off. Como finished with the higher xG (1.45 vs 0.76). On the chances created, Como deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

AC Milan52%
Draw ✓25%
Como23%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
1
Model 1.69 · xG 0.76
Como goals
1
Model 1.05 · xG 1.45
Total goals
2
Model 2.75 · xG 2.21
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRafael LeãoAC Milan · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeMaurizio Mariani
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 2nd · Como 7th

Timeline

  1. N. Paz 0–1
    32’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ M. GabbiaFor S. Pavlović
    46’
  4. N. PazYellow card
    53’
  5. ⇄ Y. FofanaFor S. Ricci
    56’
  6. ⇄ A. SaelemaekersFor Z. Athekame
    56’
  7. ⇄ N. FüllkrugFor C. Nkunku
    62’
  8. J. ButezYellow card · Delay of game
    63’
  9. Rafael Leão 1–1Assist A. Jashari
    64’
  10. Rafael LeãoYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    68’
  11. Jacobo RamónYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    68’
  12. ⇄ Álex ValleFor I. Van der Brempt
    71’
  13. ⇄ A. DouvikasFor N. Paz
    71’
  14. ⇄ Jesús RodríguezFor M. Caqueret
    78’
  15. ⇄ L. da CunhaFor Sergi Roberto
    78’
  16. M. AllegriRed card
    80’
  17. ⇄ C. PulišićFor Rafael Leão
    82’
  18. A. SaelemaekersYellow card · Holding
    87’
  19. ⇄ I. SmolčićFor M. Vojvoda
    90’
  20. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

AC Milan6 shots · 5 in box, 1 outside
Como10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
AC MilanComo
53% Possession 47%
0.76 Expected goals (xG) 1.45
0.86 Expected points (xPts) 1.87
6 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 3
496 Passes 442
91% Pass accuracy 90%
4 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 12
5 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.75

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-5-2

166.7 M. Maignan(G)
316.7 S. Pavlović ↓46’ 57.2 K. De Winter 236.9 O. Tomori
337.2 D. Bartesaghi 307.2 A. Jashari A 147.2 L. Modrić 46.5 S. Ricci ↓56’ 246.5 Z. Athekame ↓56’
186.3 C. Nkunku ↓62’ 107.7★ Rafael Leão ↓82’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.7
  • 31S. Pavlović↓46’6.7
  • 5K. De Winter7.2
  • 23O. Tomori6.9
  • 33D. Bartesaghi7.2
  • 30A. JashariA7.2
  • 14L. Modrić7.2
  • 4S. Ricci↓56’6.5
  • 24Z. Athekame↓56’6.5
  • 18C. Nkunku↓62’6.3
  • 10Rafael Leão ★↓82’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 46M. Gabbia↑46’7.5
  • 56A. Saelemaekers↑56’7.3
  • 19Y. Fofana↑56’6.2
  • 9N. Füllkrug↑62’6.3
  • 11C. Pulišić↑82’6.3

Unused: L. Torriani, P. Terracciano, P. Estupiñán, D. Odogu, R. Loftus-Cheek

Como 3-4-2-1

17.0 J. Butez(G)
26.5 M. Kempf 346.6 Diego Carlos 146.3 Jacobo Ramón
317.0 M. Vojvoda ↓90’ 237.0 M. Perrone 86.9 Sergi Roberto ↓78’ 776.2 I. Van der Brempt ↓71’
207.0 M. Baturina 66.6 M. Caqueret ↓78’
107.3 N. Paz ↓71’
  • 1J. Butez (G)7.0
  • 2M. Kempf6.5
  • 34Diego Carlos6.6
  • 14Jacobo Ramón6.3
  • 31M. Vojvoda↓90’7.0
  • 23M. Perrone7.0
  • 8Sergi Roberto↓78’6.9
  • 77I. Van der Brempt↓71’6.2
  • 20M. Baturina7.0
  • 6M. Caqueret↓78’6.6
  • 10N. Paz↓71’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 3Álex Valle↑71’6.7
  • 11A. Douvikas↑71’6.5
  • 17Jesús Rodríguez↑78’6.7
  • 33L. da Cunha↑78’6.5
  • 28I. Smolčić↑90’

Unused: M. Vigorito, N. Törnqvist, N. Čavlina, Alberto Moreno, A. Lahdo, J. Addai, N. Kühn

Player stats

Top rated
Rafael LeãoAC Milan7.7
2nd
M. GabbiaAC Milan7.5
3rd
A. SaelemaekersAC Milan7.3

AC Milan

Como

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.