Serie A Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 23 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.31 – 0.30
  • S. Pavlović 45+1’
  • 28’ F. Baschirotto
  • 61’ F. Bonazzoli
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Cremonese beat AC Milan

AC Milan entered as clear favourites, but Cremonese won 2–1 through goals from Baschirotto and Bonazzoli. AC Milan replied through a Pavlović goal. Cremonese won despite the lower xG; AC Milan created the better chances (1.31 vs 0.30). On the chances created, AC Milan deserved more: 2.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AC Milan75%
Draw17%
Cremonese ✓8%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
1
Model 2.34 · xG 1.31
Cremonese goals
2
Model 0.66 · xG 0.30
Total goals
3
Model 3.00 · xG 1.61
Score 1–2
3%
Most likely 2–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 44%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchF. BaschirottoCremonese · 1 goal
8.6
  • RefereeGiuseppe Collu
  • Coaches— · D. Nicola
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza

Timeline

  1. F. Baschirotto 0–1Assist A. Zerbin
    28’
  2. S. Pavlović 1–1Assist P. Estupiñán
    45+1’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ Álex JiménezFor P. Estupiñán
    46’
  5. A. GrassiYellow card · Roughing
    48’
  6. ⇄ M. PayeroFor J. Vandeputte
    57’
  7. ⇄ W. BondoFor A. Grassi
    57’
  8. F. Bonazzoli 1–2Assist G. Pezzella
    61’
  9. ⇄ A. SanabriaFor D. Okereke
    65’
  10. ⇄ S. ChukwuezeFor O. Tomori
    66’
  11. F. TerraccianoYellow card · Roughing
    69’
  12. ⇄ A. JashariFor L. Modrić
    74’
  13. M. PayeroYellow card · Roughing
    77’
  14. Álex JiménezYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    78’
  15. ⇄ M. De LucaFor F. Bonazzoli
    84’
  16. ⇄ F. CeccheriniFor M. Bianchetti
    84’
  17. W. BondoYellow card · Tripping
    88’
  18. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

AC Milan22 shots · 14 in box, 8 outside
Cremonese4 shots · 4 in box
AC MilanCremonese
64% Possession 36%
1.31 Expected goals (xG) 0.30
2.18 Expected points (xPts) 0.54
22 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 3
9 Shots off target 1
8 Blocked shots 0
14 Shots inside the box 4
8 Shots outside the box 0
608 Passes 338
91% Pass accuracy 82%
7 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.79 Team rating 6.95

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-5-2

166.5 M. Maignan(G)
317.7 S. Pavlović 467.2 M. Gabbia 236.3 O. Tomori ↓66’
27.3 P. Estupiñán A↓46’ 196.5 Y. Fofana 147.3 L. Modrić ↓74’ 86.0 R. Loftus-Cheek 567.2 A. Saelemaekers
116.3 C. Pulišić 76.5 S. Giménez
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.5
  • 31S. Pavlović7.7
  • 46M. Gabbia7.2
  • 23O. Tomori↓66’6.3
  • 2P. EstupiñánA↓46’7.3
  • 19Y. Fofana6.5
  • 14L. Modrić↓74’7.3
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek6.0
  • 56A. Saelemaekers7.2
  • 11C. Pulišić6.3
  • 7S. Giménez6.5

Substitutes used

  • 20Álex Jiménez↑46’6.6
  • 21S. Chukwueze↑66’7.3
  • 30A. Jashari↑74’6.9

Unused: P. Terracciano, M. Pittarella, K. De Winter, D. Bartesaghi, Z. Athekame, S. Ricci, Y. Musah

Cremonese 3-5-2

17.2 E. Audero(G)
156.5 M. Bianchetti ↓84’ 68.6★ F. Baschirotto 247.0 F. Terracciano
36.5 G. Pezzella A 276.7 J. Vandeputte ↓57’ 336.5 A. Grassi ↓57’ 186.3 M. Collocolo 77.2 A. Zerbin A
907.9 F. Bonazzoli ↓84’ 776.2 D. Okereke ↓65’
  • 1E. Audero (G)7.2
  • 15M. Bianchetti↓84’6.5
  • 6F. Baschirotto ★8.6
  • 24F. Terracciano7.0
  • 3G. PezzellaA6.5
  • 27J. Vandeputte↓57’6.7
  • 33A. Grassi↓57’6.5
  • 18M. Collocolo6.3
  • 7A. ZerbinA7.2
  • 90F. Bonazzoli↓84’7.9
  • 77D. Okereke↓65’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 38W. Bondo↑57’6.6
  • 32M. Payero↑57’6.3
  • 99A. Sanabria↑65’6.2
  • 23F. Ceccherini↑84’6.7
  • 9M. De Luca↑84’6.5

Unused: L. Nava, M. Silvestri, F. Folino, L. Sernicola, D. Lordkipanidze, R. Floriani Mussolini, M. Castagnetti

Coach: D. Nicola

Player stats

Top rated
F. BaschirottoCremonese8.6
2nd
F. BonazzoliCremonese7.9
3rd
S. PavlovićAC Milan7.7

AC Milan

Cremonese

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.