Serie A Gameweek 7 Sun, Oct 19 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
AC Milan
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.56 – 1.05
Fiorentina
  • Rafael Leão 63’, 86’ (P)
  • 55’ R. Gosens
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AC Milan come from behind to beat Fiorentina

AC Milan entered as favourites, yet Fiorentina led 1–0 after 55 minutes through a Gosens goal. But Leão struck twice to turn it around for AC Milan, who won 2–1. AC Milan finished with the higher xG (2.56 vs 1.05).

AC Milan ✓50%
Draw27%
Fiorentina23%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
2
Model 1.56 · xG 2.56
Fiorentina goals
1
Model 0.97 · xG 1.05
Total goals
3
Model 2.53 · xG 3.61
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 46%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRafael LeãoAC Milan · 2 goals
8.3
  • RefereeLivio Marinelli
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 5th · Fiorentina 18th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. Z. AthekameYellow card · Foul
    50’
  3. H. NicolussiYellow card · Tripping
    54’
  4. R. Gosens 0–1
    55’
  5. ⇄ S. GiménezFor Z. Athekame
    57’
  6. Y. FofanaYellow card · Elbowing
    60’
  7. Rafael Leão 1–1Assist S. Pavlović
    63’
  8. ⇄ F. ParisiFor R. Gosens
    70’
  9. ⇄ A. GuðmundssonFor J. Fazzini
    70’
  10. O. TomoriYellow card · Tripping
    74’
  11. ⇄ R. PiccoliFor M. Kean
    77’
  12. F. ParisiYellow card · Holding
    85’
  13. Rafael Leão (pen) 2–1
    86’
  14. ⇄ S. SohmFor H. Nicolussi
    87’
  15. L. RanieriYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    88’
  16. ⇄ E. DžekoFor R. Mandragora
    88’
  17. ⇄ K. De WinterFor A. Saelemaekers
    90’
  18. ⇄ C. MulFor Rafael Leão
    90+3’
  19. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

AC Milan14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Fiorentina4 shots · 2 in box, 2 outside
AC MilanFiorentina
57% Possession 43%
2.56 Expected goals (xG) 1.05
2.26 Expected points (xPts) 0.57
14 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
7 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 2
4 Shots outside the box 2
484 Passes 358
88% Pass accuracy 84%
1 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Fouls 4
0 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.06 Team rating 6.54

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-5-2

166.9 M. Maignan(G)
317.3 S. Pavlović A 466.9 M. Gabbia 237.0 O. Tomori
336.9 D. Bartesaghi 46.9 S. Ricci 147.5 L. Modrić 196.7 Y. Fofana 246.3 Z. Athekame ↓57’
108.3★ Rafael Leão ↓90’ 566.6 A. Saelemaekers ↓90’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.9
  • 31S. PavlovićA7.3
  • 46M. Gabbia6.9
  • 23O. Tomori7.0
  • 33D. Bartesaghi6.9
  • 4S. Ricci6.9
  • 14L. Modrić7.5
  • 19Y. Fofana6.7
  • 24Z. Athekame↓57’6.3
  • 10Rafael Leão ★↓90’8.3
  • 56A. Saelemaekers↓90’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 7S. Giménez↑57’7.2
  • 5K. De Winter↑90’
  • 25C. Mul↑90’

Unused: P. Terracciano, M. Pittarella, D. Odogu, Emanuele Sala

Fiorentina 3-5-1-1

437.0 David de Gea(G)
66.9 L. Ranieri 186.5 Pablo Marí 56.3 M. Pongračić
216.7 R. Gosens ↓70’ 447.2 N. Fagioli 146.0 H. Nicolussi ↓87’ 86.2 R. Mandragora ↓88’ 26.2 Dodô
226.9 J. Fazzini ↓70’
206.2 M. Kean ↓77’
  • 43David de Gea (G)7.0
  • 6L. Ranieri6.9
  • 18Pablo Marí6.5
  • 5M. Pongračić6.3
  • 21R. Gosens↓70’6.7
  • 44N. Fagioli7.2
  • 14H. Nicolussi↓87’6.0
  • 8R. Mandragora↓88’6.2
  • 2Dodô6.2
  • 22J. Fazzini↓70’6.9
  • 20M. Kean↓77’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 65F. Parisi↑70’6.2
  • 10A. Guðmundsson↑70’6.5
  • 91R. Piccoli↑77’6.3
  • 7S. Sohm↑87’6.3
  • 9E. Džeko↑88’6.6

Unused: T. Martinelli, L. Lezzerini, M. Viti, P. Comuzzo, E. Kouadio, C. Ndour, N. Fortini, A. Sabiri

Player stats

Top rated
Rafael LeãoAC Milan8.3
2nd
L. ModrićAC Milan7.5
3rd
S. PavlovićAC Milan7.3

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Maignan G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 96% 24 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
S. Pavlović D 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 93% 70 1 0 0/0 2/2 7.3
M. Gabbia D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 43 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
O. Tomori D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 70 4 1 0/0 1/0 7.0
D. Bartesaghi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 89% 38 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
S. Ricci M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 52 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.9
L. Modrić M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 90% 50 5 1 0/0 1/0 7.5
Y. Fofana M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 82% 33 1 0 1/3 1/1 6.7
Z. Athekame D 57 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 22 2 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
Rafael Leão F 90 2 0 2 (2) 1 87% 23 1 1 1/1 3/2 8.3
A. Saelemaekers F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 56 1 0 3/4 0/1 6.6
S. Giménez F 33 0 0 2 (1) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/1 1/2 7.2
K. De Winter D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 1 1 0/0 2/0 —
C. Mul F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Fiorentina

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David de Gea G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 47% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
L. Ranieri D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 49 1 0 1/1 1/3 6.9
Pablo Marí D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 44 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
M. Pongračić D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 51 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.3
R. Gosens D 70 1 0 1 (1) 0 71% 17 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.7
N. Fagioli M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 94% 47 2 2 0/1 0/2 7.2
H. Nicolussi M 87 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 44 0 1 0/0 4/0 6.0
R. Mandragora M 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 19 0 1 0/0 1/2 6.2
Dodô D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 72% 25 0 0 1/4 0/1 6.2
J. Fazzini M 70 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 23 1 1 1/2 0/1 6.9
M. Kean F 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 2 1/4 1/1 6.2
F. Parisi D 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
A. Guðmundsson F 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
R. Piccoli F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
S. Sohm M 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
E. Džeko F 2 0 0 0 (0) 1 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.