Serie A Gameweek 19 Thu, Jan 8 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
AC Milan
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.32 – 0.53
Genoa
  • Rafael Leão 90+2’
  • 28’ L. Colombo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AC Milan snatch a late draw

AC Milan entered as clear favourites, yet Genoa led 1–0 at half-time through a Colombo goal. But Leão scored to rescue a draw for AC Milan. AC Milan finished with the higher xG (2.32 vs 0.53). On the chances created, AC Milan deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 1 point they took.

AC Milan69%
Draw ✓20%
Genoa11%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
1
Model 2.08 · xG 2.32
Genoa goals
1
Model 0.72 · xG 0.53
Total goals
2
Model 2.80 · xG 2.85
Score 1–1
10%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 45%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. LealiGenoa
9.2
  • RefereeMaurizio Mariani
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 2nd · Genoa 17th

Timeline

  1. L. Colombo 0–1Assist R. Malinovskyi
    28’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ R. Loftus-CheekFor Y. Fofana
    46’
  4. VAR C. PulišićGoal Disallowed - handball
    58’
  5. ⇄ P. MasiniFor M. Thorsby
    63’
  6. ⇄ M. EllertssonFor R. Malinovskyi
    64’
  7. ⇄ N. FüllkrugFor A. Saelemaekers
    65’
  8. M. GabbiaYellow card · Tripping
    70’
  9. ⇄ J. EkhatorFor Vítinha
    75’
  10. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor M. Gabbia
    75’
  11. N. LealiYellow card · Delay of game
    80’
  12. ⇄ S. OtoaFor L. Colombo
    83’
  13. ⇄ N. StanciuFor Aarón Martín
    83’
  14. Rafael Leão 1–1
    90+2’
  15. M. MaignanYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+7’
  16. S. PavlovićYellow card
    90+7’
  17. ✕ N. StanciuMissed penalty
    90+9’
  18. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

AC Milan32 shots · 25 in box, 7 outside
Genoa6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
AC MilanGenoa
61% Possession 39%
2.32 Expected goals (xG) 0.53
2.49 Expected points (xPts) 0.36
32 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
9 Shots off target 2
15 Blocked shots 2
25 Shots inside the box 4
7 Shots outside the box 2
548 Passes 372
90% Pass accuracy 80%
12 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.17 Team rating 7.15

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-5-2

166.3 M. Maignan(G)
317.9 S. Pavlović 467.0 M. Gabbia ↓75’ 237.7 O. Tomori
337.2 D. Bartesaghi 128.0 A. Rabiot 147.2 L. Modrić 196.2 Y. Fofana ↓46’ 566.6 A. Saelemaekers ↓65’
116.9 C. Pulišić 107.9 Rafael Leão
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.3
  • 31S. Pavlović7.9
  • 46M. Gabbia↓75’7.0
  • 23O. Tomori7.7
  • 33D. Bartesaghi7.2
  • 12A. Rabiot8.0
  • 14L. Modrić7.2
  • 19Y. Fofana↓46’6.2
  • 56A. Saelemaekers↓65’6.6
  • 11C. Pulišić6.9
  • 10Rafael Leão7.9

Substitutes used

  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↑46’6.6
  • 9N. Füllkrug↑65’5.9
  • 24Z. Athekame↑75’6.6

Unused: L. Torriani, P. Terracciano, D. Odogu, P. Estupiñán, K. De Winter, A. Jashari, S. Ricci, A. Castiello

Genoa 3-5-2

19.2★ N. Leali(G)
226.6 J. Vásquez 57.9 L. Østigård 277.3 A. Marcandalli
36.9 Aarón Martín ↓83’ 26.2 M. Thorsby ↓63’ 327.0 M. Frendrup 177.3 R. Malinovskyi A↓64’ 156.2 B. Norton-Cuffy
297.3 L. Colombo ↓83’ 97.0 Vítinha ↓75’
  • 1N. Leali (G) ★9.2
  • 22J. Vásquez6.6
  • 5L. Østigård7.9
  • 27A. Marcandalli7.3
  • 3Aarón Martín↓83’6.9
  • 2M. Thorsby↓63’6.2
  • 32M. Frendrup7.0
  • 17R. MalinovskyiA↓64’7.3
  • 15B. Norton-Cuffy6.2
  • 29L. Colombo↓83’7.3
  • 9Vítinha↓75’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 73P. Masini↑63’6.3
  • 77M. Ellertsson↑64’7.0
  • 21J. Ekhator↑75’6.5
  • 34S. Otoa↑83’6.9
  • 8N. Stanciu↑83’6.3

Unused: D. Sommariva, Ernestas Lysionok, S. Sabelli, H. Cuenca, L. Venturino, S. Fini, Joi Xheto Nuredini

Player stats

Top rated
N. LealiGenoa9.2
2nd
A. RabiotAC Milan8.0
3rd
S. PavlovićAC Milan7.9

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Maignan G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 100% 11 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
S. Pavlović D 90 0 0 3 (0) 3 92% 75 0 2 1/1 1/0 7.9
M. Gabbia D 75 0 0 3 (1) 0 90% 51 2 1 0/0 1/0 7.0
O. Tomori D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 74 3 0 0/0 1/0 7.7
D. Bartesaghi D 90 0 0 1 (0) 8 87% 54 4 2 0/1 2/0 7.2
A. Rabiot M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 57 5 0 1/1 0/2 8.0
L. Modrić M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 93% 67 0 2 0/0 0/0 7.2
Y. Fofana M 46 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 14 0 0 0/2 0/1 6.2
A. Saelemaekers F 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 24 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.6
C. Pulišić M 90 0 0 4 (2) 2 92% 39 0 0 0/1 2/2 6.9
Rafael Leão F 90 1 0 4 (4) 0 90% 41 0 0 1/1 2/1 7.9
R. Loftus-Cheek M 44 0 0 0 (0) 2 63% 19 1 0 2/2 1/0 6.6
N. Füllkrug F 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 60% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 5.9
Z. Athekame D 15 0 0 1 (1) 0 94% 17 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6

Genoa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Leali G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 47% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 9.2
J. Vásquez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 45 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Østigård D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 51 2 0 0/0 0/1 7.9
A. Marcandalli D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 35 1 0 0/0 2/1 7.3
Aarón Martín D 83 0 0 1 (0) 2 88% 24 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
M. Thorsby M 63 0 0 0 (0) 1 70% 20 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.2
M. Frendrup M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 38 2 2 0/0 0/0 7.0
R. Malinovskyi M 64 0 1 0 (0) 1 94% 32 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
B. Norton-Cuffy D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 31 1 1 2/5 0/0 6.2
L. Colombo F 83 1 0 3 (2) 0 73% 26 0 1 1/1 0/0 7.3
Vítinha F 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 62% 21 1 0 4/10 2/5 7.0
P. Masini M 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 56% 9 0 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
M. Ellertsson M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
J. Ekhator F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
S. Otoa D 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
N. Stanciu M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.