Serie A Gameweek 26 Sun, Feb 22 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
AC Milan
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.17 – 0.46
Parma
  • 80’ Mariano Troilo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Troilo goal decides it for Parma

AC Milan entered as clear favourites, but Parma won 1–0 through a Troilo goal. Parma won despite the lower xG; AC Milan created the better chances (1.17 vs 0.46). On the chances created, AC Milan deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AC Milan71%
Draw19%
Parma ✓10%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
0
Model 2.22 · xG 1.17
Parma goals
1
Model 0.74 · xG 0.46
Total goals
1
Model 2.95 · xG 1.63
Score 0–1
3%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. ModrićAC Milan
8.3
  • RefereeMarco Piccinini
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 2nd · Parma 13th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ A. JashariFor R. Loftus-Cheek
    11’
  2. A. SaelemaekersYellow card · Tripping
    32’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. Mariano TroiloYellow card
    48’
  5. Rafael LeãoYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    52’
  6. ⇄ O. SørensenFor C. Ordoñez
    59’
  7. ⇄ H. NicolussiFor Adrián Bernabé
    59’
  8. ⇄ S. PavlovićFor P. Estupiñán
    62’
  9. ⇄ N. FüllkrugFor C. Pulišić
    62’
  10. ⇄ J. OndrejkaFor Gabriel Strefezza
    76’
  11. Mariano Troilo 0–1Assist E. Valeri
    80’
  12. ⇄ C. NkunkuFor A. Jashari
    85’
  13. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor O. Tomori
    85’
  14. ⇄ N. EstévezFor Mateo Pellegrino
    90+3’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

AC Milan21 shots · 13 in box, 8 outside
Parma9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
AC MilanParma
66% Possession 34%
1.17 Expected goals (xG) 0.46
1.93 Expected points (xPts) 0.75
21 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
9 Shots off target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
13 Shots inside the box 5
8 Shots outside the box 4
618 Passes 315
92% Pass accuracy 81%
5 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.01 Team rating 7.07

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-5-2

166.3 M. Maignan(G)
337.2 D. Bartesaghi 56.3 K. De Winter 237.7 O. Tomori ↓85’
26.6 P. Estupiñán ↓62’ 127.9 A. Rabiot 148.3★ L. Modrić 86.5 R. Loftus-Cheek ↓11’ 567.5 A. Saelemaekers
117.0 C. Pulišić ↓62’ 106.3 Rafael Leão
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.3
  • 33D. Bartesaghi7.2
  • 5K. De Winter6.3
  • 23O. Tomori↓85’7.7
  • 2P. Estupiñán↓62’6.6
  • 12A. Rabiot7.9
  • 14L. Modrić ★8.3
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↓11’6.5
  • 56A. Saelemaekers7.5
  • 11C. Pulišić↓62’7.0
  • 10Rafael Leão6.3

Substitutes used

  • 30A. Jashari6.5
  • 31S. Pavlović↑62’6.2
  • 9N. Füllkrug↑62’6.2
  • 24Z. Athekame↑85’6.3
  • 18C. Nkunku↑85’6.3

Unused: P. Terracciano, M. Pittarella, M. Gabbia, D. Odogu, S. Ricci, Y. Fofana

Parma 3-5-2

408.0 E. Corvi(G)
57.2 L. Valenti 378.3 Mariano Troilo 156.7 E. Delprato
146.9 E. Valeri A 246.7 C. Ordoñez ↓59’ 167.0 L. Keita 107.0 Adrián Bernabé ↓59’ 276.3 Sascha Britschgi
77.2 Gabriel Strefezza ↓76’ 96.7 Mateo Pellegrino ↓90’
  • 40E. Corvi (G)8.0
  • 5L. Valenti7.2
  • 37Mariano Troilo8.3
  • 15E. Delprato6.7
  • 14E. ValeriA6.9
  • 24C. Ordoñez↓59’6.7
  • 16L. Keita7.0
  • 10Adrián Bernabé↓59’7.0
  • 27Sascha Britschgi6.3
  • 7Gabriel Strefezza↓76’7.2
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino↓90’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 41H. Nicolussi↑59’6.7
  • 22O. Sørensen↑59’6.7
  • 17J. Ondrejka↑76’6.7
  • 8N. Estévez↑90’

Unused: F. Rinaldi, Gabriele Casentini, Marlon Mena, Dominik Drobnic, B. Cremaschi, F. Carboni, N. Elphege, G. Oristanio

Player stats

Top rated
L. ModrićAC Milan8.3
2nd
Mariano TroiloParma8.3
3rd
E. CorviParma8.0

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Maignan G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 87% 15 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Bartesaghi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 81 0 0 1/2 0/1 7.2
K. De Winter D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 57 0 3 0/0 2/1 6.3
O. Tomori D 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 45 2 1 1/1 0/1 7.7
P. Estupiñán D 62 0 0 1 (0) 1 91% 57 0 1 0/0 2/0 6.6
A. Rabiot M 90 0 0 1 (0) 4 95% 65 4 0 1/1 1/1 7.9
L. Modrić M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 91% 92 0 2 0/1 0/0 8.3
R. Loftus-Cheek M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
A. Saelemaekers F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 89% 44 0 2 1/6 1/3 7.5
C. Pulišić M 62 0 0 4 (3) 2 94% 34 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
Rafael Leão F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 83% 36 0 1 2/4 2/3 6.3
A. Jashari M 74 0 0 4 (2) 1 94% 53 2 0 0/2 1/0 6.5
S. Pavlović D 28 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 20 0 2 0/0 2/0 6.2
N. Füllkrug F 28 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Z. Athekame D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
C. Nkunku F 5 0 0 0 (0) 2 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Parma

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Corvi G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 61% 33 0 0 0/0 0/1 8.0
L. Valenti D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 84% 37 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
Mariano Troilo D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 86% 35 0 0 0/0 1/2 8.3
E. Delprato D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 30 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
E. Valeri D 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 65% 17 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.9
C. Ordoñez M 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 12 3 1 0/1 0/0 6.7
L. Keita M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 36 1 3 0/0 1/1 7.0
Adrián Bernabé M 59 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 33 3 2 1/1 1/2 7.0
Sascha Britschgi M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 28 2 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
Gabriel Strefezza F 76 0 0 1 (1) 1 92% 25 2 1 3/3 1/3 7.2
Mateo Pellegrino F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 56% 9 1 0 0/2 3/3 6.7
H. Nicolussi M 31 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
O. Sørensen M 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.7
J. Ondrejka F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
N. Estévez M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.