Serie A Gameweek 30 Sat, Mar 21 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
AC Milan
3–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.34 – 2.22
Torino
  • S. Pavlović 36’
  • A. Rabiot 54’
  • Y. Fofana 56’
  • 44’ G. Simeone
  • 82’ (P) N. Vlašić
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AC Milan beat Torino

AC Milan entered as clear favourites and won 3–2 through goals from Pavlović, Rabiot and Fofana. Torino replied through goals from Simeone and Vlašić. AC Milan won despite the lower xG; Torino created the better chances (2.22 vs 1.34). On the chances created, Torino deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AC Milan ✓63%
Draw23%
Torino13%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
3
Model 1.79 · xG 1.34
Torino goals
2
Model 0.69 · xG 2.22
Total goals
5
Model 2.48 · xG 3.56
Score 3–2
2%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 42%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. FofanaAC Milan · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeFrancesco Fourneau
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 3rd · Torino 14th

Timeline

  1. O. TomoriYellow card · Tripping
    9’
  2. S. Pavlović 1–0
    36’
  3. G. Simeone 1–1
    44’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor O. Tomori
    46’
  6. A. Rabiot 2–1Assist C. Pulišić
    54’
  7. Y. Fofana 3–1Assist Z. Athekame
    56’
  8. ⇄ E. İlkhanFor M. Prati
    64’
  9. ⇄ C. AdamsFor D. Zapata
    64’
  10. ⇄ S. RicciFor Y. Fofana
    69’
  11. ⇄ C. NkunkuFor N. Füllkrug
    70’
  12. ⇄ C. CasadeiFor G. Gineitis
    74’
  13. ⇄ S. GiménezFor C. Pulišić
    77’
  14. S. PavlovićYellow card · Roughing
    82’
  15. N. Vlašić (pen) 3–2
    82’
  16. ⇄ S. KulenovićFor E. Ebosse
    89’
  17. ⇄ N. NkounkouFor Rafael Obrador
    89’
  18. ⇄ D. OdoguFor A. Saelemaekers
    90+1’
  19. E. İlkhanYellow card · Tripping
    90+3’
  20. S. GiménezYellow card · Tripping
    90+6’
  21. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

AC Milan14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Torino18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
AC MilanTorino
64% Possession 36%
1.34 Expected goals (xG) 2.22
0.88 Expected points (xPts) 1.92
14 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
2 Shots off target 8
6 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 12
6 Shots outside the box 6
562 Passes 306
89% Pass accuracy 85%
3 Corners 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.10 Team rating 6.63

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-5-2

167.0 M. Maignan(G)
317.2 S. Pavlović 56.9 K. De Winter 236.2 O. Tomori ↓46’
336.9 D. Bartesaghi 127.3 A. Rabiot 147.9 L. Modrić 198.0★ Y. Fofana ↓69’ 567.3 A. Saelemaekers ↓90’
117.3 C. Pulišić A↓77’ 96.2 N. Füllkrug ↓70’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)7.0
  • 31S. Pavlović7.2
  • 5K. De Winter6.9
  • 23O. Tomori↓46’6.2
  • 33D. Bartesaghi6.9
  • 12A. Rabiot7.3
  • 14L. Modrić7.9
  • 19Y. Fofana ★↓69’8.0
  • 56A. Saelemaekers↓90’7.3
  • 11C. PulišićA↓77’7.3
  • 9N. Füllkrug↓70’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 24Z. AthekameA↑46’6.9
  • 4S. Ricci↑69’6.6
  • 18C. Nkunku↑70’6.3
  • 27D. Odogu↑90’
  • 7S. Giménez↑77’6.5

Unused: P. Terracciano, M. Pittarella, P. Estupiñán, A. Jashari

Torino 3-5-2

16.3 A. Paleari(G)
776.3 E. Ebosse ↓89’ 447.3 A. Ismajli 235.6 Saúl Coco
336.9 Rafael Obrador ↓89’ 666.3 G. Gineitis ↓74’ 46.3 M. Prati ↓64’ 107.0 N. Vlašić 166.6 M. Pedersen
916.7 D. Zapata ↓64’ 187.6 G. Simeone
  • 1A. Paleari (G)6.3
  • 77E. Ebosse↓89’6.3
  • 44A. Ismajli7.3
  • 23Saúl Coco5.6
  • 33Rafael Obrador↓89’6.9
  • 66G. Gineitis↓74’6.3
  • 4M. Prati↓64’6.3
  • 10N. Vlašić7.0
  • 16M. Pedersen6.6
  • 91D. Zapata↓64’6.7
  • 18G. Simeone7.6

Substitutes used

  • 6E. İlkhan↑64’6.6
  • 19C. Adams↑64’6.3
  • 25N. Nkounkou↑89’
  • 22C. Casadei↑74’6.7
  • 17S. Kulenović↑89’

Unused: Lapo Siviero, F. Israel, A. Tamèze, L. Marianucci, G. Maripán, C. Biraghi, V. Lazaro, F. Anjorin, I. Ilić

Player stats

Top rated
Y. FofanaAC Milan8.0
2nd
L. ModrićAC Milan7.9
3rd
G. SimeoneTorino7.6

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Maignan G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 74% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
S. Pavlović D 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 92% 64 1 2 0/0 1/1 7.2
K. De Winter D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 66 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
O. Tomori D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 32 2 1 1/1 2/0 6.2
D. Bartesaghi D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 84% 51 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Rabiot M 90 1 0 2 (2) 0 91% 58 0 2 0/2 0/1 7.3
L. Modrić M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 86 1 0 1/3 0/1 7.9
Y. Fofana M 69 1 0 1 (1) 3 91% 33 1 0 1/1 1/0 8.0
A. Saelemaekers F 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 90% 41 1 1 1/2 1/2 7.3
C. Pulišić M 77 0 1 0 (0) 1 80% 35 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.3
N. Füllkrug F 70 0 0 1 (1) 0 74% 19 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
Z. Athekame D 44 0 1 0 (0) 2 82% 28 0 0 1/1 1/2 6.9
S. Ricci M 21 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 11 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
C. Nkunku F 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Odogu D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
S. Giménez F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Torino

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Paleari G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 82% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
E. Ebosse D 89 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 45 1 1 0/0 0/2 6.3
A. Ismajli D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 94% 31 2 2 1/1 0/1 7.3
Saúl Coco D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 32 0 2 0/0 2/0 5.6
Rafael Obrador D 89 0 0 0 (0) 4 82% 28 2 1 0/1 0/0 6.9
G. Gineitis M 74 0 0 1 (1) 2 100% 13 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
M. Prati M 64 0 0 2 (0) 0 87% 30 0 2 0/0 1/1 6.3
N. Vlašić M 90 1 0 4 (2) 1 80% 44 5 2 0/0 2/0 7.0
M. Pedersen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 70% 20 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.6
D. Zapata F 64 0 0 1 (1) 2 94% 16 0 1 1/1 1/1 6.7
G. Simeone F 90 1 0 4 (2) 2 88% 16 0 1 0/1 0/1 7.6
E. İlkhan M 26 0 0 2 (0) 0 88% 8 0 1 0/1 1/0 6.6
C. Adams F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Nkounkou D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/0 —
C. Casadei M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
S. Kulenović F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.