Academico Viseu vs FC Porto – 29 Aug 2026

Primeira Liga Gameweek 4 Sat, Aug 29 · 18:00 Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu

Academico Viseu 12th · 2 pts · 3 played DLD

0–3Full time

FC Porto 2nd · 9 pts · 3 played WWW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

FC Porto were clear favourites.

FC Porto were the stronger side on L90 Strength (78 vs 27). Academico Viseu had 7.1 days of rest, FC Porto 5.9 and had to travel 80 km.

Away travel80 kmRest days7.1 · 5.9Matches / 14d2 · 2

Academico Viseu16%

Draw20%

FC Porto64%

Expected goals 0.94 – 2.12

Academico Viseu16%

Draw21%

FC Porto63%

Expected goals 0.90 – 2.00

Academico Viseu16%

Draw20%

FC Porto64%

Expected goals 0.94 – 2.12

Academico Viseu12%

Draw17%

FC Porto72%

Expected goals 0.84 – 2.38

Academico Viseu16%

Draw20%

FC Porto64%

Expected goals 0.94 – 2.10

Over 2.5 59% Both score 54% Likeliest score 0–2

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Viseu)

No weather data yet

Referee · PortugalMiguel Nogueira

Cards per match 4.4
Penalties per match 0.23
Matches 66

Team strength

Academico Viseu

FC Porto

27 L90 StrengthIn forecast 78

32 Current StrengthIn forecast 80

28 AttackIn forecast 74

31 DefenceIn forecast 79

29 Form indexContext 77

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Academico Viseu

Attack—

Defense risk—

FC Porto

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Academico Viseu

FC Porto

1.33 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

1.67 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.00

1.16 xGVia Att/Def 2.51

2.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.94

+0.17 Goals minus xGContext -0.51

67% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 100%

10.33 ShotsContext 15.33

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.33

39% On target shareContext 41%

7.50 Shots in the boxContext 11.00

65% Box shareContext 72%

13% ConversionContext 13%

1.33 OffsidesContext 4.00

15.67 Shots allowedContext 10.67

5.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.33

3.67 BlocksContext 2.67

3.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.33

65% Save rateContext 100%

48% PossessionIn forecast 53%

374 PassesContext 434

310 Accurate passesContext 371

83% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.85 Team ratingContext 7.21

13.33 FoulsContext 13.00

15.00 Fouls sufferedContext 6.33

3.67 Yellow cardsContext 0.33

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 3 and 3 games

1.33 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60

1.67 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.60

1.16 xGVia Att/Def 2.06

2.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.88

+0.17 Goals minus xGContext -0.46

67% Scored inContext 90%

0% Clean sheetsContext 60%

10.33 ShotsContext 15.40

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00

39% On target shareContext 33%

— Shots in the boxContext 10.10

— Box shareContext 64%

13% ConversionContext 10%

1.33 OffsidesContext 2.63

15.67 Shots allowedContext 10.20

5.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.44

3.67 BlocksContext 2.33

3.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.67

65% Save rateContext 77%

48% PossessionIn forecast 54%

374 PassesContext 426

310 Accurate passesContext 357

83% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.85 Team ratingContext 6.97

13.33 FoulsContext 13.00

15.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.60

3.67 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 3 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Academico Viseu DLD

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km2,392 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 29 · 2 pts vs 4.5 for an average club · -1.2 vs expected

D22 AugA · Maritimo2–21.2 xPts
L15 AugH · Santa Clara0–11.6 xPts
D9 AugA · Benfica2–20.3 xPts

FC Porto WWW

Rest5.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel80 km51 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 77 · 9 pts vs 5.6 for an average club · +2.4 vs expected

W23 AugH · Arouca2–02.2 xPts
W15 AugA · Rio Ave2–02.1 xPts
W9 AugH · Alverca2–02.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Academico Viseu	FC Porto
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.1Primeira Liga 2026-2027, 22 Aug	5.9Primeira Liga 2026-2027, 23 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	80 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,392 km	51 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 2 / 3	1 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	8.1	6.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Academico Viseu Confirmed XI

4-3-3

98Ewerton(G)

57G. Costa 2N. Michelis 41A. Correia 75Robinho

14S. Messeguem 7Luís Silva 8C. Kahraman

47L. Gohi 33André Clóvis 31João Guilherme

FC Porto Confirmed XI

4-3-3

99Diogo Costa(G)

12Z. Sanusi 4J. Kiwior 5J. Bednarek 20Alberto Baio

10Gabri Veiga 13P. Rosario 8V. Froholdt

11Pepê 19André Silva 7William Gomes

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Academico Viseu Absences are shown before kick-off

FC Porto Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Academico Viseu+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
FC Porto+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Academico Viseu · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 1.00

FC Porto · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Academico Viseu	FC Porto	Forecast
Scored per game	1.33	2.00
Conceded per game	1.67	0.00
Match goals	3.00	2.00	3.06
Over 1.5	67%	100%
Over 2.5	67%	0%	59%
Over 3.5	67%	0%
Both teams scored	67%	0%	54%
Clean sheets	0%	100%
Failed to score	33%	0%
Games	3	3

	Academico Viseu	FC Porto	Forecast
Scored per game	1.33	1.60
Conceded per game	1.67	0.60
Match goals	3.00	2.20	3.06
Over 1.5	67%	70%
Over 2.5	67%	30%	59%
Over 3.5	67%	20%
Both teams scored	67%	30%	54%
Clean sheets	0%	60%
Failed to score	33%	10%
Games	3	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Academico Viseu	FC Porto	League
Corners
Corners won	3.67	8.33
Corners conceded	5.33	5.67
Match total	9.00	14.00	8.69
Over 8.5	67% 2/3	100% 3/3
Over 9.5	33% 1/3	100% 3/3
Over 10.5	33% 1/3	100% 3/3
Cards
Cards	3.67	0.33
Opponent cards	2.33	1.33
Match total	6.00	1.66	4.12
Over 3.5	100% 3/3	33% 1/3
Over 4.5	67% 2/3	0% 0/3

	Academico Viseu	FC Porto	League
Corners
Corners won	3.67	6.75
Corners conceded	5.33	4.88
Match total	9.00	11.63	8.69
Over 8.5	67% 2/3	88% 7/8
Over 9.5	33% 1/3	75% 6/8
Over 10.5	33% 1/3	63% 5/8
Cards
Cards	3.67	1.70
Opponent cards	2.33	2.20
Match total	6.00	3.90	4.12
Over 3.5	100% 3/3	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	67% 2/3	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Miguel Nogueira Portugal · 66 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.12league 4.04

Red cards0.27league 0.19

Cards 5+47%league 33%

Fouls25.4league 25.0

Penalties0.23league 0.30

Home wins39%league 44%

Academico Viseu

No previous matches with this referee.

FC Porto6 with this referee

Record4-2-0 Cards · opp.2.3 · 2.5 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

D5 Oct 25H · Benfica0–05
W18 Apr 25H · Famalicao2–13
W16 Dec 24H · Estrela2–00
W28 Oct 24A · AVS5–01
D3 Sep 23H · Arouca1–13

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.