Primeira Liga Gameweek 4 Sun, Aug 30 2026 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Nacional
2–3 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.83 – 2.10
Estrela
  • Wesley Gasolina 3’
  • Pablo Ruan 66’
  • 45’ (P) I. Stoica
  • 62’ A. Marcus
  • 83’ Leandro Antonetti
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estrela come from behind to beat Nacional

Nacional entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 3 minutes through a Gasolina goal. But Stoica, Marcus and Antonetti scored to turn it around for Estrela, who won 3–2. Estrela finished with the higher xG (2.10 vs 0.83).

Nacional45%
Draw25%
Estrela ✓31%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
2
Model 1.60 · xG 0.83
Estrela goals
3
Model 1.28 · xG 2.10
Total goals
5
Model 2.88 · xG 2.93
Score 2–3
3%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. MarcusEstrela · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeCarlos Macedo
  • CoachesGiao Joao · Pepa
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 8th · Estrela 11th

Timeline

  1. Wesley Gasolina 1–0Assist W. Kokolo
    3’
  2. ⇄ M. DjalóFor Filipe Soares
    40’
  3. Zé VitorYellow card · Foul
    45’
  4. I. Stoica (pen) 1–1
    45’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. W. KokoloYellow card · Foul
    48’
  7. A. Marcus 1–2Assist G. Doue
    62’
  8. Pablo Ruan 2–2Assist Liziero
    66’
  9. ⇄ Joan JordánFor Robinho
    67’
  10. ⇄ A. ObandoFor Pablo Ruan
    69’
  11. ⇄ S. GavrielFor Daniel Júnior
    69’
  12. ⇄ B. SouzaFor I. Stoica
    72’
  13. ⇄ M. JensenFor W. Kokolo
    78’
  14. ⇄ D. de la Cruz de la CruzFor Wesley Gasolina
    79’
  15. Leandro Antonetti 2–3Assist G. Doue
    83’
  16. Leandro AntonettiYellow card · Foul
    86’
  17. ⇄ Bernardo SchappoFor G. Doue
    89’
  18. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Nacional10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
Estrela14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
NacionalEstrela
51% Possession 49%
0.83 Expected goals (xG) 2.10
0.61 Expected points (xPts) 2.20
10 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Shots inside the box 9
6 Shots outside the box 5
410 Passes 390
82% Pass accuracy 82%
4 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.62 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Nacional 3-4-2-1

16.0 R. Bellucci(G)
385.3 Zé Vitor 66.3 Matheus Dias 346.9 Léo Santos
216.2 W. Kokolo A↓78’ 226.3 Filipe Soares ↓40’ 287.3 Liziero A 527.9 Wesley Gasolina ↓79’
107.3 Daniel Júnior ↓69’ 86.6 Miguel Baeza
997.6 Pablo Ruan ↓69’
  • 1R. Bellucci (G)6.0
  • 38Zé Vitor5.3
  • 6Matheus Dias6.3
  • 34Léo Santos6.9
  • 21W. KokoloA↓78’6.2
  • 22Filipe Soares↓40’6.3
  • 28LizieroA7.3
  • 52Wesley Gasolina↓79’7.9
  • 10Daniel Júnior↓69’7.3
  • 8Miguel Baeza6.6
  • 99Pablo Ruan↓69’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 2D. de la Cruz de la Cruz↑79’6.2
  • 7M. Jensen↑78’6.2
  • 9A. Obando↑69’6.3
  • 11S. Gavriel↑69’6.5
  • 20M. Djaló↑40’5.9

Unused: João Gonçalves, Kevyn, Francisco Gonçalves, M. J. Iseppe, Deivison, D. Dongmo, F. Nava

Coach: Giao Joao

Estrela 4-3-3

246.7 Léo Linck(G)
556.2 Rafa Soares 56.5 S. Leković 306.7 Luan Patrick 216.7 M. Scholze
86.9 Robinho ↓67’ 397.3 G. Doue AA↓89’ 146.5 L. Zvonarek
107.3 I. Stoica ↓72’ 377.2 Leandro Antonetti 998.2★ A. Marcus
  • 24Léo Linck (G)6.7
  • 55Rafa Soares6.2
  • 5S. Leković6.5
  • 30Luan Patrick6.7
  • 21M. Scholze6.7
  • 8Robinho↓67’6.9
  • 39G. DoueA×2↓89’7.3
  • 14L. Zvonarek6.5
  • 10I. Stoica↓72’7.3
  • 37Leandro Antonetti7.2
  • 99A. Marcus ★8.2

Substitutes used

  • 4Bernardo Schappo↑89’
  • 93B. Souza↑72’6.6
  • 19Joan Jordán↑67’6.6

Unused: David Grilo, Diogo Pinto, A. Chernev, L. Mincarelli, Santiago Serra, E. Pedro Vanga, S. van Hooijdonk, Jefferson Encada, Alisson Souza

Coach: Pepa

Player stats

Top rated
A. MarcusEstrela8.2
2nd
Wesley GasolinaNacional7.9
3rd
Pablo RuanNacional7.6

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Bellucci G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 79% 38 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
Zé Vitor D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 65 1 0 0/0 2/0 5.3
Matheus Dias M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 71 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.3
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 44 3 3 1/1 2/1 6.9
W. Kokolo D 78 0 1 0 (0) 1 77% 13 2 1 0/5 2/0 6.2
Filipe Soares M 40 0 0 1 (0) 1 79% 14 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.3
Liziero M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 82% 56 2 3 0/0 2/1 7.3
Wesley Gasolina D 79 1 0 1 (1) 0 86% 21 2 3 0/0 0/0 7.9
Daniel Júnior F 69 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 22 3 0 2/3 0/1 7.3
Miguel Baeza M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 24 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.6
Pablo Ruan M 69 1 0 2 (2) 1 60% 10 0 0 1/3 3/0 7.6
D. de la Cruz de la Cruz D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
M. Jensen M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/2 0/1 6.2
A. Obando F 21 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 2 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
S. Gavriel D 21 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Djaló F 50 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9

Estrela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Léo Linck G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 64% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Rafa Soares D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 73% 44 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.2
S. Leković D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 63 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
Luan Patrick D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 56 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.7
M. Scholze F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 36 6 1 0/3 0/0 6.7
Robinho M 67 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 21 1 0 0/1 2/5 6.9
G. Doue M 89 0 2 0 (0) 2 79% 43 3 2 0/0 1/1 7.3
L. Zvonarek M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 74% 23 2 1 1/1 1/2 6.5
I. Stoica F 72 1 0 2 (1) 2 86% 22 1 0 0/1 2/1 7.3
Leandro Antonetti F 90 1 0 3 (1) 1 70% 10 2 0 1/3 1/0 7.2
A. Marcus F 90 1 0 2 (2) 2 76% 21 1 0 3/5 1/0 8.2
Bernardo Schappo D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 1 0/0 0/0 —
B. Souza M 18 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 4 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
Joan Jordán M 23 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 19 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.