Primeira Liga Gameweek 4 Sun, Aug 30 2026 · 18:00 Estádio Nacional, Jamor, Oeiras
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.77 – 0.28
  • 24’ Kiko
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Kiko goal decides it for Moreirense

Casa Pia entered as narrow favourites, but Moreirense won 1–0 through a Kiko goal. Moreirense won despite the lower xG; Casa Pia created the better chances (0.77 vs 0.28). On the chances created, Casa Pia deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Casa Pia40%
Draw27%
Moreirense ✓33%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
0
Model 1.32 · xG 0.77
Moreirense goals
1
Model 1.17 · xG 0.28
Total goals
1
Model 2.49 · xG 1.05
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchKikoMoreirense · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeL. M. Branco Godinho
  • CoachesFilipe Coelho · Vasco Costa
  • VenueEstádio Nacional
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 18th · Moreirense 16th

Timeline

  1. AranhaYellow card · Argument
    -5’
  2. Kiko 0–1Assist João Veloso
    24’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ Abdu DafeFor Rochinha
    46’
  5. Pedro RosasYellow card · Foul
    61’
  6. ⇄ CassianoFor Kevin Prieto
    61’
  7. KikoYellow card · Foul
    62’
  8. ⇄ Rodri AlonsoFor N. John
    65’
  9. ⇄ Tiago AndradeFor Landerson
    65’
  10. Rodri AlonsoYellow card · Foul
    71’
  11. ⇄ Leandro SantosFor Kiko
    77’
  12. ⇄ M. StjepanovićFor Manuel Mendonça
    77’
  13. ⇄ S. PérezFor Silvi
    78’
  14. ⇄ Henrique AraújoFor A. Jatta
    78’
  15. ⇄ B. PauwelsFor João Rêgo
    78’
  16. ⇄ Kevyn MonteiroFor João Veloso
    82’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Casa Pia14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Moreirense6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
Casa PiaMoreirense
63% Possession 37%
0.77 Expected goals (xG) 0.28
1.77 Expected points (xPts) 0.80
14 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 5
10 Shots off target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
10 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 3
444 Passes 278
80% Pass accuracy 60%
5 Corners 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.78

Line-ups

Casa Pia 4-2-3-1

316.2 André Gomes(G)
757.2 Pedro Rosas 437.5 David Sousa 47.3 João Goulart 186.9 André Geraldes
807.2 L. Ofori 166.9 Silvi ↓78’
106.3 Rochinha ↓46’ 706.6 João Rêgo ↓78’ 197.0 Kevin Prieto ↓61’
206.2 A. Jatta ↓78’
  • 31André Gomes (G)6.2
  • 75Pedro Rosas7.2
  • 43David Sousa7.5
  • 4João Goulart7.3
  • 18André Geraldes6.9
  • 80L. Ofori7.2
  • 16Silvi↓78’6.9
  • 10Rochinha↓46’6.3
  • 70João Rêgo↓78’6.6
  • 19Kevin Prieto↓61’7.0
  • 20A. Jatta↓78’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 24S. Pérez↑78’6.3
  • 59Abdu Dafe↑46’6.3
  • 9Henrique Araújo↑78’6.2
  • 77B. Pauwels↑78’7.0
  • 90Cassiano↑61’6.3

Unused: Ivan Mandić, A. Conté, Kaly, Gabi Pereira, JP, A. Zouin, Claudio

Coach: Filipe Coelho

Moreirense 4-2-3-1

136.3 André Ferreira(G)
278.0★ Kiko ↓77’ 267.7 Maracás 667.2 G. Dambi Batista 766.6 Dinis Pinto
65 Guilherme Liberato 236.6 N. John ↓65’
116.5 Landerson ↓65’ 207.0 João Veloso A↓82’ 76.6 Manuel Mendonça ↓77’
95.6 A. Duville-Parsemain
  • 13André Ferreira (G)6.3
  • 27Kiko ★↓77’8.0
  • 26Maracás7.7
  • 66G. Dambi Batista7.2
  • 76Dinis Pinto6.6
  • 65Guilherme Liberato
  • 23N. John↓65’6.6
  • 11Landerson↓65’6.5
  • 20João VelosoA↓82’7.0
  • 7Manuel Mendonça↓77’6.6
  • 9A. Duville-Parsemain5.6

Substitutes used

  • 4Kevyn Monteiro↑82’6.6
  • 2Leandro Santos↑77’6.9
  • 21Rodri Alonso↑65’6.2
  • 8M. Stjepanović↑77’6.6
  • 19Tiago Andrade↑65’6.5

Unused: Aranha, Álvaro Martínez, Kiko Bondoso, A. Vieira, Maranhão

Coach: Vasco Costa

Player stats

Top rated
KikoMoreirense8.0
2nd
MaracásMoreirense7.7
3rd
David SousaCasa Pia7.5

Casa Pia

Moreirense

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.