Academico Viseu
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Academico Viseu were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Santa Clara. Academico Viseu had 5.9 days of rest, Santa Clara 4.9 and had to travel 1,562 km.
Away travel1,562 kmRest days5.9 · 4.9Matches / 14d1 · 1
Academico Viseu45%
Draw25%
Santa Clara30%
Academico Viseu47%
Draw25%
Santa Clara28%
Academico Viseu45%
Draw25%
Santa Clara30%
Academico Viseu38%
Draw26%
Santa Clara37%
Academico Viseu45%
Draw25%
Santa Clara30%
Over 2.5 52%
Both score 55%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Viseu)
No weather data yet
Referee · PortugalJoao Goncalves
- Cards per match 5.7
- Penalties per match 0.33
- Matches 3
Team strength
Academico Viseu
Santa Clara
29
L90 StrengthIn forecast
25
32
Current StrengthIn forecast
34
28
AttackIn forecast
29
31
DefenceIn forecast
53
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisSanta Clara
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Academico ViseuSanta Clara
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
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PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
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xGVia Att/Def
0.96
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.84
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Goals minus xGContext
+0.24
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Scored inContext
70%
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Clean sheetsContext
40%
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ShotsContext
11.00
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.33
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On target shareContext
27%
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Shots in the boxContext
6.00
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Box shareContext
53%
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ConversionContext
11%
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OffsidesContext
1.67
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Shots allowedContext
10.00
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.78
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BlocksContext
2.70
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Goalkeeper savesContext
2.67
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Save rateContext
71%
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PossessionIn forecast
48%
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PassesContext
345
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Accurate passesContext
274
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Pass accuracyContext
80%
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Team ratingContext
6.75
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FoulsContext
13.20
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Fouls sufferedContext
14.00
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Yellow cardsContext
1.90
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Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Academico Viseu
D
Rest5.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km480 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 53 · 1 pts vs 0.7 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected
- D9 AugA · Benfica2–20.3 xPts
Santa Clara
D
Rest4.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,562 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Form 40 · 1 pts vs 2.1 for an average club · -0.7 vs expected
- D10 AugH · Nacional2–21.7 xPts
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Academico Viseu |
Santa Clara |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 5.9Primeira Liga 2026-2027, 9 Aug | 4.9Primeira Liga 2026-2027, 10 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,562 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 480 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 1 | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.9 | 8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Academico Viseu
Confirmed XI
98Ewerton(G)
66I. Milioransa
44Rúben Pereira
41A. Correia
75Robinho
14S. Messeguem
45A. Mestanza
10Á. Zamora
8C. Kahraman
31João Guilherme
33André Clóvis
Santa Clara
Confirmed XI
1Lucas França(G)
5Guilherme Romão
21Emanuel Fernandes
4Pedro Pacheco
2Diogo Calila
41Daniel Borges
6Pedro Ferreira
70Vinícius Lopes
8José Tavares
99Sorriso
9Gonçalo Paciência
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Academico Viseu
Absences are shown before kick-off
Santa Clara
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Academico Viseu+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Santa Clara+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Academico Viseu · Home
No home games yet this season.
Santa Clara · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Academico Viseu | Santa Clara | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| Academico Viseu | Santa Clara | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 1.20 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.20 | |
| Match goals | 4.00 | 2.40 | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 60% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 40% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 100% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 40% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% | |
| Games | 1 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Academico Viseu | Santa Clara | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.00 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 10.00 | 4.00 | |
| Match total | 12.00 | 8.00 | 9.20 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 4.00 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Academico Viseu | Santa Clara | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.00 | 4.90 | |
| Corners conceded | 10.00 | 4.90 | |
| Match total | 12.00 | 9.80 | 9.20 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 100% 1/1 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 100% 1/1 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 4.00 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 1/1 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Joao Goncalves Portugal · 3 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards5.67league 5.09
Red cards0.00league 0.27
Cards 5+67%league 55%
Fouls23.3league 26.4
Penalties0.33league 0.36
Home wins0%league 36%
Academico ViseuNo previous matches with this referee.
Santa ClaraNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Academico Viseu1 games · scored 2 · conceded 2
1
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
Santa Clara1 games · scored 2 · conceded 2
0-15
2
16-30
2
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
Academico Viseu1 games · scored 2 · conceded 2
1
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
Santa Clara10 games · scored 12 · conceded 12
2
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
4
31-45
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
