Primeira Liga Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 16 2026 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Nacional
2–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.03 – 0.86
Estoril
  • Zé Vitor 68’
  • Léo Santos 77’
  • 32’ Xeka
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nacional beat Estoril

Nacional entered as narrow favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Vitor and Santos. Estoril played with ten men from the 32nd minute after Xeka was sent off. Nacional finished with the higher xG (2.03 vs 0.86).

Nacional ✓39%
Draw26%
Estoril35%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
2
Model 1.41 · xG 2.03
Estoril goals
0
Model 1.31 · xG 0.86
Total goals
2
Model 2.72 · xG 2.89
Score 2–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchLéo SantosNacional · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.9
  • RefereeB. J. Costa
  • CoachesGiao Joao · Vasco Matos
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 11th · Estoril 12th

Timeline

  1. XekaYellow card · Foul
    11’
  2. XekaSecond yellow · Foul
    32’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. Matheus DiasYellow card · Foul
    51’
  5. ⇄ Tiago BritoFor André Lacximicant
    63’
  6. ⇄ Fabrício GarciaFor R. Guitane
    63’
  7. ⇄ DeivisonFor Miguel Baeza
    66’
  8. ⇄ S. GavrielFor Matheus Dias
    66’
  9. Zé Vitor 1–0Assist Léo Santos
    68’
  10. ⇄ Gonçalo CostaFor Fernando Medrano
    75’
  11. ⇄ Pedro CarvalhoFor Ricard Sánchez
    75’
  12. Léo Santos 2–0Assist Daniel Júnior
    77’
  13. Filipe SoaresYellow card · Foul
    79’
  14. ⇄ D. de la Cruz de la CruzFor Daniel Júnior
    81’
  15. Isma SierraYellow card · Time wasting
    82’
  16. FerroYellow card · Foul
    85’
  17. ⇄ Jandro OrellanaFor A. Tsoungui
    85’
  18. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor Pablo Ruan
    88’
  19. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Nacional20 shots · 10 in box, 10 outside
Estoril9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
NacionalEstoril
59% Possession 41%
2.03 Expected goals (xG) 0.86
2.14 Expected points (xPts) 0.65
20 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
9 Shots off target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 4
10 Shots outside the box 5
451 Passes 316
87% Pass accuracy 80%
7 Corners 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
13 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
7.34 Team rating 6.53

Line-ups

Nacional 3-4-2-1

17.7 R. Bellucci(G)
388.7 Zé Vitor 66.6 Matheus Dias ↓66’ 348.9★ Léo Santos A
77.3 M. Jensen 226.6 Filipe Soares 287.0 Liziero 527.0 Wesley Gasolina
107.5 Daniel Júnior A↓81’ 86.7 Miguel Baeza ↓66’
996.7 Pablo Ruan ↓88’
  • 1R. Bellucci (G)7.7
  • 38Zé Vitor8.7
  • 6Matheus Dias↓66’6.6
  • 34Léo Santos ★A8.9
  • 7M. Jensen7.3
  • 22Filipe Soares6.6
  • 28Liziero7.0
  • 52Wesley Gasolina7.0
  • 10Daniel JúniorA↓81’7.5
  • 8Miguel Baeza↓66’6.7
  • 99Pablo Ruan↓88’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 2D. de la Cruz de la Cruz↑81’6.7
  • 26Joel Silva↑88’6.7
  • 26Joel Silva↑88’6.7
  • 88Deivison↑66’6.6
  • 11S. Gavriel↑66’7.2

Unused: João Gonçalves, Kevyn, Ivanildo Fernandes, Francisco Gonçalves, C. Labidi, Martim Watts, M. J. Iseppe

Coach: Giao Joao

Estoril 4-2-3-1

16.6 Joel Robles(G)
36.7 Fernando Medrano ↓75’ 156.5 Isma Sierra 47.0 Ferro 26.6 Ricard Sánchez ↓75’
56.2 A. Tsoungui ↓85’ 85.2 Xeka
76.3 André Lacximicant ↓63’ 127.0 João Carvalho 996.3 R. Guitane ↓63’
146.5 Y. Begraoui
  • 1Joel Robles (G)6.6
  • 3Fernando Medrano↓75’6.7
  • 15Isma Sierra6.5
  • 4Ferro7.0
  • 2Ricard Sánchez↓75’6.6
  • 5A. Tsoungui↓85’6.2
  • 8Xeka5.2
  • 7André Lacximicant↓63’6.3
  • 12João Carvalho7.0
  • 99R. Guitane↓63’6.3
  • 14Y. Begraoui6.5

Substitutes used

  • 18Gonçalo Costa↑75’6.5
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↑75’6.7
  • 6Jandro Orellana↑85’6.7
  • 90Tiago Brito↑63’6.2
  • 98Fabrício Garcia↑63’6.7

Unused: M. Turk, Diogo Dias, S. Andreou, Tiago Parente, J. Arnolin, Luís Gomes

Coach: Vasco Matos

Player stats

Top rated
Léo SantosNacional8.9
2nd
Zé VitorNacional8.7
3rd
R. BellucciNacional7.7

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Bellucci G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 50% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
Zé Vitor D 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 95% 76 2 0 1/1 2/0 8.7
Matheus Dias M 66 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 46 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.6
Léo Santos D 90 1 1 2 (1) 3 90% 72 1 0 0/0 2/0 8.9
M. Jensen M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 32 2 0 1/4 0/4 7.3
Filipe Soares M 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 90% 39 2 1 1/3 2/1 6.6
Liziero M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 50 4 1 0/1 2/1 7.0
Wesley Gasolina D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 89% 35 0 1 2/3 1/1 7.0
Daniel Júnior F 81 0 1 1 (0) 1 83% 40 0 0 0/2 1/5 7.5
Miguel Baeza M 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 17 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
Pablo Ruan M 88 0 0 2 (0) 1 88% 8 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
D. de la Cruz de la Cruz D 9 0 0 1 (0) 1 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Joel Silva M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Joel Silva M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Deivison M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 11 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
S. Gavriel D 24 0 0 1 (1) 1 100% 3 0 0 1/2 0/0 7.2

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 59% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Fernando Medrano D 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 27 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
Isma Sierra D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 47 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Ferro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 40 3 2 0/0 1/1 7.0
Ricard Sánchez D 75 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 20 2 0 0/1 2/0 6.6
A. Tsoungui D 85 0 0 0 (0) 3 79% 29 0 1 0/1 4/1 6.2
Xeka M 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 93% 15 0 1 0/1 3/0 5.2
André Lacximicant F 63 0 0 2 (2) 0 79% 14 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
João Carvalho M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 72% 29 1 0 3/4 0/3 7.0
R. Guitane M 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 18 1 0 1/4 0/2 6.3
Y. Begraoui F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 15 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
Gonçalo Costa D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Pedro Carvalho D 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
Jandro Orellana M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Tiago Brito M 27 0 0 1 (0) 0 57% 14 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Fabrício Garcia F 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.