Eredivisie Gameweek 27 Sun, Mar 21 · 16:00 Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
ADO Den Haag 17th · 6 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Willem II 18th · 2 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Rest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
ADO Den Haag—%
Draw—%
Willem II—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (‘s-Gravenhage)

Forecast from 6 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for ADO Den Haag and Willem II. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

ADO Den HaagWillem II
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
15 Current StrengthIn forecast 10
15 AttackIn forecast 10
18 DefenceIn forecast 9
24 Form indexContext 8
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

ADO Den Haag

Attack—
Defense risk—

Willem II

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

ADO Den HaagWillem II
1.22 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
2.22 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.89
0.93 xGVia Att/Def 1.28
2.20 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.25
+0.29 Goals minus xGContext -0.28
78% Scored inContext 78%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
11.22 ShotsContext 11.67
3.56 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.78
32% On target shareContext 24%
7.25 Shots in the boxContext 7.78
58% Box shareContext 68%
11% ConversionContext 9%
1.88 OffsidesContext 2.00
17.33 Shots allowedContext 20.33
6.78 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.33
4.78 BlocksContext 4.33
4.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.44
67% Save rateContext 61%
48% PossessionIn forecast 40%
411 PassesContext 356
334 Accurate passesContext 276
81% Pass accuracyContext 78%
6.65 Team ratingContext 6.47
14.00 FoulsContext 9.78
10.11 Fouls sufferedContext 9.89
1.56 Yellow cardsContext 1.33
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
2.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.60
0.93 xGVia Att/Def 1.28
2.20 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.25
+0.17 Goals minus xGContext -0.28
70% Scored inContext 80%
0% Clean sheetsContext 10%
11.60 ShotsContext 11.67
3.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.78
31% On target shareContext 24%
7.44 Shots in the boxContext 7.78
58% Box shareContext 68%
10% ConversionContext 9%
1.78 OffsidesContext 2.00
16.30 Shots allowedContext 20.33
6.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.33
4.60 BlocksContext 4.33
4.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.44
67% Save rateContext 61%
50% PossessionIn forecast 40%
417 PassesContext 356
338 Accurate passesContext 276
81% Pass accuracyContext 78%
6.68 Team ratingContext 6.47
13.70 FoulsContext 9.78
10.60 Fouls sufferedContext 9.89
1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.30
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

ADO Den Haag
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 24 · 5 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected
  • W17 OctH · PSV Eindhoven2–10.4 xPts
  • D11 OctA · Telstar2–20.9 xPts
  • D19 SepH · Cambuur1–11.4 xPts
  • L12 SepA · Twente0–20.4 xPts
  • L6 SepH · Fortuna Sittard2–31.4 xPts
Willem II
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel—253 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 8 · 1 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · -2.5 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Sparta Rotterdam2–30.8 xPts
  • L11 OctA · Utrecht1–30.7 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Fortuna Sittard0–11.4 xPts
  • L15 SepA · Ajax1–50.3 xPts
  • D11 SepA · AZ Alkmaar1–10.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
ADO Den Haag Willem II
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 14 Mar7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 14 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km253 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one1414

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

ADO Den Haag Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs PSV Eindhoven (H) 2–1, 17 Oct
1K. Nikiéma(G)
18S. Sylla 4M. Waem 3P. Mulder 22L. Wilhelm 5J. Jensen-Abbew
11E. Rottier 25J. Kilo 8J. Žambůrek
9J. Bal 46Y. Eduardo
Willem II Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Sparta Rotterdam (A) 2–3, 17 Oct
26M. Delanghe(G)
24N. Tjoe-A-On 23M. Dekker 3F. Stam 5H. ter Avest
52T. Vilhena 18Anass Zarrouk
32Vito van Crooij 19U. van Aalst 7J. Slory
9D. Haen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
ADO Den Haag Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Willem II Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

ADO Den Haag · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.50
Conceded
2.25
Willem II · Away 0.20points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
0-1-4
Scored
1.20
Conceded
3.20

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentADO Den HaagWillem II
Fortuna Sittard L 2–3 H L 0–1 H
GO Ahead Eagles L 1–3 A L 1–4 A
AZ Alkmaar L 0–2 A D 1–1 A
Points0 of 9 · 0.00 per game1 of 9 · 0.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

ADO Den HaagWillem IIForecast
Scored per game 1.221.00
Conceded per game 2.222.89
Match goals 3.443.89
Over 1.5 100%89%
Over 2.5 67%78%
Over 3.5 56%67%
Both teams scored 78%78%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 22%22%
Games99
ADO Den HaagWillem IIForecast
Scored per game 1.221.00
Conceded per game 2.222.89
Match goals 3.443.89
Over 1.5 100%89%
Over 2.5 67%78%
Over 3.5 56%67%
Both teams scored 78%78%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 22%22%
Games99

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

ADO Den HaagWillem IILeague
Corners
Corners won4.143.78
Corners conceded6.146.56
Match total10.2810.3410.39
Over 8.557% 4/756% 5/9
Over 9.543% 3/756% 5/9
Over 10.543% 3/744% 4/9
Cards
Cards1.671.33
Opponent cards1.441.11
Match total3.112.442.77
Over 3.544% 4/922% 2/9
Over 4.511% 1/911% 1/9
ADO Den HaagWillem IILeague
Corners
Corners won4.253.78
Corners conceded5.636.56
Match total9.8810.3410.39
Over 8.550% 4/856% 5/9
Over 9.538% 3/856% 5/9
Over 10.538% 3/844% 4/9
Cards
Cards1.601.30
Opponent cards1.701.40
Match total3.302.702.77
Over 3.550% 5/1030% 3/10
Over 4.520% 2/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

ADO Den Haag9 games · scored 11 · conceded 20
1 2 0-15
2 3 16-30
5 31-45
4 46-60
1 8 61-75
3 2 76-90
Willem II9 games · scored 9 · conceded 26
1 1 0-15
1 1 16-30
6 31-45
1 4 46-60
2 9 61-75
4 5 76-90
ADO Den Haag10 games · scored 11 · conceded 21
1 2 0-15
2 3 16-30
5 31-45
4 46-60
1 9 61-75
3 2 76-90
Willem II10 games · scored 10 · conceded 26
1 1 0-15
1 1 16-30
6 31-45
1 4 46-60
3 9 61-75
4 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
PEC Zwolle Heerenveen Mar 2116:00 ADO Den Haag Willem II Mar 2116:00 AZ Alkmaar Excelsior Mar 2116:00 Groningen PSV Eindhoven Mar 2116:00 Utrecht Sparta Rotterdam Mar 2116:00 Feyenoord Cambuur Mar 2116:00 NEC Nijmegen Ajax Mar 2116:00 Twente GO Ahead Eagles Mar 2116:00 Telstar Fortuna Sittard Mar 2116:00