Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Nov 22 2025 · 17:45 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Ajax
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.23 – 0.37
Excelsior
  • K. Dolberg 59’
  • 37’, 46’ N. Naujoks
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Excelsior beat Ajax

Ajax entered as clear favourites, but Excelsior won 2–1 through two Naujoks goals. Ajax replied through a Dolberg goal. Excelsior won despite the lower xG; Ajax created the better chances (1.23 vs 0.37). On the chances created, Ajax deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Ajax69%
Draw19%
Excelsior ✓12%

Model vs reality

Ajax goals
1
Model 2.27 · xG 1.23
Excelsior goals
2
Model 0.85 · xG 0.37
Total goals
3
Model 3.11 · xG 1.60
Score 1–2
4%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 60%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. NaujoksExcelsior · 2 goals
9.2
  • RefereeJoey Kooij
  • VenueJohan Cruijff Arena
  • Table before kick-offAjax 4th · Excelsior 16th

Timeline

  1. W. WeghorstYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    16’
  2. Ilias BronkhorstYellow card · Tripping
    24’
  3. N. Naujoks 0–1Assist R. Meissen
    37’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. N. Naujoks 0–2
    46’
  6. ⇄ A. CarlénFor L. Hartjes
    52’
  7. J. ŠutaloYellow card · Roughing
    57’
  8. ⇄ K. DolbergFor A. Gaaei
    57’
  9. K. Dolberg 1–2Assist M. Godts
    59’
  10. ⇄ M. van DuinenFor Jerolldino Bergraaf
    66’
  11. ⇄ S. MitrovićFor D. Sanches Fernandes
    66’
  12. ⇄ O. WijndalFor G. Alders
    76’
  13. ⇄ Raúl MoroFor O. Edvardsen
    76’
  14. ⇄ Simon JanssenFor Nolan Martens
    84’
  15. ⇄ L. SchoutenFor C. Widell
    84’
  16. ⇄ D. KlaassenFor J. Šutalo
    84’
  17. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Ajax14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Excelsior8 shots · 4 in box, 4 outside
AjaxExcelsior
64% Possession 36%
1.23 Expected goals (xG) 0.37
2.06 Expected points (xPts) 0.64
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 4
600 Passes 353
88% Pass accuracy 79%
9 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.84 Team rating 7.11

Line-ups

Ajax 4-2-3-1

226.2 R. Pasveer(G)
416.3 G. Alders ↓76’ 157.2 Y. Baas 376.9 J. Šutalo ↓84’ 36.7 A. Gaaei ↓57’
87.0 K. Taylor 67.5 Y. Regeer
117.2 M. Godts A 107.3 O. Gloukh 176.7 O. Edvardsen ↓76’
256.0 W. Weghorst
  • 22R. Pasveer (G)6.2
  • 41G. Alders↓76’6.3
  • 15Y. Baas7.2
  • 37J. Šutalo↓84’6.9
  • 3A. Gaaei↓57’6.7
  • 8K. Taylor7.0
  • 6Y. Regeer7.5
  • 11M. GodtsA7.2
  • 10O. Gloukh7.3
  • 17O. Edvardsen↓76’6.7
  • 25W. Weghorst6.0

Substitutes used

  • 9K. Dolberg↑57’7.5
  • 5O. Wijndal↑76’6.7
  • 7Raúl Moro↑76’6.5
  • 18D. Klaassen↑84’6.3

Unused: V. Jaroš, P. Reverson, K. Itakura, Rayane Bounida, J. McConnell, Sean Steur, J. Mokio, K. Fitz-Jim

Excelsior 4-2-3-1

18.2 S. van Gassel(G)
176.2 Nolan Martens ↓84’ 37.6 R. Meissen A 47.3 C. Widell ↓84’ 26.3 Ilias Bronkhorst
206.6 L. Hartjes ↓52’ 237.3 I. Yegoian
116.7 G. de Regt 109.2★ N. Naujoks 306.3 D. Sanches Fernandes ↓66’
336.5 Jerolldino Bergraaf ↓66’
  • 1S. van Gassel (G)8.2
  • 17Nolan Martens↓84’6.2
  • 3R. MeissenA7.6
  • 4C. Widell↓84’7.3
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst6.3
  • 20L. Hartjes↓52’6.6
  • 23I. Yegoian7.3
  • 11G. de Regt6.7
  • 10N. Naujoks ★9.2
  • 30D. Sanches Fernandes↓66’6.3
  • 33Jerolldino Bergraaf↓66’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 6A. Carlén↑52’6.9
  • 29M. van Duinen↑66’6.2
  • 22S. Mitrović↑66’6.3
  • 15Simon Janssen↑84’6.3
  • 14L. Schouten↑84’6.2

Unused: C. Raatsie, S. Henderikx, S. Middendorp, N. El Hamdaoui, S. Włodarczyk

Player stats

Top rated
N. NaujoksExcelsior9.2
2nd
S. van GasselExcelsior8.2
3rd
R. MeissenExcelsior7.6

Ajax

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Pasveer G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 78% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
G. Alders M 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 45 3 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
Y. Baas D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 97% 99 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.2
J. Šutalo D 84 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 97 1 4 1/1 1/0 6.9
A. Gaaei D 57 0 0 0 (0) 2 90% 30 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.7
K. Taylor M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 88% 60 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.0
Y. Regeer M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 56 5 3 1/1 0/1 7.5
M. Godts F 90 0 1 0 (0) 4 81% 47 1 1 2/7 0/1 7.2
O. Gloukh M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 82% 56 5 0 1/3 0/1 7.3
O. Edvardsen F 76 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 22 0 1 1/1 0/2 6.7
W. Weghorst F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 87% 15 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.0
K. Dolberg F 33 1 0 2 (1) 1 63% 8 0 1 0/1 0/0 7.5
O. Wijndal D 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 14 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.7
Raúl Moro F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
D. Klaassen M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Excelsior

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. van Gassel G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 65% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.2
Nolan Martens M 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 30 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
R. Meissen D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 35 1 3 0/1 2/0 7.6
C. Widell D 84 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 29 2 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
Ilias Bronkhorst D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 47 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
L. Hartjes M 52 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 24 1 2 1/1 1/0 6.6
I. Yegoian M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 35 4 1 2/4 1/0 7.3
G. de Regt F 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 67% 21 2 0 0/1 2/0 6.7
N. Naujoks M 90 2 0 3 (3) 0 74% 23 4 1 2/4 2/1 9.2
D. Sanches Fernandes F 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 21 0 0 0/2 3/0 6.3
Jerolldino Bergraaf F 66 0 0 1 (0) 0 69% 13 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.5
A. Carlén M 38 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. van Duinen F 24 0 0 1 (1) 0 50% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
S. Mitrović F 24 0 0 0 (0) 2 89% 9 1 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
Simon Janssen D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Schouten M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.