Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Sep 27 2025 · 15:30 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Ajax
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.77 – 1.57
NAC Breda
  • O. Gloukh 4’
  • K. Taylor 46’
  • 16’ (P) S. van Hooijdonk
  • 71’ M. Balard
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ajax beat NAC Breda

Ajax entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Gloukh and Taylor. NAC Breda replied through a van Hooijdonk goal. NAC Breda played with ten men from the 71st minute after Balard was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 1.77 and 1.57. On the chances created, NAC Breda deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Ajax ✓73%
Draw17%
NAC Breda10%

Model vs reality

Ajax goals
2
Model 2.45 · xG 1.77
NAC Breda goals
1
Model 0.80 · xG 1.57
Total goals
3
Model 3.25 · xG 3.34
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 63%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchO. GloukhAjax · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeMarc Nagtegaal
  • Coaches— · C. Hoefkens
  • VenueJohan Cruijff Arena
  • Table before kick-offAjax 3rd · NAC Breda 13th

Timeline

  1. O. Gloukh 1–0Assist M. Godts
    4’
  2. S. van Hooijdonk (pen) 1–1
    16’
  3. VAR S. van HooijdonkGoal Disallowed - offside
    33’
  4. R. HillenYellow card · Roughing
    39’
  5. K. ItakuraYellow card · Holding
    40’
  6. M. NassohYellow card · Roughing
    41’
  7. O. EdvardsenYellow card · Holding
    45+3’
  8. Half time · 1–1
  9. ⇄ J. MokioFor D. Konadu
    46’
  10. ⇄ Raúl MoroFor O. Edvardsen
    46’
  11. K. Taylor 2–1
    46’
  12. M. BalardYellow card · Tripping
    64’
  13. M. BalardSecond yellow · Holding
    71’
  14. ⇄ C. BrymFor J. Talvitie
    74’
  15. ⇄ S. BerghuisFor M. Godts
    76’
  16. ⇄ C. LeemansFor L. Holtby
    81’
  17. ⇄ C. ValeriusFor B. Lucassen
    82’
  18. ⇄ R. PaulaFor M. Nassoh
    82’
  19. ⇄ W. WeghorstFor O. Gloukh
    84’
  20. ⇄ K. Fitz-JimFor D. Klaassen
    84’
  21. ⇄ Dion VersluisFor K. Sowah
    88’
  22. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Ajax11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
NAC Breda17 shots · 14 in box, 3 outside
AjaxNAC Breda
51% Possession 49%
1.77 Expected goals (xG) 1.57
1.51 Expected points (xPts) 1.26
11 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
3 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
9 Shots inside the box 14
2 Shots outside the box 3
451 Passes 430
82% Pass accuracy 80%
2 Corners 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
7.22 Team rating 6.54

Line-ups

Ajax 4-2-3-1

17.6 V. Jaroš(G)
56.9 O. Wijndal 46.6 K. Itakura 377.9 J. Šutalo 36.3 A. Gaaei
87.6 K. Taylor 187.3 D. Klaassen ↓84’
117.3 M. Godts A↓76’ 108.0★ O. Gloukh ↓84’ 176.7 O. Edvardsen ↓46’
196.9 D. Konadu ↓46’
  • 1V. Jaroš (G)7.6
  • 5O. Wijndal6.9
  • 4K. Itakura6.6
  • 37J. Šutalo7.9
  • 3A. Gaaei6.3
  • 8K. Taylor7.6
  • 18D. Klaassen↓84’7.3
  • 11M. GodtsA↓76’7.3
  • 10O. Gloukh ★↓84’8.0
  • 17O. Edvardsen↓46’6.7
  • 19D. Konadu↓46’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 24J. Mokio↑46’7.7
  • 7Raúl Moro↑46’7.0
  • 28K. Fitz-Jim↑84’6.6
  • 23S. Berghuis↑76’6.7
  • 25W. Weghorst↑84’6.7

Unused: R. Pasveer, Jesse Joeri Heerkens, Lucas Rosa, A. Bouwman, Y. Regeer, Rayane Bounida, Sean Steur

NAC Breda 4-2-3-1

997.0 D. Bielica(G)
46.5 B. Kemper 226.5 R. Hillen 127.0 L. Greiml 26.5 B. Lucassen ↓82’
165.9 M. Balard 906.3 L. Holtby ↓81’
146.2 K. Sowah ↓88’ 106.0 M. Nassoh ↓82’ 326.2 J. Talvitie ↓74’
177.5 S. van Hooijdonk
  • 99D. Bielica (G)7.0
  • 4B. Kemper6.5
  • 22R. Hillen6.5
  • 12L. Greiml7.0
  • 2B. Lucassen↓82’6.5
  • 16M. Balard5.9
  • 90L. Holtby↓81’6.3
  • 14K. Sowah↓88’6.2
  • 10M. Nassoh↓82’6.0
  • 32J. Talvitie↓74’6.2
  • 17S. van Hooijdonk7.5

Substitutes used

  • 25C. Valerius↑82’6.6
  • 11R. Paula↑82’6.3
  • 8C. Leemans↑81’6.9
  • 7C. Brym↑74’6.7
  • 23Dion Versluis↑88’6.9

Unused: K. Lamprou, R. Kortsmit, T. Kongolo, J. Candelaria, E. Mahmutović, C. Staring, F. Oldrup Jensen

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Player stats

Top rated
O. GloukhAjax8.0
2nd
J. ŠutaloAjax7.9
3rd
J. MokioAjax7.7

Ajax

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
V. Jaroš G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 77% 43 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
O. Wijndal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 33 6 0 0/1 2/2 6.9
K. Itakura D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 52 3 0 1/1 2/0 6.6
J. Šutalo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 73 2 3 2/2 0/1 7.9
A. Gaaei D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 50 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
K. Taylor M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 68% 37 0 0 0/2 2/3 7.6
D. Klaassen M 84 0 0 1 (1) 1 78% 41 0 0 0/0 1/2 7.3
M. Godts F 76 0 1 0 (0) 3 81% 16 0 0 2/5 0/1 7.3
O. Gloukh M 84 1 0 3 (1) 2 89% 36 1 0 4/5 0/0 8.0
O. Edvardsen F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 21 1 0 0/0 1/3 6.7
D. Konadu F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
J. Mokio D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 20 3 0 1/1 0/1 7.7
Raúl Moro F 44 0 0 3 (2) 3 86% 7 0 0 2/4 0/0 7.0
K. Fitz-Jim M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/3 0/0 6.6
S. Berghuis F 14 0 0 1 (1) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
W. Weghorst F 6 0 0 1 (1) 1 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 52% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
B. Kemper D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 76% 38 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.5
R. Hillen D 90 0 0 3 (2) 0 94% 50 1 3 0/1 3/1 6.5
L. Greiml D 90 0 0 3 (1) 0 81% 59 5 2 0/0 4/1 7.0
B. Lucassen D 82 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 27 1 1 0/0 1/2 6.5
M. Balard M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 44 1 0 0/0 3/0 5.9
L. Holtby M 81 0 0 1 (0) 3 81% 43 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.3
K. Sowah M 88 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 31 1 0 0/4 0/1 6.2
M. Nassoh M 82 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 33 2 0 1/3 2/0 6.0
J. Talvitie F 74 0 0 1 (1) 0 96% 25 1 0 2/6 0/0 6.2
S. van Hooijdonk F 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 65% 20 1 0 3/3 1/2 7.5
C. Valerius D 8 0 0 1 (0) 0 57% 7 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
R. Paula M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
C. Leemans M 9 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 13 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
C. Brym F 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 7 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.7
Dion Versluis F 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.