La Liga Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 14 2025 · 20:00 Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Alaves
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.36 – 1.24
Real Madrid
  • Carlos Vicente 69’
  • 24’ K. Mbappé
  • 76’ Rodrygo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Real Madrid beat Alaves

Real Madrid entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Mbappé and Rodrygo. Alaves replied through a Vicente goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.36 and 1.24. On the chances created, Alaves deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Alaves18%
Draw24%
Real Madrid ✓59%

Model vs reality

Alaves goals
1
Model 0.92 · xG 1.36
Real Madrid goals
2
Model 1.85 · xG 1.24
Total goals
3
Model 2.76 · xG 2.60
Score 1–2
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. BellinghamReal Madrid · 1 assist
7.9
  • RefereeVictor Garcia Verdura
  • CoachesE. Coudet · —
  • VenueEstadio de Mendizorroza
  • Table before kick-offAlaves 12th · Real Madrid 2nd

Timeline

  1. Víctor ParadaYellow card · Tripping
    6’
  2. K. Mbappé 0–1Assist J. Bellingham
    24’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ Carlos VicenteFor Calebe
    68’
  5. ⇄ Carles AleñáFor A. Rebbach
    68’
  6. ⇄ Toni MartínezFor Pablo Ibáñez
    68’
  7. Carlos Vicente 1–1Assist Antonio Blanco
    69’
  8. Rodrygo 1–2Assist Vinícius
    76’
  9. ⇄ Gonzalo GarcíaFor A. Güler
    78’
  10. ⇄ D. HuijsenFor V. Valdepenas
    79’
  11. ViníciusYellow card · Tripping
    80’
  12. ⇄ Brahim DíazFor Rodrygo
    83’
  13. ⇄ Ander GuevaraFor Denis Suárez
    83’
  14. ⇄ Youssef LekhedimFor Víctor Parada
    89’
  15. ⇄ Franco MastantuonoFor Vinícius
    89’
  16. Ander GuevaraYellow card · Holding
    90+3’
  17. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Alaves6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
Real Madrid11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
AlavesReal Madrid
52% Possession 48%
1.36 Expected goals (xG) 1.24
1.45 Expected points (xPts) 1.28
6 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Shots inside the box 8
2 Shots outside the box 3
472 Passes 453
86% Pass accuracy 87%
5 Corners 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.63 Team rating 7.07

Line-ups

Alaves 4-1-4-1

16.7 Antonio Sivera(G)
245.9 Víctor Parada ↓89’ 56.3 Jon Pacheco 146.9 F. Tenaglia 176.9 Jonny
87.0 Antonio Blanco A
216.2 A. Rebbach ↓68’ 46.7 Denis Suárez ↓83’ 196.9 Pablo Ibáñez ↓68’ 206.7 Calebe ↓68’
156.5 L. Boyé
  • 1Antonio Sivera (G)6.7
  • 24Víctor Parada↓89’5.9
  • 5Jon Pacheco6.3
  • 14F. Tenaglia6.9
  • 17Jonny6.9
  • 8Antonio BlancoA7.0
  • 21A. Rebbach↓68’6.2
  • 4Denis Suárez↓83’6.7
  • 19Pablo Ibáñez↓68’6.9
  • 20Calebe↓68’6.7
  • 15L. Boyé6.5

Substitutes used

  • 7Carlos Vicente↑68’7.7
  • 10Carles Aleñá↑68’6.3
  • 11Toni Martínez↑68’6.7
  • 3Youssef Lekhedim↑89’
  • 6Ander Guevara↑83’6.5

Unused: Raúl Fernández, R. Montero, M. Diarra, C. Benavídez, Jon Guridi, M. Díaz, Aitor Mañas

Coach: E. Coudet

Real Madrid 4-4-2

17.2 T. Courtois(G)
406.9 Víctor Valdepeñas 226.9 A. Rüdiger 176.9 Raúl Asencio 86.9 F. Valverde
57.9★ J. Bellingham A 146.3 A. Tchouaméni 156.9 A. Güler ↓78’ 117.9 Rodrygo ↓83’
76.3 Vinícius A↓89’ 107.9 K. Mbappé
  • 1T. Courtois (G)7.2
  • 40Víctor Valdepeñas6.9
  • 22A. Rüdiger6.9
  • 17Raúl Asencio6.9
  • 8F. Valverde6.9
  • 5J. Bellingham ★A7.9
  • 14A. Tchouaméni6.3
  • 15A. Güler↓78’6.9
  • 11Rodrygo↓83’7.9
  • 7ViníciusA↓89’6.3
  • 10K. Mbappé7.9

Substitutes used

  • 16Gonzalo García↑78’6.3
  • 24D. Huijsen↑79’6.6
  • 30Franco Mastantuono↑89’
  • 21Brahim Díaz↑83’6.6

Unused: Sergio Mestre, A. Lunin, Joan Martínez, Thiago Pitarch, Jorge Cestero, Dani Ceballos

Player stats

Top rated
J. BellinghamReal Madrid7.9
2nd
RodrygoReal Madrid7.9
3rd
K. MbappéReal Madrid7.9

Alaves

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Antonio Sivera G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 59% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Víctor Parada D 89 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 30 0 0 0/0 2/0 5.9
Jon Pacheco D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 45 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
F. Tenaglia D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 44 3 2 0/0 0/1 6.9
Jonny D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 68 6 3 2/3 0/1 6.9
Antonio Blanco M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 96% 67 4 2 2/3 2/1 7.0
A. Rebbach F 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 15 1 0 1/3 1/1 6.2
Denis Suárez M 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 52 2 1 0/2 1/0 6.7
Pablo Ibáñez M 68 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 48 0 2 1/1 2/1 6.9
Calebe M 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 33 2 4 0/2 1/2 6.7
L. Boyé F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 12 1 0 2/3 0/2 6.5
Carlos Vicente F 22 1 0 1 (1) 1 67% 12 0 0 0/2 1/1 7.7
Carles Aleñá M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
Toni Martínez F 22 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Youssef Lekhedim D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 1/2 0/0 —
Ander Guevara M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.5

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
T. Courtois G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 80% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
Víctor Valdepeñas D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 34 5 0 1/1 3/1 6.9
A. Rüdiger D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 57 2 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
Raúl Asencio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 60 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.9
F. Valverde M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 76% 42 5 1 0/1 0/1 6.9
J. Bellingham M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 94% 64 4 0 3/6 2/2 7.9
A. Tchouaméni M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 44 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
A. Güler M 78 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 43 1 0 1/2 1/1 6.9
Rodrygo F 83 1 0 3 (1) 0 97% 30 1 0 1/1 0/3 7.9
Vinícius F 89 0 1 1 (1) 1 75% 20 1 0 2/6 4/0 6.3
K. Mbappé F 90 1 0 3 (2) 0 72% 18 2 0 3/3 0/1 7.9
Gonzalo García F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
D. Huijsen D 11 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 4 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
Franco Mastantuono M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 —
Brahim Díaz M 7 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.