Süper Lig Gameweek 24 Sun, Mar 7 · 12:00 Seyrantepe Spor Kompleksi Stadyumu 1, Diyarbakır
Amed 2nd · 17 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Genclerbirligi 15th · 8 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel675 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Amed—%
Draw—%
Genclerbirligi—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Diyarbakır)

Forecast from 20 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Amed and Genclerbirligi. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

AmedGenclerbirligi
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
34 Current StrengthIn forecast 15
38 AttackIn forecast 13
46 DefenceIn forecast 16
66 Form indexContext 7
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Amed

Attack—
Defense risk—

Genclerbirligi

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

AmedGenclerbirligi
2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.88
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
1.84 xGVia Att/Def 0.95
0.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83
+0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.07
88% Scored inContext 63%
38% Clean sheetsContext 13%
14.25 ShotsContext 11.88
4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.14
33% On target shareContext 31%
7.63 Shots in the boxContext 7.25
53% Box shareContext 58%
16% ConversionContext 7%
2.83 OffsidesContext 2.40
9.25 Shots allowedContext 17.25
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.88
3.00 BlocksContext 4.14
2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.13
68% Save rateContext 75%
47% PossessionIn forecast 43%
386 PassesContext 327
317 Accurate passesContext 261
82% Pass accuracyContext 80%
6.93 Team ratingContext 6.81
14.00 FoulsContext 11.63
10.25 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38
3.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.75
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
1.84 xGVia Att/Def 1.13
0.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68
+0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.17
88% Scored inContext 70%
38% Clean sheetsContext 20%
14.25 ShotsContext 12.10
4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67
33% On target shareContext 35%
7.63 Shots in the boxContext 7.30
53% Box shareContext 58%
16% ConversionContext 11%
2.83 OffsidesContext 2.17
9.25 Shots allowedContext 15.80
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.20
3.00 BlocksContext 3.78
2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.70
68% Save rateContext 76%
47% PossessionIn forecast 44%
386 PassesContext 327
317 Accurate passesContext 260
82% Pass accuracyContext 79%
6.93 Team ratingContext 6.84
14.00 FoulsContext 11.50
10.25 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70
3.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.90
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 8 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Amed
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km4,104 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
Form 66 · 11 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · +3.0 vs expected
  • W17 OctH · Konyaspor1–02.0 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Genclerbirligi2–21.8 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Besiktas3–21.4 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Istanbul Basaksehir5–01.5 xPts
  • D6 SepA · Kasimpasa2–21.3 xPts
Genclerbirligi
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel675 km704 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 7 · 1 pts vs 8.1 for an average club · -3.8 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Galatasaray0–10.6 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Amed2–21.0 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Istanbul Basaksehir0–41.0 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Kasimpasa1–21.4 xPts
  • L6 SepA · Trabzonspor0–50.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Amed Genclerbirligi
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 10Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 28 Feb7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 28 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km675 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways4,104 km704 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Amed Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Konyaspor (H) 1–0, 17 Oct
40A. Lafont(G)
17C. Meraş 4D. Bates 21Mehmet Yeşil 7E. Krasniqi
8F. Soyalp 22R. Raveloson
10S. Ballet 91D. Sabi'a 93R. Lutin
99G. Orban
Genclerbirligi Last XI · not confirmed
4-1-4-1 · vs Galatasaray (H) 0–1, 17 Oct
70İ. Eğribayat(G)
2T. da Silva 6D. Goutas 90M. Baltacı 88F. Üzüm
42Ousmane Diabate
7Tiago Gouveia 10F. Tongya 48S. Uçan 83R. Luis
9Pedro Mendes

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Amed Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Genclerbirligi Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Amed · Home 3.00points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
5-0-0
Scored
2.80
Conceded
0.60
Genclerbirligi · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
1-0-2
Scored
0.33
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentAmedGenclerbirligi
Istanbul Basaksehir W 5–0 H L 0–4 A
Kasimpasa D 2–2 A L 1–2 H
Trabzonspor W 2–1 H L 0–5 A
Erzurumspor FK W 3–0 H D 1–1 H
Points10 of 12 · 2.50 per game1 of 12 · 0.25 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 Amed wins1 draws0 Genclerbirligi wins
Goals per game2.00 – 2.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 10 Oct 2026Genclerbirligi2–2Amed

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

AmedGenclerbirligiForecast
Scored per game 2.250.88
Conceded per game 1.132.00
Match goals 3.382.88
Over 1.5 88%75%
Over 2.5 75%63%
Over 3.5 50%38%
Both teams scored 50%50%
Clean sheets 38%13%
Failed to score 13%38%
Games88
AmedGenclerbirligiForecast
Scored per game 2.251.30
Conceded per game 1.131.80
Match goals 3.383.10
Over 1.5 88%80%
Over 2.5 75%70%
Over 3.5 50%40%
Both teams scored 50%50%
Clean sheets 38%20%
Failed to score 13%30%
Games810

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

AmedGenclerbirligiLeague
Corners
Corners won4.254.63
Corners conceded3.756.50
Match total8.0011.139.12
Over 8.538% 3/875% 6/8
Over 9.538% 3/850% 4/8
Over 10.513% 1/850% 4/8
Cards
Cards3.131.75
Opponent cards2.632.13
Match total5.763.884.04
Over 3.563% 5/850% 4/8
Over 4.550% 4/838% 3/8
AmedGenclerbirligiLeague
Corners
Corners won4.254.50
Corners conceded3.756.10
Match total8.0010.609.12
Over 8.538% 3/870% 7/10
Over 9.538% 3/840% 4/10
Over 10.513% 1/840% 4/10
Cards
Cards3.131.90
Opponent cards2.632.80
Match total5.764.704.04
Over 3.563% 5/850% 5/10
Over 4.550% 4/840% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Amed8 games · scored 18 · conceded 9
1 1 0-15
2 2 16-30
2 31-45
5 3 46-60
4 61-75
4 3 76-90
Genclerbirligi8 games · scored 7 · conceded 16
4 0-15
1 2 16-30
1 1 31-45
3 3 46-60
1 2 61-75
1 4 76-90
Amed8 games · scored 18 · conceded 9
1 1 0-15
2 2 16-30
2 31-45
5 3 46-60
4 61-75
4 3 76-90
Genclerbirligi10 games · scored 13 · conceded 18
6 0-15
1 2 16-30
4 1 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 2 61-75
3 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

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Istanbul Basaksehir Konyaspor Mar 712:00 Fenerbahce Rizespor Mar 712:00 Goztepe Eyüpspor Mar 712:00 Trabzonspor Samsunspor Mar 712:00 Kasimpasa Galatasaray Mar 712:00 Erzurumspor FK Alanyaspor Mar 712:00 Amed Genclerbirligi Mar 712:00 Çorum FK Gazişehir Gaziantep Mar 712:00 Kocaelispor Besiktas Mar 712:00