Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Fri, Dec 26 2025 · 19:45 Lotto Park, Brussel
First leg0–1 1–2 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 1.41 – 1.73
  • T. Hazard 24’ (P)
  • 12’ É. Camara
  • 15’ P. Guiagon
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Charleroi beat Anderlecht

Anderlecht entered as clear favourites, but Charleroi won 2–1 through goals from Camara and Guiagon. Anderlecht replied through a Hazard goal. Charleroi finished with the higher xG (1.73 vs 1.41). On the chances created, Anderlecht deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Anderlecht62%
Draw22%
Charleroi ✓16%

Model vs reality

Anderlecht goals
1
Model 1.98 · xG 1.41
Charleroi goals
2
Model 0.90 · xG 1.73
Total goals
3
Model 2.87 · xG 3.14
Score 1–2
4%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchÉ. CamaraCharleroi · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeBram Van Driessche
  • VenueLotto Park
  • Table before kick-offAnderlecht 4th · Charleroi 12th

Timeline

  1. É. Camara 0–1Assist P. Pflücke
    12’
  2. P. Guiagon 0–2Assist A. Bernier
    15’
  3. T. Hazard (pen) 1–2
    24’
  4. L. HeyYellow card · misses next match
    25’
  5. É. CamaraYellow card · misses next match
    38’
  6. A. BernierYellow card
    44’
  7. Half time · 1–2
  8. VAR A. OusouGoal Disallowed - offside
    57’
  9. ⇄ T. DegreefFor M. Cvetkovic
    64’
  10. ⇄ Y. VerschaerenFor N. Saliba
    64’
  11. ⇄ K. Van Den KerkhofFor A. Bernier
    67’
  12. ⇄ A. ColassinFor A. Scheidler
    75’
  13. ⇄ J. RomsaasFor P. Pflücke
    75’
  14. ⇄ I. KanatéFor A. Bertaccini
    76’
  15. ⇄ M. NzitaFor Jules Gaudin
    76’
  16. L. BlumYellow card
    77’
  17. ⇄ L. VázquezFor A. Maamar
    88’
  18. Y. TitraouiYellow card · misses next match
    90+2’
  19. ⇄ N. ChikovaniFor P. Guiagon
    90+5’
  20. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Anderlecht17 shots · 11 in box, 6 outside
Charleroi13 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
AnderlechtCharleroi
62% Possession 38%
1.41 Expected goals (xG) 1.73
1.18 Expected points (xPts) 1.59
17 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 10
6 Shots outside the box 3
461 Passes 288
83% Pass accuracy 72%
8 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.70 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

Anderlecht 4-2-3-1

266.7 C. Coosemans(G)
56.6 M. N'Diaye 36.5 L. Hey 546.9 K. Sardella 796.5 A. Maamar ↓88’
136.6 N. Saliba ↓64’ 747.3 N. De Cat
196.3 N. Angulo 116.9 T. Hazard 916.2 A. Bertaccini ↓76’
97.3 M. Cvetković
  • 26C. Coosemans (G)6.7
  • 5M. N'Diaye6.6
  • 3L. Hey6.5
  • 54K. Sardella6.9
  • 79A. Maamar↓88’6.5
  • 13N. Saliba↓64’6.6
  • 74N. De Cat7.3
  • 19N. Angulo6.3
  • 11T. Hazard6.9
  • 91A. Bertaccini↓76’6.2
  • 9M. Cvetković7.3

Substitutes used

  • 83T. Degreef↑64’6.3
  • 10Y. Verschaeren↑64’6.6
  • 99I. Kanaté↑76’6.3
  • 20L. Vázquez↑88’

Unused: M. Kikkenborg, Y. Özcan, M. Ilić, A. Tajaouart, E. Llansana, Joshua Nga Kana

Charleroi 4-2-3-1

556.9 M. Delavallée(G)
236.9 Jules Gaudin ↓76’ 956.7 C. Keita 47.2 A. Ousou 276.2 L. Blum
57.7★ É. Camara 225.9 Y. Titraoui
107.2 P. Guiagon ↓90’ 147.3 P. Pflücke A↓75’ 176.7 A. Bernier A↓67’
216.9 A. Scheidler ↓75’
  • 55M. Delavallée (G)6.9
  • 23Jules Gaudin↓76’6.9
  • 95C. Keita6.7
  • 4A. Ousou7.2
  • 27L. Blum6.2
  • 5É. Camara ★7.7
  • 22Y. Titraoui5.9
  • 10P. Guiagon↓90’7.2
  • 14P. PflückeA↓75’7.3
  • 17A. BernierA↓67’6.7
  • 21A. Scheidler↓75’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 3K. Van Den Kerkhof↑67’6.3
  • 24M. Nzita↑76’6.7
  • 8J. Romsaas↑75’6.2
  • 71N. Chikovani↑90’
  • 25A. Colassin↑75’6.7

Unused: N. Closset, M. Boukamir, A. Boukamir, Y. Khalifi

Player stats

Top rated
É. CamaraCharleroi7.7
2nd
N. De CatAnderlecht7.3
3rd
M. CvetkovićAnderlecht7.3

Anderlecht

Charleroi

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.