Antwerp
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
It was too close to call.
The two sides are close in strength. Antwerp had ? days of rest, Union St. Gilloise ? and had to travel 42 km.
Away travel42 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Antwerp40%
Draw27%
Union St. Gilloise33%
Antwerp40%
Draw27%
Union St. Gilloise33%
Antwerp40%
Draw27%
Union St. Gilloise33%
Antwerp33%
Draw27%
Union St. Gilloise40%
Antwerp40%
Draw27%
Union St. Gilloise33%
Over 2.5 50%
Both score 55%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Deurne)
No weather data yet
RefereeErik Lambrechts
Team strength
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
44
L90 StrengthIn forecast
50
26
Current StrengthIn forecast
70
24
AttackIn forecast
62
19
DefenceIn forecast
74
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisUnion St. Gilloise
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AntwerpUnion St. Gilloise
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
—
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
—
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
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—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
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OffsidesContext
—
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
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BlocksContext
—
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
—
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PassesContext
—
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
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1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
0.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
—
xGVia Att/Def
1.93
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.36
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Goals minus xGContext
-0.93
80%
Scored inContext
70%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
12.90
ShotsContext
17.20
5.10
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.30
40%
On target shareContext
37%
8.33
Shots in the boxContext
12.30
61%
Box shareContext
71%
14%
ConversionContext
6%
1.83
OffsidesContext
2.30
8.60
Shots allowedContext
10.80
3.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
2.00
BlocksContext
3.30
2.44
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.70
73%
Save rateContext
68%
60%
PossessionIn forecast
50%
570
PassesContext
444
486
Accurate passesContext
347
85%
Pass accuracyContext
78%
7.19
Team ratingContext
7.14
10.10
FoulsContext
15.30
13.30
Fouls sufferedContext
12.40
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
3.40
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Antwerp
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Union St. Gilloise
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel42 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Antwerp |
Union St. Gilloise |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 42 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8.7 | 8.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Antwerp
Confirmed XI
91S. Lammens(G)
21A. Verstraeten
26R. Bozhinov
33Z. Van Den Bosch
5D. Foulon
20M. Doumbia
8D. Praet
24T. Somers
10M. Balikwisha
18V. Janssen
7G. Kerk
Union St. Gilloise
Confirmed XI
1V. Chambaere(G)
48F. Leysen
16C. Burgess
5K. Mac Allister
22O. Niang
6K. Van de Perre
24C. Vanhoutte
21A. Castro-Montes
10A. Ait El Hadj
13K. Rodríguez
12P. David
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Antwerp
Absences are shown before kick-off
Union St. Gilloise
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Antwerp+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Union St. Gilloise+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Antwerp · Home
No home games yet this season.
Union St. Gilloise · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
0 Antwerp wins2 draws0 Union St. Gilloise wins
Goals per game1.50 – 1.50
Over 2.550%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 17 Mar 2024Antwerp1–1Union St. Gilloise
- 3 Sep 2023Union St. Gilloise2–2Antwerp
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Antwerp | Union St. Gilloise | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.67 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 55% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Antwerp | Union St. Gilloise | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.67 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 55% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Antwerp | Union St. Gilloise | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Antwerp | Union St. Gilloise | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.60 | 6.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.50 | 3.89 | |
| Match total | 10.10 | 9.89 | |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 5/10 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.60 | 3.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.40 | 3.10 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 6.80 | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
AntwerpUnion St. GilloiseAntwerp10 games · scored 18 · conceded 7
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
2
46-60
5
61-75
6
2
76-90
Union St. Gilloise10 games · scored 10 · conceded 11
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
