Premier League Gameweek 14 Wed, Dec 3 2025 · 19:30 Emirates Stadium, London
2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.77 – 0.35
  • Mikel Merino 11’
  • B. Saka 90’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arsenal beat Brentford

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Merino and Saka. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (1.77 vs 0.35).

Arsenal ✓71%
Draw18%
Brentford11%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
2
Model 2.41 · xG 1.77
Brentford goals
0
Model 0.86 · xG 0.35
Total goals
2
Model 3.27 · xG 2.12
Score 2–0
11%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 64%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMikel MerinoArsenal · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.5
  • RefereeTony Harrington
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 1st · Brentford 12th

Timeline

  1. Mikel Merino 1–0Assist B. White
    11’
  2. ⇄ J. TimberFor Cristhian Mosquera
    44’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ ThiagoFor K. Schade
    60’
  5. ⇄ B. SakaFor C. Madueke
    61’
  6. ⇄ E. EzeFor Gabriel Martinelli
    61’
  7. ⇄ J. HendersonFor V. Janelt
    61’
  8. ⇄ M. DamsgaardFor M. Jensen
    61’
  9. Y. YarmoliukYellow card · Foul
    65’
  10. ⇄ N. CollinsFor E. Pinnock
    74’
  11. ⇄ K. Lewis-PotterFor R. Henry
    74’
  12. ⇄ V. GyökeresFor D. Rice
    83’
  13. B. Saka 2–0Assist Mikel Merino
    90’
  14. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Arsenal15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Brentford6 shots · 5 in box, 1 outside
ArsenalBrentford
62% Possession 38%
1.77 Expected goals (xG) 0.35
2.39 Expected points (xPts) 0.41
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
4 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 5
5 Shots outside the box 1
542 Passes 333
84% Pass accuracy 77%
4 Corners 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.28 Team rating 6.54

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-3-3

17.0 David Raya(G)
337.5 R. Calafiori 57.3 P. Hincapié 37.2 Cristhian Mosquera ↓44’ 47.6 B. White A
417.2 D. Rice ↓83’ 367.2 Martín Zubimendi 86.9 M. Ødegaard
116.3 Gabriel Martinelli ↓61’ 238.5★ Mikel Merino A 207.2 C. Madueke ↓61’
  • 1David Raya (G)7.0
  • 33R. Calafiori7.5
  • 5P. Hincapié7.3
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera↓44’7.2
  • 4B. WhiteA7.6
  • 41D. Rice↓83’7.2
  • 36Martín Zubimendi7.2
  • 8M. Ødegaard6.9
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↓61’6.3
  • 23Mikel Merino ★A8.5
  • 20C. Madueke↓61’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 14V. Gyökeres↑83’6.3
  • 12J. Timber↑44’6.7
  • 7B. Saka↑61’8.3
  • 10E. Eze↑61’6.9

Unused: Kepa, G. de Jesus, E. Nwaneri, M. Lewis-Skelly, C. Nørgaard

Brentford 5-3-2

16.9 C. Kelleher(G)
36.9 R. Henry ↓74’ 46.2 S. van den Berg 57.3 E. Pinnock ↓74’ 205.9 K. Ajer 336.7 M. Kayode
86.0 M. Jensen ↓61’ 276.9 V. Janelt ↓61’ 186.2 Y. Yarmoliuk
76.2 K. Schade ↓60’ 196.6 D. Ouattara
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.9
  • 3R. Henry↓74’6.9
  • 4S. van den Berg6.2
  • 5E. Pinnock↓74’7.3
  • 20K. Ajer5.9
  • 33M. Kayode6.7
  • 8M. Jensen↓61’6.0
  • 27V. Janelt↓61’6.9
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk6.2
  • 7K. Schade↓60’6.2
  • 19D. Ouattara6.6

Substitutes used

  • 6J. Henderson↑61’6.7
  • 22N. Collins↑74’6.2
  • 24M. Damsgaard↑61’6.9
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↑74’6.3
  • 9Thiago↑60’6.7

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, O. Onyeka, B. Arthur, R. Donovan

Player stats

Top rated
Mikel MerinoArsenal8.5
2nd
B. SakaArsenal8.3
3rd
B. WhiteArsenal7.6

Arsenal

Brentford

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.