Arsenal

2nd · Premier League · 18 points · Matches played: 7

3 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-2.1 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -0.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 94.4-2.1
World Rank 1st Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 1st L90 Strength
Last Nottingham ForestA xG 1.1–0.7 1–0 Next Bayern MünchenA 25%

Compare clubs

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Our take

A top side, and in form.

Arsenal build on the best defence in the league and back it with a top-three attack. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 4 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. W. Saliba is out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Bayern München.

Premier League · 7 games. Their chance balance is better than the scorelines suggest. Scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest is partly offset by conceding fewer than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the defensive gap.

They dominate the ball, with 61% possession, 2nd in the league. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Title 64% · Top 4 >99%Likely 1st · 84 projected points
  • Next 5: about 10 of 15 points Toughest at Bayern München · , 25% to win
  • 1 key player outW. Saliba · 12% of squad weight missing
  • 18 pts vs 14.3 expected+3.7 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Arsenal. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
Premier LeagueView table →
Position
2nd/ 20
Points
182.57 PPG
Played
7
League gap
3pts behind leader
85.7%Win %
Wins6
Draws0
Losses1

Expected metrics · 7 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
111.57 / game
xG 11.71 0.71 fewer goals than expected. vs 11 goals
Goals Against
50.71 / game
xGA 5.49 0.49 fewer conceded than expected. vs 5 conceded
Goal Difference
+6+0.86 / game
xGD +6.22 Goal difference is 0.22 lower than expected. vs +6 GD
Clean Sheets
457% of games

League standings

Premier League · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Premier League table, Arsenal highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Manchester City 91 7700 +12 21
2– Arsenal 94 7601 +6 18
3– Brighton 83 7511 +18 16
4▲ Chelsea 77 7412 +4 13
5▲ Liverpool 84 7331 +1 12
6▼ Brentford 75 7241 +5 10
7– Leeds 73 7241 +3 10
8▼ Everton 67 7241 +1 10
9▼ Hull City 37 7232 +1 9
10– Ipswich 49 7304 -4 9
11– Newcastle 71 7223 -4 8
12▲ Aston Villa 84 7223 -4 8
13– Manchester United 79 7142 +0 7
14▼ Crystal Palace 64 7214 -8 7
15▲ Bournemouth 77 7133 -4 6
16▲ Tottenham 62 7133 -4 6
17▼ Coventry 51 7205 -8 6
18▲ Fulham 65 7124 -3 5
19▼ Nottingham Forest 70 7124 -4 5
20▼ Sunderland 57 7115 -8 4

20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Arsenal league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
124 Aug 2026231
231 Aug 2026262
36 Sep 2026293
414 Sep 20261124
520 Sep 20262125
612 Oct 20262156
719 Oct 20262187

Squad 31 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Top scorer
B. Saka4 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
D. Rice4 assists
Best rated
M. Ødegaard7.44 avg rating
Most minutes
David Raya810 min
Key to the model
D. RiceCore · weight 2.63
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
David Raya 31 9 (9) 810 0 0 7.15 starter
Kepa 32 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
I. Meslier 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Khari Ranson — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
Gabriel Magalhães 28 9 (9) 810 0 0 7.06 core
E. Konsa 28 8 (7) 641 0 0 6.93 starter
R. Calafiori 24 7 (7) 589 1 2 7.00 rotation
B. White 29 8 (7) 539 0 2 7.14 rotation
J. Timber 25 5 (2) 233 1 0 7.00 rotation
Cristhian Mosquera 22 2 (2) 169 0 0 6.90 rotation
P. Hincapié injured 24 4 (1) 131 0 0 6.65 rotation
Brayden Clarke 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Dixon 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
W. Saliba injured 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — starter
M. Salmon — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Midfielders
D. Rice 27 9 (9) 774 0 4 7.40 core
M. Ødegaard 27 9 (8) 677 3 0 7.44 starter
K. Havertz 27 9 (7) 609 2 1 6.83 rotation
M. Lewis-Skelly 20 6 (6) 427 0 0 6.95 rotation
Bruno Guimarães 28 7 (3) 331 2 0 7.05 starter
E. Eze 28 7 (3) 280 1 0 6.84 rotation
Mikel Merino 30 9 (2) 235 0 0 6.68 rotation
Martín Zubimendi 27 6 (0) 97 0 0 6.59 starter
M. Dowman 16 2 (0) 14 0 0 6.63 depth
Louie George Copley — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
I. Ibrahim — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Annous 18 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
B. Saka 25 9 (8) 697 4 1 7.24 starter
C. Tzolis injured 24 6 (5) 390 0 2 6.88 rotation
C. Madueke 24 6 (2) 239 1 1 7.23 rotation
V. Gyökeres 28 6 (2) 218 0 0 6.49 rotation

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Bayern München: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength1st of 20
94 Elo 2070 · World #1
Current Strength
94 With absences before 21 Oct: -11 Elo
Attack3rd of 20
86 Scores 2.39 per match against an average top-five side
Defence1st of 20
95 Concedes 0.77 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed

92
Form index · 3rd of 20 in league
Points, last 5
12
Median top-5 club
5.1
Own forecasts
10.4 +1.6
Table2nd L90 Strength1st Form3rd

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W18 OctA · Nottingham Forest1–01.9 xPts
  • W13 OctH · Lille3–02.5 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Leeds2–12.2 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Brighton0–31.8 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Sunderland2–02.0 xPts
  • W9 SepA · Napoli1–02.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · Chelsea2–12.2 xPts
  • W31 AugA · Aston Villa1–01.7 xPts
  • W21 AugH · Coventry3–02.5 xPts

Trends last 9, all competitions

Scored 8/9
Clean sheet 6/9
Conceded 2+ 1/9
Over 2.5 5/9
Both teams scored 2/9

Playing style vs Premier League average

ARSLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.57 1.43 5th
Goals conceded 0.71 1.45 1st
xG 1.67 1.49 5th
xG allowed 0.78 1.50 1st
Scored in 86% 72% 4th
Clean sheets 57% 28% 2nd
ARSLeagueRank
Shots 12.29 13.71 12th
Shots on target 4.14 4.56 13th
On target share 34% 32% 9th
Box share 73% 64% 3rd
Conversion 13% 10% 5th
ARSLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.14 13.77 5th
On target allowed 3.50 4.55 2nd
Blocks 3.00 4.33 16th
Save rate 71% 66% 5th
ARSLeagueRank
Possession 61% 50% 2nd
Passes 520 442 5th
Pass accuracy 87% 82% 3rd
ARSLeagueRank
Fouls 10.14 11.49 5th
Fouls suffered 15.86 11.49 1st
Yellow cards 1.29 1.96 2nd
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
ARSLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.60 1.54 8th
Goals conceded 0.60 1.34 1st
xG 1.56 1.53 7th
xG allowed 0.85 1.44 1st
Scored in 90% 76% 2nd
Clean sheets 60% 29% 1st
ARSLeagueRank
Shots 13.50 13.96 11th
Shots on target 4.60 4.69 11th
On target share 34% 33% 8th
Box share 71% 65% 2nd
Conversion 12% 11% 8th
ARSLeagueRank
Shots allowed 10.80 13.41 3rd
On target allowed 3.50 4.43 2nd
Blocks 3.10 4.19 19th
Save rate 75% 68% 3rd
ARSLeagueRank
Possession 57% 50% 5th
Passes 508 442 4th
Pass accuracy 87% 83% 2nd
ARSLeagueRank
Fouls 11.20 11.35 11th
Fouls suffered 14.30 11.46 1st
Yellow cards 1.60 1.96 5th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home3.00pts per game3-0-0 · 2.3–0.7 goals · 3 games
Away2.25pts per game3-0-1 · 1.0–0.8 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

1 1 0-15
2 16-30
2 31-45
3 2 46-60
2 61-75
2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 11 5th / 20
GF/G 1.57 5th / 20
xG/G 1.67 5th / 20
G − xG -0.10 10th / 20

Defence

GA 5 1st / 20
GA/G 0.71 1st / 20
xGA/G 0.78 1st / 20
xGA − GA +0.07 9th / 20

Overall

Pts 18 2nd / 20
xPts 14.3 1st / 20
PPG 2.57 2nd / 20
TR 7.06 4th / 20
GD +6 3rd / 20
xGD +6.2 1st / 20
W 6 2nd / 20
L 1 2nd / 20

Scorelines

  • 1–0×2
  • 2–1×2
  • 3–0×1
  • 2–0×1
  • 0–3×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
29% 1
14% 2
57% 3
0% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
71%76%
Over 2.5
57%54%
Over 3.5
0%36%
Both scored
29%53%
Clean sheet
57%27%
Failed to score
14%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.