Premier League Gameweek 18 Sat, Dec 27 2025 · 15:00 Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 3.08 – 0.85
Brighton
  • M. Ødegaard 14’
  • G. Rutter 52’ (OG)
  • 64’ D. Gómez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arsenal beat Brighton

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Ødegaard and an own goal. Brighton replied through a Gómez goal. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (3.08 vs 0.85).

Arsenal ✓71%
Draw17%
Brighton11%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
2
Model 2.49 · xG 3.08
Brighton goals
1
Model 0.91 · xG 0.85
Total goals
3
Model 3.40 · xG 3.93
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 66%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. ØdegaardArsenal · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeJohn Brooks
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 2nd · Brighton 9th

Timeline

  1. M. Ødegaard 1–0Assist B. Saka
    14’
  2. B. VerbruggenYellow card · Foul
    45+1’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ M. WiefferFor M. De Cuyper
    46’
  5. ⇄ Y. MintehFor B. Gruda
    46’
  6. L. DunkYellow card · Foul
    50’
  7. G. Rutter (own goal) 2–0Assist D. Rice
    52’
  8. D. CoppolaYellow card · Foul
    56’
  9. D. Gómez 2–1
    64’
  10. M. Lewis-SkellyYellow card · Time wasting
    69’
  11. ⇄ G. de JesusFor V. Gyökeres
    71’
  12. ⇄ Gabriel MagalhãesFor M. Lewis-Skelly
    71’
  13. ⇄ D. WelbeckFor J. Hinshelwood
    75’
  14. ⇄ Gabriel MartinelliFor L. Trossard
    82’
  15. ⇄ C. KostoulasFor D. Gómez
    87’
  16. ⇄ T. WatsonFor D. Coppola
    87’
  17. P. HincapiéYellow card · Time wasting
    90’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Arsenal24 shots · 21 in box, 3 outside
Brighton8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
ArsenalBrighton
53% Possession 47%
3.08 Expected goals (xG) 0.85
2.55 Expected points (xPts) 0.33
24 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
8 Shots off target 3
10 Blocked shots 2
21 Shots inside the box 7
3 Shots outside the box 1
450 Passes 407
84% Pass accuracy 83%
7 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.00 Team rating 6.64

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-3-3

17.3 David Raya(G)
496.3 M. Lewis-Skelly ↓71’ 56.3 P. Hincapié 26.9 W. Saliba 416.9 D. Rice A
236.7 Mikel Merino 367.0 Martín Zubimendi 88.3★ M. Ødegaard
197.5 L. Trossard ↓82’ 146.2 V. Gyökeres ↓71’ 77.6 B. Saka A
  • 1David Raya (G)7.3
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↓71’6.3
  • 5P. Hincapié6.3
  • 2W. Saliba6.9
  • 41D. RiceA6.9
  • 23Mikel Merino6.7
  • 36Martín Zubimendi7.0
  • 8M. Ødegaard ★8.3
  • 19L. Trossard↓82’7.5
  • 14V. Gyökeres↓71’6.2
  • 7B. SakaA7.6

Substitutes used

  • 9G. de Jesus↑71’6.3
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↑82’6.3
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães↑71’6.7

Unused: Kepa, C. Madueke, E. Nwaneri, M. Salmon, C. Nørgaard, E. Eze

Brighton 3-4-2-1

16.6 B. Verbruggen(G)
57.0 L. Dunk 67.6 J. van Hecke 425.9 D. Coppola ↓87’
296.5 M. De Cuyper ↓46’ 136.2 J. Hinshelwood ↓75’ 266.9 Y. Ayari 246.6 F. Kadıoğlu
257.7 D. Gómez ↓87’ 86.0 B. Gruda ↓46’
105.3 G. Rutter
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)6.6
  • 5L. Dunk7.0
  • 6J. van Hecke7.6
  • 42D. Coppola↓87’5.9
  • 29M. De Cuyper↓46’6.5
  • 13J. Hinshelwood↓75’6.2
  • 26Y. Ayari6.9
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu6.6
  • 25D. Gómez↓87’7.7
  • 8B. Gruda↓46’6.0
  • 10G. Rutter5.3

Substitutes used

  • 18D. Welbeck↑75’6.7
  • 27M. Wieffer↑46’6.6
  • 19C. Kostoulas↑87’6.5
  • 14T. Watson↑87’6.3
  • 11Y. Minteh↑46’7.2

Unused: J. Steele, J. Milner, J. Veltman, O. Boscagli

Player stats

Top rated
M. ØdegaardArsenal8.3
2nd
D. GómezBrighton7.7
3rd
B. SakaArsenal7.6

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 2 sv 1 62% 37 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
M. Lewis-Skelly M 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 42 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.3
P. Hincapié D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 62 4 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
W. Saliba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 59 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.9
D. Rice M 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 89% 47 1 3 0/2 1/1 6.9
Mikel Merino M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 81% 27 2 1 0/0 2/2 6.7
Martín Zubimendi M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 93% 41 1 2 1/1 0/0 7.0
M. Ødegaard M 90 1 0 1 (1) 5 85% 55 2 1 2/2 0/0 8.3
L. Trossard F 82 0 0 2 (0) 4 75% 24 0 0 2/3 1/3 7.5
V. Gyökeres F 71 0 0 2 (2) 0 57% 7 0 0 0/1 2/2 6.2
B. Saka F 90 0 1 4 (2) 4 83% 24 2 1 3/5 0/1 7.6
G. de Jesus F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Gabriel Martinelli F 8 0 0 1 (0) 1 57% 7 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
Gabriel Magalhães D 19 0 0 1 (0) 0 56% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Brighton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Verbruggen G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 71% 45 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
L. Dunk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 57 1 1 0/0 1/1 7.0
J. van Hecke D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 59 3 0 0/0 1/2 7.6
D. Coppola D 87 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 52 1 0 0/0 2/0 5.9
M. De Cuyper D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 12 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
J. Hinshelwood M 75 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 24 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.2
Y. Ayari M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 85% 33 1 0 2/4 2/1 6.9
F. Kadıoğlu M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 30 0 2 0/0 0/2 6.6
D. Gómez M 87 1 0 1 (1) 0 79% 24 2 0 1/1 1/0 7.7
B. Gruda M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 12 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.0
G. Rutter F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 100% 18 1 0 2/4 2/0 5.3
D. Welbeck F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
M. Wieffer M 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 77% 22 2 2 0/0 0/0 6.6
C. Kostoulas F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
T. Watson F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Y. Minteh F 44 0 0 1 (1) 0 46% 13 3 0 1/1 0/0 7.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.