Premier League Gameweek 37 Mon, May 18 2026 · 20:00 Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.29 – 0.19
Burnley
  • K. Havertz 37’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Havertz goal decides it for Arsenal

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Havertz goal. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (1.29 vs 0.19).

Arsenal ✓82%
Draw13%
Burnley6%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
1
Model 2.88 · xG 1.29
Burnley goals
0
Model 0.69 · xG 0.19
Total goals
1
Model 3.57 · xG 1.48
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 69%
Both scored
No
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. RiceArsenal
8.2
  • RefereePaul Tierney
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 1st · Burnley 19th

Timeline

  1. H. MejbriYellow card · Time wasting
    28’
  2. K. Havertz 1–0Assist B. Saka
    37’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. K. HavertzYellow card · Foul
    67’
  5. ⇄ M. AmdouniFor H. Mejbri
    70’
  6. ⇄ J. LaurentFor L. Ugochukwu
    71’
  7. ⇄ P. HincapiéFor R. Calafiori
    72’
  8. ⇄ V. GyökeresFor K. Havertz
    73’
  9. ⇄ M. Lewis-SkellyFor E. Eze
    73’
  10. ⇄ J. Ward-ProwseFor Florentino
    78’
  11. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor L. Tchaouna
    82’
  12. ⇄ B. HumphreysFor M. Estève
    82’
  13. Z. FlemmingYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  14. ⇄ Gabriel MartinelliFor L. Trossard
    90+3’
  15. ⇄ Martín ZubimendiFor M. Ødegaard
    90+3’
  16. Lucas PiresYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Arsenal13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
Burnley5 shots · 2 in box, 3 outside
ArsenalBurnley
60% Possession 40%
1.29 Expected goals (xG) 0.19
2.27 Expected points (xPts) 0.45
13 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 0
7 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 2
4 Shots outside the box 3
513 Passes 336
87% Pass accuracy 79%
3 Corners 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.25 Team rating 6.62

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-3-3

16.9 David Raya(G)
337.3 R. Calafiori ↓72’ 67.2 Gabriel Magalhães 27.3 W. Saliba 37.0 Cristhian Mosquera
107.2 E. Eze ↓73’ 418.2★ D. Rice 87.0 M. Ødegaard ↓90’
197.2 L. Trossard ↓90’ 297.6 K. Havertz ↓73’ 77.3 B. Saka A
  • 1David Raya (G)6.9
  • 33R. Calafiori↓72’7.3
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães7.2
  • 2W. Saliba7.3
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera7.0
  • 10E. Eze↓73’7.2
  • 41D. Rice ★8.2
  • 8M. Ødegaard↓90’7.0
  • 19L. Trossard↓90’7.2
  • 29K. Havertz↓73’7.6
  • 7B. SakaA7.3

Substitutes used

  • 14V. Gyökeres↑73’6.7
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↑90’
  • 5P. Hincapié↑72’6.7
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↑90’
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↑73’6.6

Unused: Kepa, G. de Jesus, C. Madueke, M. Dowman

Burnley 4-2-3-1

137.3 Max Weiss(G)
236.6 Lucas Pires 57.2 M. Estève ↓82’ 66.3 A. Tuanzebe 26.7 K. Walker
87.2 L. Ugochukwu ↓71’ 166.9 Florentino ↓78’
116.2 J. Anthony 285.9 H. Mejbri ↓70’ 176.3 L. Tchaouna ↓82’
196.3 Z. Flemming
  • 13Max Weiss (G)7.3
  • 23Lucas Pires6.6
  • 5M. Estève↓82’7.2
  • 6A. Tuanzebe6.3
  • 2K. Walker6.7
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓71’7.2
  • 16Florentino↓78’6.9
  • 11J. Anthony6.2
  • 28H. Mejbri↓70’5.9
  • 17L. Tchaouna↓82’6.3
  • 19Z. Flemming6.3

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Ward-Prowse↑78’6.7
  • 29J. Laurent↑71’6.6
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑82’6.3
  • 12B. Humphreys↑82’6.6
  • 25M. Amdouni↑70’6.7

Unused: M. Dúbravka, J. Worrall, Q. Hartman, M. Edwards

Player stats

Top rated
D. RiceArsenal8.2
2nd
K. HavertzArsenal7.6
3rd
R. CalafioriArsenal7.3

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 75% 16 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
R. Calafiori D 72 0 0 0 (0) 3 93% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 52 1 0 0/0 2/2 7.2
W. Saliba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 63 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Cristhian Mosquera D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 55 4 0 1/2 1/2 7.0
E. Eze M 73 0 0 3 (2) 1 92% 36 0 0 0/0 0/4 7.2
D. Rice M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 83 5 1 0/0 0/1 8.2
M. Ødegaard M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 74 0 0 0/3 0/2 7.0
L. Trossard F 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 90% 31 0 0 2/3 0/0 7.2
K. Havertz M 73 1 0 2 (1) 3 83% 30 0 0 0/1 1/0 7.6
B. Saka F 90 0 1 2 (0) 1 75% 32 5 1 0/2 2/3 7.3
V. Gyökeres F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Gabriel Martinelli F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
P. Hincapié D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Martín Zubimendi M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
M. Lewis-Skelly M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.6

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Max Weiss G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 54% 52 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Lucas Pires D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 26 3 4 1/2 2/1 6.6
M. Estève D 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 28 4 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
A. Tuanzebe D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 41 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 36 2 1 0/1 0/0 6.7
L. Ugochukwu M 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 25 2 0 0/0 0/2 7.2
Florentino M 78 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 17 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
J. Anthony F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 31 1 0 2/6 4/1 6.2
H. Mejbri M 70 0 0 2 (0) 1 86% 14 1 0 1/3 2/1 5.9
L. Tchaouna F 82 0 0 0 (0) 2 62% 13 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
Z. Flemming M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 57% 14 2 0 0/0 3/1 6.3
J. Ward-Prowse M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Laurent M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 3 0 0/1 2/0 6.6
J. Bruun Larsen F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
B. Humphreys D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 14 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
M. Amdouni F 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.