Premier League Gameweek 9 Sun, Oct 26 2025 · 14:00 Emirates Stadium, London
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.92 – 0.45
  • E. Eze 39’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Eze goal decides it for Arsenal

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Eze goal. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (0.92 vs 0.45). On the chances created, Crystal Palace deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Arsenal ✓66%
Draw20%
Crystal Palace14%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
1
Model 2.26 · xG 0.92
Crystal Palace goals
0
Model 0.95 · xG 0.45
Total goals
1
Model 3.21 · xG 1.37
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 62%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. EzeArsenal · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeThomas Bramall
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 1st · Crystal Palace 9th

Timeline

  1. E. Eze 1–0
    39’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ Cristhian MosqueraFor W. Saliba
    46’
  4. ⇄ E. NketiahFor Yeremy Pino
    59’
  5. ⇄ Gabriel MartinelliFor B. Saka
    66’
  6. ⇄ W. HughesFor Daichi Kamada
    74’
  7. ⇄ P. HincapiéFor R. Calafiori
    82’
  8. ⇄ Mikel MerinoFor D. Rice
    82’
  9. ⇄ M. Lewis-SkellyFor E. Eze
    88’
  10. ⇄ B. SosaFor T. Mitchell
    90+1’
  11. ⇄ C. UcheFor D. Muñoz
    90+1’
  12. ⇄ J. LermaFor A. Wharton
    90+1’
  13. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Arsenal10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
Crystal Palace7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
ArsenalCrystal Palace
60% Possession 40%
0.92 Expected goals (xG) 0.45
1.74 Expected points (xPts) 0.89
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
4 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
7 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 2
540 Passes 360
83% Pass accuracy 74%
4 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.19 Team rating 6.78

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-3-3

17.7 David Raya(G)
336.9 R. Calafiori ↓82’ 67.6 Gabriel Magalhães 27.2 W. Saliba ↓46’ 127.3 J. Timber
418.2 D. Rice ↓82’ 366.9 Martín Zubimendi 108.3★ E. Eze ↓88’
197.0 L. Trossard 145.6 V. Gyökeres 76.9 B. Saka ↓66’
  • 1David Raya (G)7.7
  • 33R. Calafiori↓82’6.9
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães7.6
  • 2W. Saliba↓46’7.2
  • 12J. Timber7.3
  • 41D. Rice↓82’8.2
  • 36Martín Zubimendi6.9
  • 10E. Eze ★↓88’8.3
  • 19L. Trossard7.0
  • 14V. Gyökeres5.6
  • 7B. Saka↓66’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↑66’6.2
  • 5P. Hincapié↑82’6.9
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↑88’6.6
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera↑46’6.9
  • 23Mikel Merino↑82’6.7

Unused: Kepa, B. White, E. Nwaneri, C. Nørgaard

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

17.0 D. Henderson(G)
67.3 A. Guéhi 57.7 M. Lacroix 266.9 Chris Richards
36.7 T. Mitchell ↓90’ 186.5 Daichi Kamada ↓74’ 206.9 A. Wharton ↓90’ 25.9 D. Muñoz ↓90’
106.2 Yeremy Pino ↓59’ 76.7 I. Sarr
146.6 J. Mateta
  • 1D. Henderson (G)7.0
  • 6A. Guéhi7.3
  • 5M. Lacroix7.7
  • 26Chris Richards6.9
  • 3T. Mitchell↓90’6.7
  • 18Daichi Kamada↓74’6.5
  • 20A. Wharton↓90’6.9
  • 2D. Muñoz↓90’5.9
  • 10Yeremy Pino↓59’6.2
  • 7I. Sarr6.7
  • 14J. Mateta6.6

Substitutes used

  • 19W. Hughes↑74’6.7
  • 24B. Sosa↑90’
  • 12C. Uche↑90’
  • 8J. Lerma↑90’
  • 9E. Nketiah↑59’6.6

Unused: W. Benítez, N. Clyne, J. Canvot, J. Devenny

Player stats

Top rated
E. EzeArsenal8.3
2nd
D. RiceArsenal8.2
3rd
David RayaArsenal7.7

Arsenal

Crystal Palace

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.