Premier League Gameweek 5 Sun, Sep 21 2025 · 16:30 Emirates Stadium, London
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.89 – 0.87
  • Gabriel Martinelli 90’
  • 9’ E. Haaland
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arsenal snatch a late draw

Arsenal entered as favourites, yet Manchester City led 1–0 at half-time through a Haaland goal. But Martinelli scored to rescue a draw for Arsenal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.89 and 0.87.

Arsenal53%
Draw ✓24%
Manchester City23%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
1
Model 1.88 · xG 0.89
Manchester City goals
1
Model 1.19 · xG 0.87
Total goals
2
Model 3.07 · xG 1.76
Score 1–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. HaalandManchester City · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeStuart Attwell
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 4th · Manchester City 12th

Timeline

  1. E. Haaland 0–1Assist T. Reijnders
    9’
  2. Bernardo SilvaYellow card · Foul
    36’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. J. TimberYellow card · Foul
    46’
  5. ⇄ B. SakaFor C. Madueke
    46’
  6. ⇄ E. EzeFor Mikel Merino
    46’
  7. ⇄ M. NunesFor A. Khusanov
    46’
  8. ⇄ N. AkéFor P. Foden
    68’
  9. ⇄ Nico GonzálezFor E. Haaland
    76’
  10. G. DonnarummaYellow card · Time wasting
    77’
  11. ⇄ Gabriel MartinelliFor J. Timber
    80’
  12. ⇄ E. NwaneriFor L. Trossard
    84’
  13. ⇄ J. StonesFor N. O'Reilly
    87’
  14. ⇄ SavinhoFor J. Doku
    87’
  15. Gabriel Martinelli 1–1Assist E. Eze
    90’
  16. ⇄ Cristhian MosqueraFor Martín Zubimendi
    90+8’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Arsenal12 shots · 11 in box, 1 outside
Manchester City5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
ArsenalManchester City
67% Possession 33%
0.89 Expected goals (xG) 0.87
1.35 Expected points (xPts) 1.32
12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
11 Shots inside the box 4
1 Shots outside the box 1
582 Passes 300
89% Pass accuracy 76%
11 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.76 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-3-3

16.9 David Raya(G)
336.7 R. Calafiori 66.7 Gabriel Magalhães 27.2 W. Saliba 126.6 J. Timber ↓80’
417.3 D. Rice 366.3 Martín Zubimendi ↓90’ 236.7 Mikel Merino ↓46’
196.9 L. Trossard ↓84’ 145.9 V. Gyökeres 206.0 C. Madueke ↓46’
  • 1David Raya (G)6.9
  • 33R. Calafiori6.7
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães6.7
  • 2W. Saliba7.2
  • 12J. Timber↓80’6.6
  • 41D. Rice7.3
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↓90’6.3
  • 23Mikel Merino↓46’6.7
  • 19L. Trossard↓84’6.9
  • 14V. Gyökeres5.9
  • 20C. Madueke↓46’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↑80’7.7
  • 7B. Saka↑46’7.5
  • 22E. Nwaneri↑84’6.7
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera↑90’
  • 10E. EzeA↑46’7.2

Unused: Kepa, B. White, M. Lewis-Skelly, C. Nørgaard

Manchester City 4-1-4-1

256.2 G. Donnarumma(G)
337.2 N. O'Reilly ↓87’ 247.2 J. Gvardiol 36.2 Rúben Dias 456.9 A. Khusanov ↓46’
167.5 Rodri
117.2 J. Doku ↓87’ 46.9 T. Reijnders A 206.6 Bernardo Silva 476.6 P. Foden ↓68’
97.7★ E. Haaland ↓76’
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)6.2
  • 33N. O'Reilly↓87’7.2
  • 24J. Gvardiol7.2
  • 3Rúben Dias6.2
  • 45A. Khusanov↓46’6.9
  • 16Rodri7.5
  • 11J. Doku↓87’7.2
  • 4T. ReijndersA6.9
  • 20Bernardo Silva6.6
  • 47P. Foden↓68’6.6
  • 9E. Haaland ★↓76’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 27M. Nunes↑46’6.7
  • 5J. Stones↑87’6.3
  • 6N. Aké↑68’6.5
  • 14Nico González↑76’6.2
  • 26Savinho↑87’6.5

Unused: J. Trafford, O. Bobb, R. Lewis, Divine Mukasa

Player stats

Top rated
E. HaalandManchester City7.7
2nd
B. SakaArsenal7.5
3rd
RodriManchester City7.5

Arsenal

Manchester City

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.