Premier League Gameweek 34 Sat, Apr 25 2026 · 17:30 Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.49 – 1.00
Newcastle
  • E. Eze 9’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Eze goal decides it for Arsenal

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Eze goal. Arsenal won despite the lower xG; Newcastle created the better chances (1.00 vs 0.49). On the chances created, Newcastle deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Arsenal ✓73%
Draw16%
Newcastle11%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
1
Model 2.64 · xG 0.49
Newcastle goals
0
Model 0.94 · xG 1.00
Total goals
1
Model 3.57 · xG 1.49
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 69%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. HincapiéArsenal
7.9
  • RefereeSamuel Barrott
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 2nd · Newcastle 14th

Timeline

  1. E. Eze 1–0Assist K. Havertz
    9’
  2. ⇄ V. GyökeresFor K. Havertz
    34’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ Gabriel MartinelliFor E. Eze
    53’
  5. D. BurnYellow card · Foul
    57’
  6. ⇄ Y. WissaFor W. Osula
    66’
  7. ⇄ H. BarnesFor J. Murphy
    66’
  8. Gabriel MartinelliYellow card · Foul
    71’
  9. N. PopeYellow card · Foul
    74’
  10. ⇄ N. WoltemadeFor Bruno Guimarães
    75’
  11. ⇄ B. SakaFor C. Madueke
    81’
  12. ⇄ M. Lewis-SkellyFor Martín Zubimendi
    81’
  13. D. RiceYellow card · Argument
    86’
  14. ⇄ A. ElangaFor J. Willock
    86’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Arsenal11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
Newcastle13 shots · 6 in box, 7 outside
ArsenalNewcastle
45% Possession 55%
0.49 Expected goals (xG) 1.00
0.88 Expected points (xPts) 1.77
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
2 Shots off target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
6 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 7
400 Passes 486
81% Pass accuracy 85%
7 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.01 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-3-3

16.9 David Raya(G)
57.9★ P. Hincapié 66.9 Gabriel Magalhães 27.0 W. Saliba 47.2 B. White
416.7 D. Rice 367.2 Martín Zubimendi ↓81’ 87.7 M. Ødegaard
107.3 E. Eze ↓53’ 296.3 K. Havertz A↓34’ 206.3 C. Madueke ↓81’
  • 1David Raya (G)6.9
  • 5P. Hincapié ★7.9
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães6.9
  • 2W. Saliba7.0
  • 4B. White7.2
  • 41D. Rice6.7
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↓81’7.2
  • 8M. Ødegaard7.7
  • 10E. Eze↓53’7.3
  • 29K. HavertzA↓34’6.3
  • 20C. Madueke↓81’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14V. Gyökeres↑34’6.3
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↑53’6.6
  • 7B. Saka↑81’6.5
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↑81’6.9

Unused: Kepa, G. de Jesus, Cristhian Mosquera, M. Dowman, L. Trossard

Newcastle 4-1-4-1

17.2 N. Pope(G)
336.9 D. Burn 47.5 S. Botman 127.0 M. Thiaw 676.7 L. Miley
87.0 S. Tonali
416.7 J. Ramsey 397.2 Bruno Guimarães ↓75’ 286.6 J. Willock ↓86’ 236.2 J. Murphy ↓66’
186.5 W. Osula ↓66’
  • 1N. Pope (G)7.2
  • 33D. Burn6.9
  • 4S. Botman7.5
  • 12M. Thiaw7.0
  • 67L. Miley6.7
  • 8S. Tonali7.0
  • 41J. Ramsey6.7
  • 39Bruno Guimarães↓75’7.2
  • 28J. Willock↓86’6.6
  • 23J. Murphy↓66’6.2
  • 18W. Osula↓66’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 9Y. Wissa↑66’5.9
  • 27N. Woltemade↑75’6.6
  • 11H. Barnes↑66’6.9
  • 20A. Elanga↑86’6.3

Unused: A. Ramsdale, K. Trippier, L. Hall, A. Murphy, Sean Neave

Player stats

Top rated
P. HincapiéArsenal7.9
2nd
M. ØdegaardArsenal7.7
3rd
S. BotmanNewcastle7.5

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 45% 31 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
P. Hincapié D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 16 5 4 1/2 2/2 7.9
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 44 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.9
W. Saliba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 50 1 1 1/1 2/0 7.0
B. White D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 31 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
D. Rice M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 53 0 1 1/2 2/0 6.7
Martín Zubimendi M 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 48 5 2 1/2 1/0 7.2
M. Ødegaard M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 86% 57 2 0 0/2 0/0 7.7
E. Eze M 53 1 0 3 (1) 0 45% 11 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.3
K. Havertz M 34 0 1 0 (0) 1 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
C. Madueke F 81 0 0 1 (1) 1 88% 26 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.3
V. Gyökeres F 56 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 6 0 0 0/0 2/2 6.3
Gabriel Martinelli F 37 0 0 1 (1) 1 100% 13 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.6
B. Saka F 9 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 5 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
M. Lewis-Skelly M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Pope G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 53% 32 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
D. Burn D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 78% 37 2 1 0/0 2/3 6.9
S. Botman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 66 2 5 0/0 0/1 7.5
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 77 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
L. Miley M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 52 1 2 0/1 1/0 6.7
S. Tonali M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 63 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.0
J. Ramsey M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 89% 35 3 1 2/2 0/0 6.7
Bruno Guimarães M 75 0 0 1 (0) 2 93% 54 2 1 0/1 1/3 7.2
J. Willock M 86 0 0 2 (1) 1 88% 25 0 1 1/1 0/1 6.6
J. Murphy M 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 18 1 0 0/1 1/1 6.2
W. Osula F 66 0 0 0 (0) 2 50% 4 0 0 0/0 2/2 6.5
Y. Wissa M 24 0 0 1 (0) 0 0% 4 0 0 0/3 1/0 5.9
N. Woltemade F 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.6
H. Barnes M 24 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Elanga F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.