UEFA Europa League Round of 16 Thu, Mar 19 2026 · 20:00 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
AS Roma
First leg1–1 3–4 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 2.04 – 1.69
Bologna
  • O. Ndicka 32’
  • D. Malen 69’ (P)
  • L. Pellegrini 80’
  • 22’ J. Rowe
  • 45+2’ (P) F. Bernardeschi
  • 58’ S. Castro
  • 111’ N. Cambiaghi
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Cambiaghi’s late goal settles it for Bologna

AS Roma entered as favourites, but Bologna won 4–3 through goals from Rowe, Bernardeschi, Castro and Cambiaghi. AS Roma replied through goals from Ndicka, Malen and Pellegrini. Bologna won despite the lower xG; AS Roma created the better chances (2.04 vs 1.69). On the chances created, AS Roma deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AS Roma51%
Draw27%
Bologna ✓22%

Model vs reality

AS Roma goals
3
Model 1.55 · xG 2.04
Bologna goals
4
Model 0.94 · xG 1.69
Total goals
7
Model 2.50 · xG 3.73
Score 3–4
<1%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 46%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. PellegriniAS Roma · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeIstvan Kovacs
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offAS Roma 11th · Bologna 12th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ L. PellegriniFor K. Koné
    20’
  2. J. Rowe 0–1Assist S. Castro
    22’
  3. M. VitíkYellow card
    26’
  4. O. Ndicka 1–1Assist L. Pellegrini
    32’
  5. F. Bernardeschi (pen) 1–2
    45+2’
  6. Half time · 1–2
  7. M. ÇelikYellow card
    55’
  8. ⇄ Robinio VazFor S. El Shaarawy
    57’
  9. S. Castro 1–3Assist J. Rowe
    58’
  10. D. Malen (pen) 2–3
    69’
  11. N. ZorteaYellow card · Roughing
    71’
  12. ⇄ N. CasaleFor M. Vitík
    73’
  13. ⇄ T. DallingaFor S. Castro
    73’
  14. ⇄ N. CambiaghiFor J. Rowe
    73’
  15. J. LucumíYellow card · Roughing
    76’
  16. ⇄ R. OrsoliniFor F. Bernardeschi
    79’
  17. L. Pellegrini 3–3Assist Robinio Vaz
    80’
  18. G. GasperiniYellow card
    87’
  19. ⇄ N. MoroFor T. Pobega
    91’
  20. ⇄ N. El AynaouiFor N. Pisilli
    104’
  21. R. FreulerYellow card · Tripping
    108’
  22. ⇄ Bryan ZaragozaFor M. Çelik
    109’
  23. N. Cambiaghi 3–4Assist T. Dallinga
    111’
  24. ⇄ T. HeggemFor R. Freuler
    114’
  25. L. FergusonYellow card
    116’
  26. G. ManciniYellow card · misses next match
    120+3’
  27. Full time · 3–4

Team stats

AS Roma24 shots · 18 in box, 6 outside
Bologna14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
AS RomaBologna
61% Possession 39%
2.04 Expected goals (xG) 1.69
1.60 Expected points (xPts) 1.19
24 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 9
10 Shots off target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
18 Shots inside the box 10
6 Shots outside the box 4
695 Passes 463
82% Pass accuracy 75%
8 Corners 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
20 Fouls 27
3 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.73 Team rating 6.70

Line-ups

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

996.3 M. Svilar(G)
226.2 Hermoso 56.3 O. Ndicka 235.9 G. Mancini
437.2 Wesley 176.6 K. Koné ↓20’ 46.7 B. Cristante 197.0 M. Çelik ↓109’
926.7 S. El Shaarawy ↓57’ 617.2 N. Pisilli ↓104’
147.2 D. Malen
  • 99M. Svilar (G)6.3
  • 22Hermoso6.2
  • 5O. Ndicka6.3
  • 23G. Mancini5.9
  • 43Wesley7.2
  • 17K. Koné↓20’6.6
  • 4B. Cristante6.7
  • 19M. Çelik↓109’7.0
  • 92S. El Shaarawy↓57’6.7
  • 61N. Pisilli↓104’7.2
  • 14D. Malen7.2

Substitutes used

  • 7L. Pellegrini ★A↑20’8.0
  • 78Robinio VazA↑57’6.3
  • 8N. El Aynaoui↑104’6.2
  • 97Bryan Zaragoza↑109’6.3

Unused: P. Gollini, Giorgio De Marzi, D. Rensch, K. Tsimikas, D. Ghilardi, J. Ziółkowski

Bologna 4-3-3

136.2 F. Ravaglia(G)
176.2 João Mário 267.2 J. Lucumí 416.2 M. Vitík ↓73’ 206.3 N. Zortea
47.2 T. Pobega ↓91’ 85.9 R. Freuler ↓114’ 196.6 L. Ferguson
117.9 J. Rowe A↓73’ 97.2 S. Castro A↓73’ 107.5 F. Bernardeschi ↓79’
  • 13F. Ravaglia (G)6.2
  • 17João Mário6.2
  • 26J. Lucumí7.2
  • 41M. Vitík↓73’6.2
  • 20N. Zortea6.3
  • 4T. Pobega↓91’7.2
  • 8R. Freuler↓114’5.9
  • 19L. Ferguson6.6
  • 11J. RoweA↓73’7.9
  • 9S. CastroA↓73’7.2
  • 10F. Bernardeschi↓79’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 16N. Casale↑73’6.2
  • 28N. Cambiaghi↑73’7.9
  • 24T. DallingaA↑73’6.3
  • 7R. Orsolini↑79’6.7
  • 6N. Moro↑91’6.9
  • 14T. Heggem↑114’

Unused: Matteo Franceschelli, M. Pessina, C. Lykogiannis, S. Sohm, B. Domínguez, J. Odgaard

Player stats

Top rated
L. PellegriniAS Roma8.0
2nd
J. RoweBologna7.9
3rd
N. CambiaghiBologna7.9

AS Roma

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Svilar G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 71% 42 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Hermoso D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 86 3 3 1/1 2/3 6.2
O. Ndicka D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 86% 96 3 3 0/0 2/1 6.3
G. Mancini D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 80% 71 2 1 3/5 4/3 5.9
Wesley M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 95% 55 4 3 1/3 1/3 7.2
K. Koné M 20 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 20 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
B. Cristante M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 80 3 0 0/0 3/0 6.7
M. Çelik D 109 0 0 1 (1) 2 79% 47 3 0 2/3 2/0 7.0
S. El Shaarawy F 57 0 0 0 (0) 2 89% 27 0 1 0/0 3/2 6.7
N. Pisilli M 104 0 0 1 (0) 1 78% 81 3 1 1/4 0/2 7.2
D. Malen F 90 1 0 4 (2) 1 88% 16 0 0 3/8 0/5 7.2
L. Pellegrini M 100 1 1 6 (3) 3 85% 48 2 1 0/2 2/4 8.0
Robinio Vaz F 63 0 1 1 (0) 0 60% 10 0 0 0/2 1/2 6.3
N. El Aynaoui M 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Bryan Zaragoza F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Bologna

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
F. Ravaglia G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 56% 52 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
João Mário D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 73% 45 1 3 3/5 1/1 6.2
J. Lucumí D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 55 4 1 1/2 2/2 7.2
M. Vitík D 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 17 2 1 0/0 2/0 6.2
N. Zortea M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 27 2 1 0/1 5/1 6.3
T. Pobega M 91 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 31 6 3 0/0 1/1 7.2
R. Freuler M 114 0 0 2 (1) 0 77% 57 2 1 0/1 4/0 5.9
L. Ferguson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 52 3 2 0/0 4/6 6.6
J. Rowe F 73 1 1 1 (1) 4 83% 6 2 2 1/3 2/1 7.9
S. Castro F 73 1 1 2 (2) 1 81% 16 0 0 1/1 2/0 7.2
F. Bernardeschi F 79 1 0 2 (2) 0 71% 17 1 1 0/0 1/1 7.5
N. Casale D 47 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
N. Cambiaghi F 47 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 7 1 3 0/0 1/3 7.9
T. Dallinga F 47 0 1 1 (0) 1 75% 16 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.3
R. Orsolini F 41 0 0 1 (1) 0 71% 14 1 0 1/4 0/1 6.7
N. Moro M 29 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 20 0 1 1/1 1/0 6.9
T. Heggem D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.