UEFA Europa League Round of 16 Thu, Mar 12 2026 · 17:45 Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.36 – 1.36
  • F. Bernardeschi 50’
  • 71’ L. Pellegrini
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bologna and AS Roma share the points

AS Roma entered as narrow favourites, yet Bologna led 1–0 after 50 minutes through a Bernardeschi goal. But Pellegrini scored to rescue a draw for AS Roma. The chances were even, with xG of 1.36 and 1.36.

Bologna30%
Draw ✓28%
AS Roma42%

Model vs reality

Bologna goals
1
Model 1.11 · xG 1.36
AS Roma goals
1
Model 1.35 · xG 1.36
Total goals
2
Model 2.47 · xG 2.72
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchF. BernardeschiBologna · 1 goal
8.6
  • RefereeSven Jablonski
  • VenueStadio Renato Dall’Ara

Timeline

  1. Juan MirandaYellow card
    13’
  2. WesleyYellow card · Holding
    15’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ Robinio VazFor Bryan Zaragoza
    46’
  5. João MárioYellow card · Tripping
    47’
  6. F. Bernardeschi 1–0Assist J. Rowe
    50’
  7. N. CasaleYellow card · Tripping
    58’
  8. ⇄ K. TsimikasFor D. Rensch
    58’
  9. ⇄ HermosoFor M. Çelik
    66’
  10. ⇄ L. PellegriniFor N. El Aynaoui
    66’
  11. B. CristanteYellow card · Tripping
    67’
  12. ⇄ N. CambiaghiFor J. Rowe
    71’
  13. L. Pellegrini 1–1Assist D. Malen
    71’
  14. ⇄ T. DallingaFor S. Castro
    79’
  15. ⇄ C. LykogiannisFor Juan Miranda
    79’
  16. ⇄ N. ZorteaFor João Mário
    84’
  17. ⇄ M. VitíkFor N. Casale
    84’
  18. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Bologna11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
AS Roma8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
BolognaAS Roma
52% Possession 48%
1.36 Expected goals (xG) 1.36
1.37 Expected points (xPts) 1.37
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 7
4 Shots outside the box 1
392 Passes 369
77% Pass accuracy 79%
7 Corners 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.89 Team rating 6.66

Line-ups

Bologna 4-3-3

16.3 Ł. Skorupski(G)
336.9 Juan Miranda ↓79’ 266.9 J. Lucumí 166.3 N. Casale ↓84’ 176.2 João Mário ↓84’
47.0 T. Pobega 86.6 R. Freuler 196.9 L. Ferguson
117.3 J. Rowe A↓71’ 97.0 S. Castro ↓79’ 108.6★ F. Bernardeschi
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)6.3
  • 33Juan Miranda↓79’6.9
  • 26J. Lucumí6.9
  • 16N. Casale↓84’6.3
  • 17João Mário↓84’6.2
  • 4T. Pobega7.0
  • 8R. Freuler6.6
  • 19L. Ferguson6.9
  • 11J. RoweA↓71’7.3
  • 9S. Castro↓79’7.0
  • 10F. Bernardeschi ★8.6

Substitutes used

  • 28N. Cambiaghi↑71’6.6
  • 22C. Lykogiannis↑79’6.3
  • 24T. Dallinga↑79’6.3
  • 41M. Vitík↑84’
  • 20N. Zortea↑84’

Unused: F. Ravaglia, T. Heggem, N. Moro, R. Orsolini, J. Odgaard, B. Domínguez, S. Sohm

AS Roma 3-4-1-2

997.5 M. Svilar(G)
877.3 D. Ghilardi 56.3 O. Ndicka 196.3 M. Çelik ↓66’
436.0 Wesley 616.6 N. Pisilli 86.5 N. El Aynaoui ↓66’ 26.6 D. Rensch ↓58’
46.9 B. Cristante
146.3 D. Malen A 976.5 Bryan Zaragoza ↓46’
  • 99M. Svilar (G)7.5
  • 87D. Ghilardi7.3
  • 5O. Ndicka6.3
  • 19M. Çelik↓66’6.3
  • 43Wesley6.0
  • 61N. Pisilli6.6
  • 8N. El Aynaoui↓66’6.5
  • 2D. Rensch↓58’6.6
  • 4B. Cristante6.9
  • 14D. MalenA6.3
  • 97Bryan Zaragoza↓46’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 78Robinio Vaz↑46’6.7
  • 12K. Tsimikas↑58’6.5
  • 22Hermoso↑66’6.5
  • 7L. Pellegrini↑66’7.6

Unused: Giorgio De Marzi, P. Gollini, J. Ziółkowski, S. El Shaarawy

Player stats

Top rated
F. BernardeschiBologna8.6
2nd
L. PellegriniAS Roma7.6
3rd
M. SvilarAS Roma7.5

Bologna

AS Roma

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.