Serie A Gameweek 9 Wed, Oct 29 2025 · 17:30 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.04 – 1.21
  • Hermoso 63’
  • A. Dovbyk 81’
  • 86’ A. Circati
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AS Roma beat Parma

AS Roma entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Hermoso and Dovbyk. Parma replied through a Circati goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.04 and 1.21. On the chances created, Parma deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AS Roma ✓68%
Draw20%
Parma12%

Model vs reality

AS Roma goals
2
Model 2.06 · xG 1.04
Parma goals
1
Model 0.74 · xG 1.21
Total goals
3
Model 2.80 · xG 2.25
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. CircatiParma · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeValerio Crezzini
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offAS Roma 3rd · Parma 15th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ L. BaileyFor E. Ferguson
    7’
  2. Mateo PellegrinoYellow card · Elbowing
    38’
  3. VAR M. SouléGoal Disallowed - offside
    40’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ N. El AynaouiFor L. Bailey
    46’
  6. ⇄ A. BenedyczakFor P. Cutrone
    60’
  7. Hermoso 1–0Assist P. Dybala
    63’
  8. ⇄ A. DovbykFor M. Soulé
    73’
  9. ⇄ M. ĐurićFor Mateo Pellegrino
    77’
  10. ⇄ B. CremaschiFor Adrián Bernabé
    77’
  11. ⇄ P. AlmqvistFor N. Estévez
    78’
  12. A. Dovbyk 2–0
    81’
  13. ⇄ D. GhilardiFor G. Mancini
    85’
  14. ⇄ D. RenschFor Wesley
    85’
  15. A. Circati 2–1Assist A. Benedyczak
    86’
  16. ⇄ T. BegićFor Sascha Britschgi
    90+1’
  17. C. OrdoñezYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

AS Roma17 shots · 11 in box, 6 outside
Parma8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
AS RomaParma
61% Possession 39%
1.04 Expected goals (xG) 1.21
1.23 Expected points (xPts) 1.48
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
11 Shots inside the box 5
6 Shots outside the box 3
516 Passes 343
85% Pass accuracy 76%
9 Corners 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.97 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

997.2 M. Svilar(G)
227.7 Hermoso 57.2 O. Ndicka 237.2 G. Mancini ↓85’
436.5 Wesley ↓85’ 176.9 K. Koné 47.2 B. Cristante 196.6 M. Çelik
217.2 P. Dybala A 186.6 M. Soulé ↓73’
11 E. Ferguson ↓7’
  • 99M. Svilar (G)7.2
  • 22Hermoso7.7
  • 5O. Ndicka7.2
  • 23G. Mancini↓85’7.2
  • 43Wesley↓85’6.5
  • 17K. Koné6.9
  • 4B. Cristante7.2
  • 19M. Çelik6.6
  • 21P. DybalaA7.2
  • 18M. Soulé↓73’6.6
  • 11E. Ferguson↓7’

Substitutes used

  • 31L. Bailey5.9
  • 8N. El Aynaoui↑46’6.3
  • 87D. Ghilardi↑85’
  • 2D. Rensch↑85’
  • 9A. Dovbyk↑73’7.3

Unused: D. Vásquez, P. Gollini, K. Tsimikas, J. Ziółkowski, Buba Sangaré, T. Baldanzi, N. Pisilli, L. Pellegrini, S. El Shaarawy

Parma 4-4-2

317.3 Z. Suzuki(G)
276.3 Sascha Britschgi ↓90’ 56.2 L. Valenti 398.0★ A. Circati 156.6 E. Delprato
246.9 C. Ordoñez 226.3 O. Sørensen 86.9 N. Estévez ↓78’ 106.5 Adrián Bernabé ↓77’
326.2 P. Cutrone ↓60’ 96.7 Mateo Pellegrino ↓77’
  • 31Z. Suzuki (G)7.3
  • 27Sascha Britschgi↓90’6.3
  • 5L. Valenti6.2
  • 39A. Circati ★8.0
  • 15E. Delprato6.6
  • 24C. Ordoñez6.9
  • 22O. Sørensen6.3
  • 8N. Estévez↓78’6.9
  • 10Adrián Bernabé↓77’6.5
  • 32P. Cutrone↓60’6.2
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino↓77’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 7A. BenedyczakA↑60’6.3
  • 25B. Cremaschi↑77’6.3
  • 30M. Đurić↑77’6.3
  • 11P. Almqvist↑78’6.9
  • 19T. Begić↑90’

Unused: F. Rinaldi, E. Corvi, A. Ndiaye, Mariano Troilo, Nicolas Trabucchi, Hernani, Alessandro Ciardi, Elia Plicco, M. Løvik, Alessandro Cardinali

Player stats

Top rated
A. CircatiParma8.0
2nd
HermosoAS Roma7.7
3rd
Z. SuzukiParma7.3

AS Roma

Parma

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.