Premier League Gameweek 15 Sat, Dec 6 2025 · 12:30 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.16 – 1.92
Arsenal
  • M. Cash 36’
  • E. Buendía 90’
  • 52’ L. Trossard
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Buendía’s late goal settles it for Aston Villa

Arsenal entered as favourites, but Aston Villa won 2–1 through goals from Cash and Buendía. Arsenal replied through a Trossard goal. The chances were even, with xG of 2.16 and 1.92. On the chances created, Arsenal deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa ✓27%
Draw24%
Arsenal49%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
2
Model 1.28 · xG 2.16
Arsenal goals
1
Model 1.79 · xG 1.92
Total goals
3
Model 3.08 · xG 4.08
Score 2–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. CashAston Villa · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 3rd · Arsenal 1st

Timeline

  1. M. Cash 1–0
    36’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ V. GyökeresFor Mikel Merino
    46’
  4. ⇄ L. TrossardFor E. Eze
    46’
  5. L. Trossard 1–1
    52’
  6. ⇄ D. MalenFor O. Watkins
    66’
  7. R. CalafioriYellow card · Foul
    72’
  8. B. SakaYellow card · Argument
    74’
  9. ⇄ L. BogardeFor A. Onana
    75’
  10. ⇄ J. SanchoFor J. McGinn
    75’
  11. ⇄ C. MaduekeFor B. Saka
    79’
  12. ⇄ V. LindelöfFor Pau Torres
    86’
  13. ⇄ M. Lewis-SkellyFor R. Calafiori
    86’
  14. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor M. Cash
    87’
  15. E. Buendía 2–1Assist B. Kamara
    90’
  16. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Aston Villa15 shots · 13 in box, 2 outside
Arsenal15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
Aston VillaArsenal
47% Possession 53%
2.16 Expected goals (xG) 1.92
1.54 Expected points (xPts) 1.26
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 9
2 Shots off target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
13 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 6
397 Passes 443
82% Pass accuracy 85%
3 Corners 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.94 Team rating 6.83

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.7 E. Martínez(G)
226.5 I. Maatsen 146.9 Pau Torres ↓86’ 46.7 E. Konsa 27.9★ M. Cash ↓87’
246.2 A. Onana ↓75’ 447.7 B. Kamara A
276.9 M. Rogers 86.3 Y. Tielemans 76.7 J. McGinn ↓75’
116.9 O. Watkins ↓66’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.7
  • 22I. Maatsen6.5
  • 14Pau Torres↓86’6.9
  • 4E. Konsa6.7
  • 2M. Cash ★↓87’7.9
  • 24A. Onana↓75’6.2
  • 44B. KamaraA7.7
  • 27M. Rogers6.9
  • 8Y. Tielemans6.3
  • 7J. McGinn↓75’6.7
  • 11O. Watkins↓66’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 3V. Lindelöf↑86’6.6
  • 17D. Malen↑66’6.0
  • 26L. Bogarde↑75’6.6
  • 10E. Buendía↑87’7.6
  • 19J. Sancho↑75’7.3

Unused: M. Bizot, L. Digne, George Hemmings, Andrés García

Arsenal 4-3-3

17.2 David Raya(G)
336.5 R. Calafiori ↓86’ 57.0 P. Hincapié 126.6 J. Timber 47.3 B. White
417.0 D. Rice 366.9 Martín Zubimendi 86.9 M. Ødegaard
106.3 E. Eze ↓46’ 236.2 Mikel Merino ↓46’ 76.3 B. Saka ↓79’
  • 1David Raya (G)7.2
  • 33R. Calafiori↓86’6.5
  • 5P. Hincapié7.0
  • 12J. Timber6.6
  • 4B. White7.3
  • 41D. Rice7.0
  • 36Martín Zubimendi6.9
  • 8M. Ødegaard6.9
  • 10E. Eze↓46’6.3
  • 23Mikel Merino↓46’6.2
  • 7B. Saka↓79’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14V. Gyökeres↑46’6.7
  • 20C. Madueke↑79’6.7
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↑86’6.2
  • 19L. Trossard↑46’7.6

Unused: Kepa, Gabriel Martinelli, E. Nwaneri, M. Salmon, C. Nørgaard

Player stats

Top rated
M. CashAston Villa7.9
2nd
E. MartínezAston Villa7.7
3rd
B. KamaraAston Villa7.7

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 65% 43 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.7
I. Maatsen D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 26 1 0 3/3 2/2 6.5
Pau Torres D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 48 1 1 1/1 0/1 6.9
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 44 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
M. Cash D 87 1 0 1 (1) 1 88% 32 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.9
A. Onana M 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 28 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
B. Kamara M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 91% 46 4 1 1/3 0/0 7.7
M. Rogers F 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 74% 34 1 1 1/4 3/1 6.9
Y. Tielemans M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 80% 35 3 1 0/1 1/1 6.3
J. McGinn M 75 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 19 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.7
O. Watkins F 66 0 0 2 (2) 0 46% 13 1 0 3/3 0/0 6.9
V. Lindelöf D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
D. Malen F 24 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.0
L. Bogarde M 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
E. Buendía M 3 1 0 1 (1) 1 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
J. Sancho F 15 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 8 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.3

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 74% 27 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
R. Calafiori D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 31 3 2 1/1 1/1 6.5
P. Hincapié D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 49 3 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
J. Timber D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 94% 49 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.6
B. White D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 91% 35 3 0 1/1 0/1 7.3
D. Rice M 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 90% 60 2 2 0/0 0/0 7.0
Martín Zubimendi M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 48 1 3 0/0 1/0 6.9
M. Ødegaard M 90 0 0 3 (3) 3 89% 64 2 1 1/4 0/0 6.9
E. Eze M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
Mikel Merino M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.2
B. Saka F 79 0 0 3 (2) 4 78% 36 2 0 1/3 3/2 6.3
V. Gyökeres F 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
C. Madueke F 11 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.7
M. Lewis-Skelly M 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
L. Trossard F 44 1 0 3 (2) 0 70% 10 1 0 0/0 0/2 7.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.