UEFA Europa League Matchday 1 Thu, Sep 25 2025 · 20:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.24 – 1.10
Bologna
  • J. McGinn 13’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

McGinn goal decides it for Aston Villa

Aston Villa entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a McGinn goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.24 and 1.10. On the chances created, Bologna deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa ✓60%
Draw22%
Bologna18%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.99 · xG 1.24
Bologna goals
0
Model 1.00 · xG 1.10
Total goals
1
Model 2.99 · xG 2.34
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. BizotAston Villa
9.0
  • RefereeJesus Gil Manzano
  • VenueVilla Park

Timeline

  1. J. McGinn 1–0
    13’
  2. M. CashYellow card · Foul
    42’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ J. SanchoFor E. Buendía
    58’
  5. ⇄ O. WatkinsFor D. Malen
    58’
  6. J. LucumíYellow card · Argument
    66’
  7. M. VitíkYellow card · Foul
    66’
  8. ✕ O. WatkinsMissed penalty
    68’
  9. ⇄ R. OrsoliniFor F. Bernardeschi
    70’
  10. ⇄ J. RoweFor N. Cambiaghi
    70’
  11. ⇄ E. HolmFor N. Zortea
    70’
  12. J. McGinnYellow card · Foul
    71’
  13. ⇄ L. DigneFor I. Maatsen
    75’
  14. ⇄ T. DallingaFor S. Castro
    83’
  15. ⇄ G. FabbianFor J. Odgaard
    83’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Aston Villa12 shots · 10 in box, 2 outside
Bologna17 shots · 11 in box, 6 outside
Aston VillaBologna
47% Possession 53%
1.24 Expected goals (xG) 1.10
1.46 Expected points (xPts) 1.26
12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
5 Shots off target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 11
2 Shots outside the box 6
341 Passes 376
79% Pass accuracy 82%
8 Corners 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
16 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.10 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

409.0★ M. Bizot(G)
227.3 I. Maatsen ↓75’ 147.9 Pau Torres 46.3 E. Konsa 26.5 M. Cash
447.3 B. Kamara 78.0 J. McGinn
106.6 E. Buendía ↓58’ 276.7 M. Rogers 296.3 E. Guessand
176.3 D. Malen ↓58’
  • 40M. Bizot (G) ★9.0
  • 22I. Maatsen↓75’7.3
  • 14Pau Torres7.9
  • 4E. Konsa6.3
  • 2M. Cash6.5
  • 44B. Kamara7.3
  • 7J. McGinn8.0
  • 10E. Buendía↓58’6.6
  • 27M. Rogers6.7
  • 29E. Guessand6.3
  • 17D. Malen↓58’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 19J. Sancho↑58’6.3
  • 11O. Watkins↑58’6.7
  • 12L. Digne↑75’6.6

Unused: S. Proctor, Rhys Oakley, L. Bogarde, Andrés García, T. Mings, V. Lindelöf, H. Elliott, B. Burrows

Bologna 4-4-2

17.9 Ł. Skorupski(G)
227.6 C. Lykogiannis 266.3 J. Lucumí 416.7 M. Vitík 206.5 N. Zortea ↓70’
286.9 N. Cambiaghi ↓70’ 87.3 R. Freuler 196.2 L. Ferguson 106.7 F. Bernardeschi ↓70’
216.9 J. Odgaard ↓83’ 96.9 S. Castro ↓83’
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)7.9
  • 22C. Lykogiannis7.6
  • 26J. Lucumí6.3
  • 41M. Vitík6.7
  • 20N. Zortea↓70’6.5
  • 28N. Cambiaghi↓70’6.9
  • 8R. Freuler7.3
  • 19L. Ferguson6.2
  • 10F. Bernardeschi↓70’6.7
  • 21J. Odgaard↓83’6.9
  • 9S. Castro↓83’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 2E. Holm↑70’6.9
  • 7R. Orsolini↑70’6.6
  • 11J. Rowe↑70’6.6
  • 80G. Fabbian↑83’6.3
  • 24T. Dallinga↑83’6.5

Unused: F. Ravaglia, M. Pessina, Juan Miranda, T. Heggem, N. Moro

Player stats

Top rated
M. BizotAston Villa9.0
2nd
J. McGinnAston Villa8.0
3rd
Pau TorresAston Villa7.9

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Bizot G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 65% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 9.0
I. Maatsen D 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 23 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 55 2 1 1/1 0/0 7.9
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 45 0 0 0/0 3/2 6.3
M. Cash D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 22 1 2 0/0 3/1 6.5
B. Kamara M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 41 5 2 1/1 1/2 7.3
J. McGinn M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 77% 30 0 1 0/0 2/1 8.0
E. Buendía M 58 0 0 1 (0) 1 78% 18 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.6
M. Rogers F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 42% 24 1 0 0/2 0/3 6.7
E. Guessand F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 67% 9 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.3
D. Malen F 58 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 8 1 0 1/4 0/1 6.3
J. Sancho F 32 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 12 0 0 1/1 2/0 6.3
O. Watkins F 32 0 0 2 (1) 0 33% 3 0 0 1/1 0/2 6.7
L. Digne D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.6

Bologna

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Ł. Skorupski G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 82% 33 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
C. Lykogiannis D 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 80% 30 3 2 0/0 1/2 7.6
J. Lucumí D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 58 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
M. Vitík D 90 0 0 2 (2) 0 86% 35 2 4 0/0 3/0 6.7
N. Zortea M 70 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 21 1 0 2/3 2/0 6.5
N. Cambiaghi F 70 0 0 1 (0) 1 89% 18 2 1 0/3 1/3 6.9
R. Freuler M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 62 7 3 0/0 2/2 7.3
L. Ferguson M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 93% 42 0 2 0/1 0/0 6.2
F. Bernardeschi F 70 0 0 3 (2) 2 71% 21 3 0 2/3 0/0 6.7
J. Odgaard F 83 0 0 1 (1) 1 85% 13 0 0 1/1 4/3 6.9
S. Castro F 83 0 0 2 (0) 1 93% 14 2 0 1/2 0/3 6.9
E. Holm D 20 0 0 1 (1) 0 63% 8 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
R. Orsolini F 20 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.6
J. Rowe F 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
G. Fabbian M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
T. Dallinga F 7 0 0 1 (1) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.