UEFA Europa League Round of 16 Thu, Mar 19 2026 · 20:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
First leg1–0 2–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.80 – 0.32
  • J. McGinn 54’
  • L. Bailey 86’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa beat Lille

Aston Villa entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from McGinn and Bailey. Aston Villa finished with the higher xG (1.80 vs 0.32).

Aston Villa ✓51%
Draw27%
Lille22%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
2
Model 1.52 · xG 1.80
Lille goals
0
Model 0.91 · xG 0.32
Total goals
2
Model 2.43 · xG 2.12
Score 2–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 44%
Both scored
No
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. SanchoAston Villa · 1 assist
7.5
  • RefereeDavide Massa
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 5th · Lille 15th

Timeline

  1. Félix CorreiaYellow card · Holding
    25’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. J. McGinn 1–0Assist J. Sancho
    54’
  4. ⇄ O. WatkinsFor T. Abraham
    56’
  5. ⇄ H. HaraldssonFor Félix Correia
    66’
  6. ⇄ N. EdjoumaFor A. Bouaddi
    66’
  7. ⇄ M. Fernandez-PardoFor N. Mukau
    66’
  8. Douglas LuizYellow card · Holding
    72’
  9. ⇄ A. MandiFor Alexsandro Ribeiro
    73’
  10. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor J. McGinn
    74’
  11. ⇄ M. CashFor L. Bogarde
    74’
  12. ⇄ Tiago SantosFor T. Meunier
    81’
  13. ⇄ L. BaileyFor J. Sancho
    84’
  14. ⇄ H. ElliottFor M. Rogers
    84’
  15. L. Bailey 2–0Assist O. Watkins
    86’
  16. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Aston Villa8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
Lille7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Aston VillaLille
52% Possession 48%
1.80 Expected goals (xG) 0.32
2.42 Expected points (xPts) 0.38
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
2 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 2
478 Passes 431
86% Pass accuracy 89%
5 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.97 Team rating 6.65

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

236.9 E. Martínez(G)
226.2 I. Maatsen 146.9 Pau Torres 37.0 V. Lindelöf 266.9 L. Bogarde ↓74’
217.2 Douglas Luiz 247.2 A. Onana
77.3 J. McGinn ↓74’ 276.9 M. Rogers ↓84’ 197.5★ J. Sancho A↓84’
186.9 T. Abraham ↓56’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)6.9
  • 22I. Maatsen6.2
  • 14Pau Torres6.9
  • 3V. Lindelöf7.0
  • 26L. Bogarde↓74’6.9
  • 21Douglas Luiz7.2
  • 24A. Onana7.2
  • 7J. McGinn↓74’7.3
  • 27M. Rogers↓84’6.9
  • 19J. Sancho ★A↓84’7.5
  • 18T. Abraham↓56’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 11O. WatkinsA↑56’7.2
  • 10E. Buendía↑74’6.3
  • 2M. Cash↑74’6.3
  • 9H. Elliott↑84’
  • 31L. Bailey↑84’7.2

Unused: M. Bizot, J. Wright, E. Konsa, T. Mings, L. Digne, Andrés García

Lille 3-4-3

16.9 B. Özer(G)
47.5 Alexsandro Ribeiro ↓73’ 186.2 C. Mbemba 36.3 N. Ngoy
156.7 R. Perraud 326.5 A. Bouaddi ↓66’ 67.0 N. Bentaleb 126.9 T. Meunier ↓81’
276.7 Félix Correia ↓66’ 96.3 O. Giroud 176.5 N. Mukau ↓66’
  • 1B. Özer (G)6.9
  • 4Alexsandro Ribeiro↓73’7.5
  • 18C. Mbemba6.2
  • 3N. Ngoy6.3
  • 15R. Perraud6.7
  • 32A. Bouaddi↓66’6.5
  • 6N. Bentaleb7.0
  • 12T. Meunier↓81’6.9
  • 27Félix Correia↓66’6.7
  • 9O. Giroud6.3
  • 17N. Mukau↓66’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 10H. Haraldsson↑66’6.3
  • 7M. Fernandez-Pardo↑66’6.5
  • 20N. Edjouma↑66’6.7
  • 23A. Mandi↑73’6.2
  • 22Tiago Santos↑81’

Unused: A. Bodart, Zadig Lanssade, C. Verdonk, L. Baret, Saad Boussadia, Soriba Diaoune

Player stats

Top rated
J. SanchoAston Villa7.5
2nd
Alexsandro RibeiroLille7.5
3rd
J. McGinnAston Villa7.3

Aston Villa

Lille

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.