UEFA Europa League Round of 16 Thu, Mar 12 2026 · 17:45 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.40 – 0.47
  • 61’ O. Watkins
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Watkins goal decides it for Aston Villa

Aston Villa entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Watkins goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.40 and 0.47. On the chances created, Lille deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Lille33%
Draw28%
Aston Villa ✓39%

Model vs reality

Lille goals
0
Model 1.20 · xG 0.40
Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.32 · xG 0.47
Total goals
1
Model 2.53 · xG 0.87
Score 0–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. BentalebLille
7.9
  • RefereeJose Maria Sanchez Martinez
  • VenueDecathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ A. BouaddiFor B. André
    46’
  3. ⇄ M. Fernandez-PardoFor G. Perrin
    52’
  4. O. Watkins 0–1Assist E. Buendía
    61’
  5. ⇄ T. MeunierFor Tiago Santos
    66’
  6. ⇄ Félix CorreiaFor N. Mukau
    66’
  7. ⇄ T. AbrahamFor O. Watkins
    77’
  8. ⇄ J. McGinnFor Douglas Luiz
    77’
  9. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor J. Sancho
    83’
  10. ⇄ L. BaileyFor E. Buendía
    83’
  11. ⇄ Soriba DiaouneFor H. Haraldsson
    83’
  12. E. MartínezYellow card · Delay of game
    88’
  13. ⇄ H. ElliottFor M. Rogers
    90’
  14. L. DigneYellow card · Tripping
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Lille7 shots · 3 in box, 4 outside
Aston Villa9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
LilleAston Villa
49% Possession 51%
0.40 Expected goals (xG) 0.47
1.18 Expected points (xPts) 1.32
7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
2 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Shots inside the box 7
4 Shots outside the box 2
436 Passes 455
87% Pass accuracy 85%
3 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 12
6 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.64 Team rating 6.96

Line-ups

Lille 4-2-3-1

16.0 B. Özer(G)
156.9 R. Perraud 236.9 A. Mandi 186.9 C. Mbemba 226.9 Tiago Santos ↓66’
67.9★ N. Bentaleb 216.6 B. André ↓46’
286.2 G. Perrin ↓52’ 106.2 H. Haraldsson ↓83’ 176.2 N. Mukau ↓66’
96.0 O. Giroud
  • 1B. Özer (G)6.0
  • 15R. Perraud6.9
  • 23A. Mandi6.9
  • 18C. Mbemba6.9
  • 22Tiago Santos↓66’6.9
  • 6N. Bentaleb ★7.9
  • 21B. André↓46’6.6
  • 28G. Perrin↓52’6.2
  • 10H. Haraldsson↓83’6.2
  • 17N. Mukau↓66’6.2
  • 9O. Giroud6.0

Substitutes used

  • 32A. Bouaddi↑46’6.7
  • 7M. Fernandez-Pardo↑52’6.9
  • 12T. Meunier↑66’6.7
  • 27Félix Correia↑66’6.3
  • 35Soriba Diaoune↑83’6.3

Unused: A. Bodart, Zadig Lanssade, N. Ngoy, Alexsandro Ribeiro, C. Verdonk, Saad Boussadia, N. Edjouma

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.2 E. Martínez(G)
126.9 L. Digne 147.2 Pau Torres 47.2 E. Konsa 267.0 L. Bogarde
247.0 A. Onana 217.5 Douglas Luiz ↓77’
106.2 E. Buendía A↓83’ 276.2 M. Rogers ↓90’ 196.9 J. Sancho ↓83’
117.5 O. Watkins ↓77’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.2
  • 12L. Digne6.9
  • 14Pau Torres7.2
  • 4E. Konsa7.2
  • 26L. Bogarde7.0
  • 24A. Onana7.0
  • 21Douglas Luiz↓77’7.5
  • 10E. BuendíaA↓83’6.2
  • 27M. Rogers↓90’6.2
  • 19J. Sancho↓83’6.9
  • 11O. Watkins↓77’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 7J. McGinn↑77’6.9
  • 18T. Abraham↑77’6.7
  • 31L. Bailey↑83’6.7
  • 22I. Maatsen↑83’6.3
  • 9H. Elliott↑90’

Unused: M. Bizot, J. Wright, V. Lindelöf, T. Mings, Andrés García

Player stats

Top rated
N. BentalebLille7.9
2nd
Douglas LuizAston Villa7.5
3rd
O. WatkinsAston Villa7.5

Lille

Aston Villa

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.