Premier League Gameweek 9 Sun, Oct 26 2025 · 14:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.81 – 1.18
Manchester City
  • M. Cash 19’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Cash goal decides it for Aston Villa

Manchester City entered as narrow favourites, but Aston Villa won 1–0 through a Cash goal. Aston Villa won despite the lower xG; Manchester City created the better chances (1.18 vs 0.81). On the chances created, Manchester City deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa ✓34%
Draw25%
Manchester City41%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.43 · xG 0.81
Manchester City goals
0
Model 1.60 · xG 1.18
Total goals
1
Model 3.03 · xG 1.99
Score 1–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
No
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. CashAston Villa · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 12th · Manchester City 3rd

Timeline

  1. M. Cash 1–0Assist E. Buendía
    19’
  2. ⇄ J. SanchoFor E. Buendía
    29’
  3. SavinhoYellow card · Foul
    40’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. T. ReijndersYellow card · Foul
    54’
  6. ⇄ J. DokuFor O. Bobb
    61’
  7. ⇄ N. O'ReillyFor J. Stones
    61’
  8. ⇄ Nico GonzálezFor Bernardo Silva
    61’
  9. Nico GonzálezYellow card · Foul
    64’
  10. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor J. McGinn
    74’
  11. ⇄ M. CherkiFor T. Reijnders
    76’
  12. P. FodenYellow card · Foul
    80’
  13. B. KamaraYellow card · Foul
    81’
  14. ⇄ O. MarmoushFor Savinho
    84’
  15. ⇄ D. MalenFor O. Watkins
    86’
  16. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor L. Digne
    86’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Aston Villa9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
Manchester City18 shots · 14 in box, 4 outside
Aston VillaManchester City
47% Possession 53%
0.81 Expected goals (xG) 1.18
1.06 Expected points (xPts) 1.64
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
1 Shots off target 5
5 Blocked shots 9
8 Shots inside the box 14
1 Shots outside the box 4
449 Passes 504
86% Pass accuracy 90%
5 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.28 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.3 E. Martínez(G)
127.2 L. Digne ↓86’ 147.3 Pau Torres 47.3 E. Konsa 28.5★ M. Cash
248.2 A. Onana 446.9 B. Kamara
106.9 E. Buendía A↓29’ 277.3 M. Rogers 76.9 J. McGinn ↓74’
116.2 O. Watkins ↓86’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.3
  • 12L. Digne↓86’7.2
  • 14Pau Torres7.3
  • 4E. Konsa7.3
  • 2M. Cash ★8.5
  • 24A. Onana8.2
  • 44B. Kamara6.9
  • 10E. BuendíaA↓29’6.9
  • 27M. Rogers7.3
  • 7J. McGinn↓74’6.9
  • 11O. Watkins↓86’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 6R. Barkley↑74’6.9
  • 17D. Malen↑86’6.3
  • 22I. Maatsen↑86’6.2
  • 19J. Sancho↑29’7.0

Unused: M. Bizot, V. Lindelöf, T. Mings, L. Bogarde, E. Guessand

Manchester City 4-1-4-1

257.6 G. Donnarumma(G)
246.5 J. Gvardiol 37.9 Rúben Dias 56.3 J. Stones ↓61’ 276.9 M. Nunes
46.2 T. Reijnders ↓76’
266.3 Savinho ↓84’ 206.3 Bernardo Silva ↓61’ 476.9 P. Foden 526.7 O. Bobb ↓61’
96.6 E. Haaland
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)7.6
  • 24J. Gvardiol6.5
  • 3Rúben Dias7.9
  • 5J. Stones↓61’6.3
  • 27M. Nunes6.9
  • 4T. Reijnders↓76’6.2
  • 26Savinho↓84’6.3
  • 20Bernardo Silva↓61’6.3
  • 47P. Foden6.9
  • 52O. Bobb↓61’6.7
  • 9E. Haaland6.6

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Doku↑61’7.2
  • 33N. O'Reilly↑61’6.5
  • 7O. Marmoush↑84’6.3
  • 14Nico González↑61’6.9
  • 10M. Cherki↑76’6.6

Unused: J. Trafford, R. Lewis, M. Kovačić, N. Aké

Player stats

Top rated
M. CashAston Villa8.5
2nd
A. OnanaAston Villa8.2
3rd
Rúben DiasManchester City7.9

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 68% 44 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
L. Digne D 86 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 30 3 0 1/1 0/0 7.2
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 56 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 65 1 3 0/0 1/0 7.3
M. Cash D 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 81% 48 2 1 0/1 1/2 8.5
A. Onana M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 98% 43 3 1 0/0 1/3 8.2
B. Kamara M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 55 2 1 1/2 3/1 6.9
E. Buendía M 29 0 1 1 (0) 1 92% 13 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
M. Rogers F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 29 3 0 1/1 0/2 7.3
J. McGinn M 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 17 0 1 0/0 0/4 6.9
O. Watkins F 86 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 22 1 0 1/2 1/1 6.2
R. Barkley M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
D. Malen F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
I. Maatsen D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
J. Sancho F 61 0 0 2 (2) 0 88% 17 0 0 1/3 0/0 7.0

Manchester City

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Donnarumma G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 92% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
J. Gvardiol D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 93% 73 1 1 0/0 4/0 6.5
Rúben Dias D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 74 0 2 0/0 1/0 7.9
J. Stones D 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Nunes M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 89 2 4 1/1 0/1 6.9
T. Reijnders M 76 0 0 2 (0) 0 95% 39 0 0 0/1 4/0 6.2
Savinho F 84 0 0 1 (1) 0 71% 31 2 0 1/4 2/0 6.3
Bernardo Silva M 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 19 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
P. Foden M 90 0 0 0 (0) 7 87% 47 2 0 2/2 1/2 6.9
O. Bobb M 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 20 2 2 1/3 1/0 6.7
E. Haaland F 90 0 0 3 (3) 0 100% 7 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.6
J. Doku F 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 18 0 1 1/2 0/2 7.2
N. O'Reilly M 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 9 3 0 0/3 1/0 6.5
O. Marmoush F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Nico González M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 27 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.9
M. Cherki M 14 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.