Premier League Gameweek 17 Sun, Dec 21 2025 · 16:30 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.54 – 1.33
Manchester United
  • M. Rogers 45’, 57’
  • 45’ Matheus Cunha
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa beat Manchester United

Aston Villa entered as favourites and won 2–1 through two Rogers goals. Manchester United replied through a Cunha goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.54 and 1.33. On the chances created, Manchester United deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa ✓57%
Draw23%
Manchester United20%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
2
Model 2.00 · xG 1.54
Manchester United goals
1
Model 1.12 · xG 1.33
Total goals
3
Model 3.12 · xG 2.87
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 60%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. RogersAston Villa · 2 goals
8.6
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 3rd · Manchester United 7th

Timeline

  1. M. Rogers 1–0Assist J. McGinn
    45’
  2. Matheus Cunha 1–1Assist P. Dorgu
    45’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ L. MartínezFor Bruno Fernandes
    46’
  5. M. Rogers 2–1Assist O. Watkins
    57’
  6. M. UgarteYellow card · Foul
    68’
  7. Diogo DalotYellow card · Foul
    72’
  8. ⇄ J. ZirkzeeFor M. Ugarte
    73’
  9. ⇄ J. FletcherFor B. Šeško
    73’
  10. ⇄ D. MalenFor O. Watkins
    75’
  11. ⇄ L. DigneFor I. Maatsen
    75’
  12. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor A. Onana
    84’
  13. ⇄ E. GuessandFor J. McGinn
    84’
  14. ⇄ Shea LaceyFor L. Yoro
    84’
  15. ⇄ L. BogardeFor B. Kamara
    88’
  16. L. BogardeYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Aston Villa12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Manchester United15 shots · 5 in box, 10 outside
Aston VillaManchester United
43% Possession 57%
1.54 Expected goals (xG) 1.33
1.52 Expected points (xPts) 1.24
12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
3 Shots off target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 5
4 Shots outside the box 10
351 Passes 460
80% Pass accuracy 86%
5 Corners 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Fouls 2
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.83 Team rating 6.92

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

236.7 E. Martínez(G)
226.6 I. Maatsen ↓75’ 36.5 V. Lindelöf 46.5 E. Konsa 25.9 M. Cash
247.3 A. Onana ↓84’ 446.9 B. Kamara ↓88’
278.6★ M. Rogers 87.0 Y. Tielemans 76.7 J. McGinn A↓84’
116.5 O. Watkins A↓75’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)6.7
  • 22I. Maatsen↓75’6.6
  • 3V. Lindelöf6.5
  • 4E. Konsa6.5
  • 2M. Cash5.9
  • 24A. Onana↓84’7.3
  • 44B. Kamara↓88’6.9
  • 27M. Rogers ★8.6
  • 8Y. Tielemans7.0
  • 7J. McGinnA↓84’6.7
  • 11O. WatkinsA↓75’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 17D. Malen↑75’6.3
  • 26L. Bogarde↑88’
  • 12L. Digne↑75’6.6
  • 10E. Buendía↑84’6.7
  • 29E. Guessand↑84’6.5

Unused: M. Bizot, Leon Routh, George Hemmings, Andrés García

Manchester United 3-4-2-1

317.0 S. Lammens(G)
236.3 L. Shaw 267.3 A. Heaven 157.0 L. Yoro ↓84’
137.9 P. Dorgu A 87.0 Bruno Fernandes ↓46’ 256.2 M. Ugarte ↓73’ 27.0 Diogo Dalot
107.9 Matheus Cunha 76.2 Mason Mount
306.3 B. Šeško ↓73’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.0
  • 23L. Shaw6.3
  • 26A. Heaven7.3
  • 15L. Yoro↓84’7.0
  • 13P. DorguA7.9
  • 8Bruno Fernandes↓46’7.0
  • 25M. Ugarte↓73’6.2
  • 2Diogo Dalot7.0
  • 10Matheus Cunha7.9
  • 7Mason Mount6.2
  • 30B. Šeško↓73’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Zirkzee↑73’6.3
  • 6L. Martínez↑46’6.9
  • 38J. Fletcher↑73’6.7
  • 61Shea Lacey↑84’6.7

Unused: A. Bayındır, T. Heaton, T. Fredricson, T. Malacia, Bendito Mantato

Player stats

Top rated
M. RogersAston Villa8.6
2nd
P. DorguManchester United7.9
3rd
Matheus CunhaManchester United7.9

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 61% 49 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
I. Maatsen D 75 0 0 1 (0) 2 84% 31 3 1 1/3 1/2 6.6
V. Lindelöf D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 51 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.5
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 34 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
M. Cash D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 30 1 1 0/1 1/0 5.9
A. Onana M 84 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 30 3 1 1/2 1/1 7.3
B. Kamara M 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 29 3 0 0/3 2/2 6.9
M. Rogers F 90 2 0 4 (3) 0 72% 18 0 1 0/1 0/1 8.6
Y. Tielemans M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 70% 27 4 0 0/0 1/4 7.0
J. McGinn M 84 0 1 1 (1) 3 71% 28 1 0 1/1 1/1 6.7
O. Watkins F 75 0 1 0 (0) 1 67% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
D. Malen F 15 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Bogarde M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 0 0/0 1/0 —
L. Digne D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
E. Buendía M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
E. Guessand F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.5

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 79% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
L. Shaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 70 2 4 0/0 2/0 6.3
A. Heaven D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 48 2 1 1/1 0/0 7.3
L. Yoro D 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 55 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.0
P. Dorgu D 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 82% 28 5 0 1/2 0/4 7.9
Bruno Fernandes M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 27 0 1 1/2 0/2 7.0
M. Ugarte M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 32 5 2 1/1 4/1 6.2
Diogo Dalot D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 35 3 0 2/3 2/1 7.0
Matheus Cunha F 90 1 0 6 (3) 2 88% 42 2 0 0/2 1/2 7.9
Mason Mount M 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 76% 45 3 1 1/3 2/0 6.2
B. Šeško F 73 0 0 1 (1) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
J. Zirkzee F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
L. Martínez D 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 91% 32 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.9
J. Fletcher F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 2 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
Shea Lacey F 6 0 0 1 (1) 0 — 0 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.