UEFA Europa League Semi-finals Thu, May 7 2026 · 20:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
First leg0–1 4–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.50 – 0.61
  • O. Watkins 36’
  • E. Buendía 57’ (P)
  • J. McGinn 77’, 80’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa cruise past Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa won 4–0 through goals from Watkins, Buendía and McGinn. Aston Villa finished with the higher xG (2.50 vs 0.61).

Aston Villa ✓36%
Draw27%
Nottingham Forest38%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
4
Model 1.38 · xG 2.50
Nottingham Forest goals
0
Model 1.42 · xG 0.61
Total goals
4
Model 2.80 · xG 3.11
Score 4–0
1%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. BuendíaAston Villa · 1 goal · 1 assist
9.5
  • RefereeGlenn Nyberg
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 1st · Nottingham Forest 3rd

Timeline

  1. MoratoYellow card · Tripping
    18’
  2. O. Watkins 1–0Assist E. Buendía
    36’
  3. JairYellow card · Tripping
    45+3’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ R. YatesFor J. McAtee
    46’
  6. E. Buendía (pen) 2–0
    57’
  7. ⇄ D. BakwaFor Morato
    71’
  8. ⇄ L. LuccaFor C. Wood
    71’
  9. ⇄ L. BogardeFor V. Lindelöf
    74’
  10. J. McGinn 3–0Assist O. Watkins
    77’
  11. J. McGinn 4–0Assist M. Rogers
    80’
  12. ⇄ J. SanchoFor E. Buendía
    86’
  13. ⇄ MurilloFor Jair
    88’
  14. ⇄ Jimmy SinclairFor O. Hutchinson
    88’
  15. ⇄ L. BaileyFor J. McGinn
    90’
  16. ⇄ Douglas LuizFor M. Rogers
    90’
  17. ⇄ T. MingsFor Pau Torres
    90’
  18. Full time · 4–0

Team stats

Aston Villa18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
Nottingham Forest5 shots · 2 in box, 3 outside
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
51% Possession 49%
2.50 Expected goals (xG) 0.61
2.50 Expected points (xPts) 0.35
18 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
12 Shots inside the box 2
6 Shots outside the box 3
372 Passes 347
83% Pass accuracy 83%
6 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.32 Team rating 6.19

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

236.9 E. Martínez(G)
126.3 L. Digne 147.3 Pau Torres ↓90’ 47.0 E. Konsa 26.9 M. Cash
86.9 Y. Tielemans 36.3 V. Lindelöf ↓74’
109.5★ E. Buendía A↓86’ 277.2 M. Rogers A↓90’ 78.7 J. McGinn ↓90’
117.5 O. Watkins A
  • 23E. Martínez (G)6.9
  • 12L. Digne6.3
  • 14Pau Torres↓90’7.3
  • 4E. Konsa7.0
  • 2M. Cash6.9
  • 8Y. Tielemans6.9
  • 3V. Lindelöf↓74’6.3
  • 10E. Buendía ★A↓86’9.5
  • 27M. RogersA↓90’7.2
  • 7J. McGinn↓90’8.7
  • 11O. WatkinsA7.5

Substitutes used

  • 5T. Mings↑90’
  • 19J. Sancho↑86’
  • 21Douglas Luiz↑90’
  • 26L. Bogarde↑74’6.7
  • 31L. Bailey↑90’

Unused: M. Bizot, J. Wright, Andrés García, I. Maatsen, H. Elliott, T. Abraham

Nottingham Forest 4-4-1-1

276.5 S. Ortega(G)
36.0 N. Williams 45.6 Morato ↓71’ 316.2 N. Milenković 235.7 Jair ↓88’
246.7 J. McAtee ↓46’ 86.5 E. Anderson 166.3 N. Domínguez 216.0 O. Hutchinson ↓88’
196.3 Igor Jesus
116.3 C. Wood ↓71’
  • 27S. Ortega (G)6.5
  • 3N. Williams6.0
  • 4Morato↓71’5.6
  • 31N. Milenković6.2
  • 23Jair↓88’5.7
  • 24J. McAtee↓46’6.7
  • 8E. Anderson6.5
  • 16N. Domínguez6.3
  • 21O. Hutchinson↓88’6.0
  • 19Igor Jesus6.3
  • 11C. Wood↓71’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 22R. Yates↑46’6.2
  • 5Murillo↑88’
  • 29D. Bakwa↑71’6.9
  • 61Jimmy Sinclair↑88’
  • 20L. Lucca↑71’6.3

Unused: M. Sels, Keehan Willows, Justin Hanks, I. Sangaré, M. Gibbs-White, D. Ndoye, Archie Whitehall

Player stats

Top rated
E. BuendíaAston Villa9.5
2nd
J. McGinnAston Villa8.7
3rd
O. WatkinsAston Villa7.5

Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.